Obvious plays for Wednesday & Thursday

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  • matt1216
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-27-11
    • 14683

    #71
    good luck but watch dolgo fck everybody again
    Comment
    • tipsadontlikehim
      SBR MVP
      • 11-14-13
      • 2569

      #72
      thx matt, wait and see
      Comment
      • rankslash
        SBR MVP
        • 07-29-13
        • 1562

        #73
        Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
        thx matt, wait and see
        I've got a question bro. You told me about a chase system that you used last summer for your tennis matches. How many matches did you chase in one series?
        Comment
        • tipsadontlikehim
          SBR MVP
          • 11-14-13
          • 2569

          #74
          yeah u got a good memory bro

          because i started with a big bankroll of 10.000
          i allowed myself :
          3 fails on odds of 1.30 (4 and i am done)
          5 fails on odds of 1.51 (5 i am done)
          7 fails on odds of 1.87
          etc etc
          I would start with some 50 or 80 dollars stake on the 1st play...

          chase on low odds can be scary though, but if u chose your bets carefully there is no reason u would fail, i started this in last july and was doing good... money was slow to come but it was a success
          since then i sometimes lost patience but planning to do it again soon
          Comment
          • rankslash
            SBR MVP
            • 07-29-13
            • 1562

            #75
            Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
            yeah u got a good memory bro

            because i started with a big bankroll of 10.000
            i allowed myself :
            3 fails on odds of 1.30 (4 and i am done)
            5 fails on odds of 1.51 (5 i am done)
            7 fails on odds of 1.87
            etc etc
            I would start with some 50 or 80 dollars stake on the 1st play...

            chase on low odds can be scary though, but if u chose your bets carefully there is no reason u would fail, i started this in last july and was doing good... money was slow to come but it was a success
            since then i sometimes lost patience but planning to do it again soon
            Sounds good. The scary part for me are the 1.87 games. After 3-4 losses in a roll the stake size will get huge.
            Comment
            • tipsadontlikehim
              SBR MVP
              • 11-14-13
              • 2569

              #76
              Yes indeed, because 6 loss in a row on 1.87 can happen definitely
              Comment
              • stepanekslips
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-18-13
                • 462

                #77
                Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                Yes indeed, because 6 loss in a row on 1.87 can happen definitely
                What system are you using at the moment? Yes 6 in a row can easily happen.
                Comment
                • tipsadontlikehim
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-14-13
                  • 2569

                  #78
                  right now i am using no system really, pretty much flat betting, sometimes put more when the confidence is very high
                  Comment
                  • ctny85
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-18-13
                    • 188

                    #79
                    Just checking rest of todays lines and noticed Gimeno-traver +4.5 moved from +105 I had mentioned yesterday to -120 now at my local. Nice job picking off that +5 early, best of luck.
                    Comment
                    • tipsadontlikehim
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-14-13
                      • 2569

                      #80
                      yeah i am not surprised, I like Gimeno-Traver good on clay, fights hard, thanks man
                      Comment
                      • professionalAD
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-29-14
                        • 941

                        #81
                        nice hits brotha. im on a break right now prob will make a comeback for march maddness or nba playoffs. and goin reallll hard on french open. over city in that tourny!
                        Comment
                        • tipsadontlikehim
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-14-13
                          • 2569

                          #82
                          Originally posted by professionalAD
                          nice hits brotha. im on a break right now prob will make a comeback for march maddness or nba playoffs. and goin reallll hard on french open. over city in that tourny!
                          french open will be nice, grand slams are always the best to make money
                          Comment
                          • tipsadontlikehim
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-14-13
                            • 2569

                            #83
                            Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim




                            Nice parlay ?


                            WIN

                            20-11
                            +4.792
                            Comment
                            • rankslash
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-29-13
                              • 1562

                              #84
                              Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                              20-11
                              +4.792
                              Congrats again!
                              Had Gimeno-traver too. I was actually worried that i had to bet on the +4.5 line instead of +5.5
                              Comment
                              • tipsadontlikehim
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-14-13
                                • 2569

                                #85
                                haha that was too easy actually , well done
                                Comment
                                • tipsadontlikehim
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-14-13
                                  • 2569

                                  #86
                                  let's get to + 5K tonight ? hopefully...

                                  a tennis play and a soccer play for today



                                  the soccer play is pretty safe
                                  practically the 2 worst defenses of Ligue 2, and Tours got the best attack with 40 goals...

                                  the tennis play, well no need further explanation here, Over 24, the only time they met the match went to 3 sets

                                  GL all


                                  SOCCER:
                                  TENNIS:
                                  Last edited by tipsadontlikehim; 02-14-14, 11:52 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • tipsadontlikehim
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-14-13
                                    • 2569

                                    #87
                                    thks nosaij
                                    Comment
                                    • nosaij
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-16-12
                                      • 986

                                      #88
                                      love your tennis picks and im glad u had a good time in Aus!!
                                      Comment
                                      • tipsadontlikehim
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-14-13
                                        • 2569

                                        #89
                                        thks bro, the soccer play was a disaster but Jack Sock did the job, will stick to tennis i think
                                        Comment
                                        • tipsadontlikehim
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-14-13
                                          • 2569

                                          #90
                                          21-12
                                          +4.353
                                          Comment
                                          • ctny85
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 10-18-13
                                            • 188

                                            #91
                                            Any thoughts on over in berdych/gulbis? Berdych was not sharp, Janowicz had some bad double faults then started playing worse. I haven't seen gulbis really. Not great confidence in berdych after today but maybe he will play stronger tomorrow. Either way he will win his share of games.
                                            Comment
                                            • tipsadontlikehim
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-14-13
                                              • 2569

                                              #92
                                              to be honest i see over 23 @1.86 and i don't really like it. i don't think there is any value on it.
                                              if unlucky with a 6-3 in the 1st you'll need 3 sets... i'd pass
                                              Comment
                                              • ctny85
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 10-18-13
                                                • 188

                                                #93
                                                Thanks for opinion. I want to back berdych but I think it's a pretty bad bet. Probably just cilic
                                                Comment
                                                • tipsadontlikehim
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-14-13
                                                  • 2569

                                                  #94
                                                  Yep Cilic more safe IMO.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ctny85
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 10-18-13
                                                    • 188

                                                    #95
                                                    Ferrer will beat almagro also I think. Easy match for him today. Tough first set for almagro today, he didnt look great.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tipsadontlikehim
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-14-13
                                                      • 2569

                                                      #96
                                                      Yeah indeed Ferrer should win, he always finds a way to beat Almagro
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ctny85
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 10-18-13
                                                        • 188

                                                        #97
                                                        Yeah I just looked at the head to head and see that, have only gotten into tennis more recently.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • prophesyPRO
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-06-14
                                                          • 119

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by ctny85
                                                          Yeah I just looked at the head to head and see that, have only gotten into tennis more recently.
                                                          Ferrer owns Almagro, 30 - 8 sets, dating back a few years. Almagro has yet to win a match.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tipsadontlikehim
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-14-13
                                                            • 2569

                                                            #99
                                                            most importantly, almagro always choke against ferrer, even when he got match point or is 1 game away.. remember that Australian open QF was terrible to watch u had to feel sorry for the guy

                                                            i don't think i'll back Ferrer though because the odds are not sexy at all
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ctny85
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 10-18-13
                                                              • 188

                                                              #100
                                                              Yeah and I'm telling you almagro should have lost the first set to chardy today. Chardy had some horrible misses at the net that he hit directly into it at critical points.

                                                              odds will be worse tomorrow, may be worth it. He wins this match easily over 80% of time for me so there is currently value on ferrer, in my opinion
                                                              Last edited by ctny85; 02-15-14, 12:54 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-14-13
                                                                • 2569

                                                                #101


                                                                allright, this is the last Soccer play i post here (not because this is my last one but because this is the tennis section).
                                                                Big confidence, i see no surprise here, Home win as Wellington really impress lately and Melbourne Heart are too weak away to do anything. Expect a 2-0 win or so...

                                                                BOL all

                                                                STOP soccer too unpredictable


                                                                21-13
                                                                +3.473
                                                                Last edited by tipsadontlikehim; 02-16-14, 04:14 AM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-14-13
                                                                  • 2569

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-14-13
                                                                    • 2569

                                                                    #103
                                                                    WIN

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Metaphor
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 11-05-13
                                                                      • 80

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Easy pickings, gz man
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-14-13
                                                                        • 2569

                                                                        #105


                                                                        LOCK



                                                                        23-13 ... +4.326

                                                                        _
                                                                        Last edited by tipsadontlikehim; 02-16-14, 01:42 PM.
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