Obvious plays for Wednesday & Thursday

kenz · 03-10-14, 08:28 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Giraffe is Giraffe. At current market odds I find Cilic a far superior bet to Giraffe.

Originally posted by fitguy67

Apart from serving incredibly (perhaps unsustainably) well, Raonic played like crap yesterday...outplayed by ERV in almost every category outside of serving...don't think he even earned one break point the entire match...

If Raonic's even a bit off from his brilliant serving form...unless his multi-week court-rust vanishes VERY quicky and brings his dreadful UFE-count down...

i say Falla at +340 or nothing vs. this very-rusty very-1-dimensional current version of Raonic

not saying today won't be a replay of yesterday with Falla playing the part of poor ERV...but the ticket price to bank on that replay is just too damn expensive for my blood...and a flier on the other outcome has become relatively so cheap...it's where any value on this match now resides

Giraffe so comfy on his serve

http://www.flashscore.com/match/OUX5x9Z6/#match-summary

JC1186 · 03-10-14, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by kenz

Giraffe so comfy on his serve

http://www.flashscore.com/match/OUX5x9Z6/#match-summary

Yeah it was a great bet Kenz. Congrats!

Re. the debate between Cilic being the better bet I did disagree (but didn't say anything). Tommy beat Federer is straight sets at the US Open last year. And Fed had never lost to him before then.

My point is that yes Raonic isn't the most reliable, BUT.. Falla is a mug, whereas Tommy R is a class player. So it's not always who you're backing.. but who you're backing against.

fitguy67 · 03-10-14, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by kenz

Giraffe so comfy on his serve

http://www.flashscore.com/match/OUX5x9Z6/#match-summary

and tidied up on those skills you need when the ball goes over the net more than once as well...

the "tennis-playing Giraffe that dresses like Charlie Brown" did seem to lose much of the court-rust from the weeks off AND keep his serve working...glad you hit big on him Kenz...I (being a "to win 1 unit" bettor) only lost a smidge on my flier based on his game not gelling quite so quickly

Raonic, along with Dimitrov, and Anderson certainly major forces to be reckoned with in the years ahead...you can see them maturing before our profit-tainted eyes

tipsadontlikehim · 03-11-14, 05:40 AM

charley365 · 03-11-14, 02:24 PM

Good call on cilic, he almost looks home

Hardcoar · 03-11-14, 02:35 PM

I don't agree with it being a great bet at all: It was a neutral bet at best. However, it ended up being a winning bet, and for that I am happy for you!

tipsadontlikehim · 03-11-14, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

I don't agree with it being a great bet at all: It was a neutral bet at best. However, it ended up being a winning bet, and for that I am happy for you!

I actually agree with you (as ~~always~~ often) can't say it was a great bet. Low odds, just put a massive amount on it because confident and that's it, job done. Robredo looked crap

Hardcoar · 03-11-14, 03:11 PM

Yeah he sucked ass. Congrat's Cilic backers!

tipsadontlikehim · 03-13-14, 08:53 AM

i think this one can be a winner even in 2 sets

kenz · 03-13-14, 09:15 AM

BOL tipsa I am heavy on over 22, this can go easily to 3 sets too

tipsadontlikehim · 03-13-14, 09:23 AM

this can definitely go to 3 sets yep !

professionalAD · 03-13-14, 09:42 AM

yesir im on it tipsa lets do this bro!!

tipsadontlikehim · 03-14-14, 02:08 AM

tipsadontlikehim · 03-14-14, 02:22 AM

allright let's trust John Isner now

matt1216 · 03-14-14, 02:39 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

the only reason i'll take the O21 here is because i had lots of void bets lately, favourites seem to beat their opponent quite easily this week.
apart from that, Berdych and Tsonga have played 7 matchs, and this over was a winner 6 times, the 7th was a push

LOSS

This was the play I was referring to for your Isner/gulbis play. The total went over 21 in every Tsonga/Berdych match except for the one they gave you a lower line on

tipsadontlikehim · 03-14-14, 03:00 AM

Yep I know that matt, I know the risk, nothing is ever safe anyway!

tipsadontlikehim · 03-15-14, 04:03 AM

32-21
+4.452

kenz · 03-15-14, 04:04 AM

Good hit

tipsadontlikehim · 03-15-14, 04:46 AM

thanks bru !

tipsadontlikehim · 03-15-14, 09:12 AM

Djokovic to win 2-1

professionalAD · 03-15-14, 02:05 PM

im assuming u like o 23?

tipsadontlikehim · 03-16-14, 03:23 AM

sorry didn't get your message before, yep i liked the over

tipsadontlikehim · 03-16-14, 03:23 AM

Next play

tipsadontlikehim · 03-17-14, 02:39 AM

34-21
+4.591

tipsadontlikehim · 03-17-14, 03:17 AM

OK

tipsadontlikehim · 03-21-14, 03:59 AM

kenz · 03-21-14, 04:15 AM

Agut @2.20 now. WTF?

Might be trap for name-bettors

tipsadontlikehim · 03-21-14, 04:35 AM

holy crap

kenz · 03-21-14, 04:38 AM

Took it @2.19 in my thread

I think Janowicz will be slight fav for money flow.

tipsadontlikehim · 03-21-14, 05:46 AM

simply because Ivo can be untouchable on serve and you never know Federer could have a bad day and lose in 2 tie breaks.

tipsadontlikehim · 03-21-14, 05:55 AM

i'm gonna back Zeballos as well

tipsadontlikehim · 03-21-14, 06:05 AM

VOID + LOSS

kenz · 03-21-14, 06:11 AM

BOL tipsa in all your plays except Karlovic

I have $1.5K on Federer

I dont think Federer lose here, but Zeballos has a chance. Hope you win

tipsadontlikehim · 03-21-14, 06:13 AM

thanks i believe Ivo and Zeballos will both win

Federer @1.10 you are one crazy dude, remember Stakhovsky @22 to beat Federer on grass

kenz · 03-21-14, 07:06 AM

"Fans can count on me"

Thats what Federer said in Indian Wells. In 2013 his back was injured lost too many games. This year is different. Now he feels great and the new racquette works great.

He needs points and this is a slow court. He eats big serves for breakfast. And the last 2 times they met Federer seemed to figure how to return in that youtube video