What a call on Hewitt! 
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Yeah great pick
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Rybarikova that good huh?Comment -
Cheers guys.
This oyster has made a promise to me he will make a public apology for the shite he has spouted once these so called "bad beats" i'm talking about stop occuring. So let's see if he has the character of man to do so, or whether he'll just live up to the spineless, little guttless cretin he portrays behind a keyboard typing away.Comment -
nice workComment -
Alexander Bogomolov to beat Ryan Harrison @2.54 (6 units)
A spring on value this is and very much a balanced matchup in my eyes when you look at it as a "whole". Ryan Harrison was the poster boy of American prospects, alongside the like of Donald Young. Unfortunately they both haven't been able to blossom and develop naturally due to the pressures placed upon them. This is why you see Young for instance, cleaning up on the challenger tour but falling to lesser player's competing in earlier rounds at atp tournaments.
All the American player's that are being churned out through their academies and being put through the American college tennis ranks, none of them are good athletes. The country with a huge population cannot bring out a single good athlete in the sport of tennis, amazing isn't it? Well it's sadly because they all head to the sports with bigger sponsors and lucrative television contracts. Ala baseball, the NFL, the NBA, etc..... In the end by default America are left with one dimensional big serving, too reliant on running onto their forehand and blasting the ball, players.
IMO, you have to be mentally tough to be a ballstriker because your margin for error is less and Ryan Harrison isn't. Which is why his results are so eratic and why I cannot remember the last occasion he managed to win a close contest.
Bogomolov is smart, well experienced and has good coverage of the court. He served at 83% first serves in his match against John Patrick Smith and considering these court's play fast, anything like that figure again here and he wins.Comment -
Adding challenger final, Souza vs A, Gonzalez, O21 games @1.67 (8 units)
How this can possibly not turn out to be extremely close, I do not know.Comment -
Fill me in on Rybarikova, please.Comment -
I see it as a very good spot. Niculescu rolls her serve in at a pace which 8 year olds in amateur leagues would be hitting away for clean winners. Her game is nifty and there to clean up on all the wreckless WTA ball bashers. I don't see Rybarikova being someone who will struggle with her slice and backwards game.
Some player's like the ball coming to them at one pace, some player's don't mind a constant change in pace. Rybarikova doesn't mind. So the only thing that can save Niculescu is if Rybarikova plays shite from being too rusty, like Halep yesterday.Comment -
Adding Struff to beat Vesley @1.85 (4 units)Comment -
Yeah, thanks man!Comment -
Adding Giraldo 2-0 against Montanes @1.9 (4 units)Comment -
Adding Casey Delacqua to beat Van Uty @1.73 (3.5 units)Comment -
Adding
Inplay
Alejandro Gonzalez to win set 2 @1.95 (5 units)
Souza will get tight and is too nervous to close this out without stuttering. Gonzalez will draw blood before he loses this one.Comment -
Holy hell, how fortunate was that point at break point? The crowd disgust me also!Comment -
15-40 at 5-4 down with break points for 5-5 and the overs and chokes a regular up the line backhand with Souza stranded out of court.
Souza comes back to hold and win it 6-4, 6-4 and the overs lose by the narrowest of margins in what was an incredibly close affair.Comment -
This sort of luck is amazing.Comment -
I understand where you're coming from but Harrison doesn't classify with Donald quite yet.. Donald is 24 and Harrison is 3 yrs younger.. He came into this year looking really good from the stats, he is serving huge and barely getting broken ever. You have it backwards in that last paragraph too, Bogo has basically been rolling his serve in while Harrison is the one serving bombs.. I think Harrison wins but I agree those odds are ridiculous. Harrison can push off the baseline all day with Bogo and he's the one gonna be getting tons of cheap points off that serve. I just think Harrison isn't really ficking around this year, he lost to groth last week but he wasn't broken and groth can literally serve absolute bombs, I think he has the mph record. I'd be careful with this pick, Bogo is the one falling off from that fake run he had 2 years back.
In other views tho I love your Giraldo pick, he is going to toast Montanes off the groundComment -
I am not comparing their ages or which specific to detail, mini-generation they're from either. I am simply saying they're both currently too pimped up for both what it is worth and what is beneficiary for them. The more hyped up they become the more they're likely to buckle in tight moments in matches, because they know there's a mini spotlight on them where sets of papers are waiting to write articles on where they are going in tennis. They don't like holding that mini-torch for American tennis, they can't handle that. So they're failing to make their break and everytime they fail at the first min-hurdle, it will get magnified and the pressure will mount. Once they're in there and have the belief that they do belong, they can play without fear and more looseness. Young is quite talented and a decent mover who is able to create ridiculous angles with his groundstrokes, but he fails to adjust to situations where his game doesn't matchup well with someone elses game. If that makes sense? He can't figure a way to improvise and buckles under the pressure of needing to find out how he can do so. Ryan IMO, is mentally weaker than Young but gets away with it more because he has that big serve.
I don't agree Harrison comes into this year with good stats, by the same notion so does young with his 3 consecutive challenger wins and a 10+ win streak on the challenger USTA circuit. Harrison can post good serving stats against player's considerably inferior or may be just infeiror to him on fast hardcourts, but can he do that against player's whoa re at his standard? No. He isn't clutch like that and loses the long games, the long rallies and the mini-battles in matches against grinders. He doesn't have the mental edge to make it top 30 consistently with the ballstriking game he has. Everyone in America will pose excuses for the guy and say there's this, there's that and etc. At the end of the day this guy will be a one tournament wonder in his career, where he just serves and strikes his forehand brilliantly. I don't see him as a main fixture in the world's top 30 and certainly not 20.
Bogomolov obviously has a less faster serve but whether he is rolling serves in or not, serves now a days are not about power because the string technology allow for player's easier to absorb power. In today's game angles are more important than power, obviously if you possess the ability to create angles and hit those spots with power, you're even better off. Bogomolov has good angles on his serve with decent kick and variety, if that puts him in a commanding position when starting a point, it is an advantage.
EDIT: Yeah, Giraldo is a very good spot if I must say so myself!
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I have no ideaaaaaaaa what is going on here, but all I know is she is 1.71 to win a set!
Schavione to win a set against Safarova @1.71 (8 units)Comment -
I like what you said about Rybarikova-Niculescu match. She definitintely could win that one...
Thinking about Puig as well. Saw her against Flipkens in Auckland. Too many mistakes, but I kinda love the way she plays. I always pick spots, where she is a nicely valued underdog and I think that is one of those situations...
Read about some problems which Flipkens has with her knee. That 0-6 set against Ivanovic might have to do something with it? So, maybe a good fade material?
And last, Volandri-Zeballos. Two very suspicios guys. Wouldn't be surprised at all to see Zeballos winning first set and then loosing the match, or something like that...Comment -
Yeah Puig is good and a talent, little grinder with ability to cause upsets, I agree. Perhaps Flips is injured, I'm not sure how she was possible to play that shit against Ivanovic in thta first set, so perhaps that would be it?
If Zeballos loses to Volandri on a hardcourt then you know it is a fix. Volandri hasn't won a match on hardcourts since 2007 and that was against a claycourt low level challenger player. lol!Comment -
Julien Benneteu to beat Mathew Ebden @1.75 (Using 8 units)Comment -
Jack Sock to beat Adriano Mannarino @2.2 (1.5 units)Comment -
Epic match with Harrison and Bogo, Harrison was up *3-0 in that 3rd set and double faulted to get broken at *5-4 before Bogo fought back. Even though Harrison won you were 100% right, the odds they give to Harrison are ridiculous, the way that match went down it shoulda been a pick 'em. I really think Harrison isn't gonna go the route of Donald Young though, he's way too much of a fighter for thatComment -
Zakapolova ML @2.36 (5 units)
Robin Haase ML @1.88(5 units)Comment -
Nieminen 2-0 @1.9 (8 units)Comment -
I may as well total this dysmal record for the last week. Taken a decent financial wound here and already decided on lessening my real life stake to £10 per unit from £20.
Brb with this record.Comment -
19-21-0
(-71) units
to losses (For now)
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