EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

[Cessation]

once again i worry everyone is loading up on seppi @ nice even odds. plus all the italians shit the bed yesterday. gl either way bud. you know im too paranoid

I've got Haas matched at 1.98. I know he hasn't been great on clay this year and his form dropped off after that questionable scheduling between North and South America but willing to give him a chance at the odds against Seppi. I mean he closed at ~1.44 against Seppi two weeks ago in germany and since then has ran into a red hot Klizan and Sijsling in favourable conditions for the dutchman in Madrid. Think the market has over reacted a tad.

[kenz]

Haas barely beat Seppi in his hometown. I follow him n facebook he is on pyshiotherapy for a long time.

But I dont like how Seppi chokes at times. I would love to buy Seppi +3 here around @1.80

[EaglesPhan36]

Got the big dog again with Golubev. 50-50 match with Seppi loses in 3. Gonna be very selective on those in the future. Still the no there can be good edges to play, but still coin flips as the odds suggest. If the last two split st worst, rockin some profit overall.

[beefcake]

Keep on rolling brother!!

Hope to make us some money with these RG futures coming up.

[EaglesPhan36]

Man the French falls on the worst opening weekend. I vacation with the woman for military reunion each year and it falls over Memorial Day. Drinking with a bunch of sailors usually lends to not seeing the draw LOL.

Bringing the laptop anyhow to try and get a look at the draw, but the last couple years I am lucky if I can study the lines for the 1st day.

[riffraff24]

Cant believe this fuk blew the first set like that.

[EaglesPhan36]

Talked about embracing the moment or it being too much. Obviously too much and like so many inexperienced players, lets one set effect him to the next and is out of it quickly.

[riffraff24]

Any thoughts on Kohl?

[riffraff24]

Not over yet!!!

nvm. that fukkin cocktease

[EaglesPhan36]

Any thoughts on Kohl?

A toss up and there may or may not be injury woes for one or both. I think a good one to pass on.

[Cappinpicks]

A toss up with a +125 and he decides to pass? good logic LMAO

[EaglesPhan36]

Slight loss for the day. Damn dubs lost in the super breaker.

[riffraff24]

Yes!!! Pauly Shore's evil step brother came through big for me!!

Showing Wagers 1 - 1 of 1
	5/13/14 1:23pm	$500.00	$725.00	Pending	5/13/14 9:15am ATP Tennis 142 Philipp Kohlschreiber +145* vs Tommy Robredo

[EaglesPhan36]

2014 Season Overall Profit: +8.07

[EaglesPhan36]

5.14.14
Busan Challenger: Sekiguchi +325

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP Rome: Granollers 1st Set +180
ATP Rome Parlay: Youzhny + Nestor-Zimonjic [+128]

[shimeon40]

Eagles picked Chardy against raonic last week..now he comes out and beats Federer..

[Hardcoar]

Fate is cruel, isn't it?

[EaglesPhan36]

Different situations. I would not have touched the match because of the uncertainty for Federer. Same thing yesterday with Djokovic. I'd rather pass & get a gauge on their form than force a play and hope to be correct.

[EaglesPhan36]

Add...
Heilbronn Challenger: A.Zverev +335

[riffraff24]

Add...
Heilbronn Challenger: A.Zverev +335

Hey EP. What is your angle on this one? Never seen either play but from the stats i see online it looks pretty lopsided.

[Cappinpicks]

Hey EP. What is your angle on this one? Never seen either play but from the stats i see online it looks pretty lopsided.

Kuznetsov is free money he just likes taking longshots

[riffraff24]

Kuznetsov is free money he just likes taking longshots

I wasnt asking you.

[bababooey13]

nice call so far with youzhny after cashing with golubev yesterday. sharp.

[EaglesPhan36]

Hey EP. What is your angle on this one? Never seen either play but from the stats i see online it looks pretty lopsided.

Zverev is full of promise. Very young. Very talented and this is his best surface. Kuznetsov has been very good, but sometimes focus can drop in Challengers - especially after players have been working into ATP main draws and then resume the lower level grind.

Did not effect him much in his last tourney, but I like the spot with Zverev playing in Germany where a young player might get a boost from performing at home. Solid win against Duckworth.

Replication of effort as with all young ones is key. I think its a spot where his concentration should ge good, but he could easily get straight settled too. That's why I do Challengers for half stakes and maybe go a bit more aggressive on dogs at times. Good rewards, minimal risk as long as you're hitting other normal stakes plays.

[riffraff24]

Thank you sir. GL

[EaglesPhan36]

nice call so far with youzhny after cashing with golubev yesterday. sharp.

Even though Mahut s no dirt devil, Youzhny was strong against him in that one where I tried Mahut. Gotta adapt to what you see. Golubev seems to wear out if he plays long weeks against better competition. He's good in spots, but really is still suited to Challengers.

[EaglesPhan36]

Obviously no replication of success today.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well well. The worm turns.

[riffraff24]

Wow man. To come so close and lose that last game on that shit return with an open court to the right. What a cocktease

[EaglesPhan36]

Worth the risk. Played pretty well frommiddle of the 2nd on. Wish he would have forced the TB.

[riffraff24]

Worth the risk. Played pretty well frommiddle of the 2nd on. Wish he would have forced the TB.

I agree. He had a great opportunity and handed it away. Had a few chances to break him late in the 3rd set too and flopped

[EaglesPhan36]

2014 Season Overall Profit: +7.35

[EaglesPhan36]

5.15.14
ATP Rome Doubles: Kubot-Lindstedt -115
ATP Rome: Kohlschreiber +5.5 [-125]
ATP Rome: Berdych-Dimitrov Over 23.5 [-110]

[innn]

5.15.14
ATP Rome Doubles: Kubot-Lindstedt -115
ATP Rome: Kohlschreiber +5.5 [-125]
ATP Rome: Berdych-Dimitrov Over 23.5 [-110]

I don't like pick no.3 at all. Dimitrov wins is my pick