Is NOVAk DJOKOVIC a Tenniz Lock

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  • MagicDiceFlow
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-12
    • 4585

    #141
    Originally posted by Sharp Snake
    Djokovic, fitness wise, doesn't even seem fazed. I wouldn't put too much into it. Djokovic will be higher than -170 if he plays Berdych I think.
    It wont be much higher. Books will heavily take this match into account. About the -170 to -200 range is what I'm predicting.
    Comment
    • Tmuston Beltics
      SBR MVP
      • 01-14-13
      • 1253

      #142
      They must be using meth and cocaine mixed to ensure such endurance
      Comment
      • MUHerd37
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-23-09
        • 12816

        #143
        Djokovic!!! That was awesome!!!
        Comment
        • ThaTopMoron
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-30-10
          • 27020

          #144
          all i can say, guys... is

          wow


          never again.... all this, for this???



          you think they are tired? I'M EXHAUSTED

          i was ready to use this pic



          Comment
          • Djoking
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 04-18-12
            • 823

            #145
            Wawrinka crying
            Comment
            • MUHerd37
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-23-09
              • 12816

              #146
              Much respect for Wawrinka!
              Comment
              • Sharp Snake
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-11-12
                • 550

                #147
                One of the best matches I've ever seen
                Comment
                • horja1
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-13-11
                  • 5646

                  #148
                  this was a great match ... I hope Monfils and Simon watched it
                  Comment
                  • MagicDiceFlow
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-15-12
                    • 4585

                    #149
                    Wawrinka wanted this match so bad. Never seen anyone put so much effort in a 5th set like that.

                    Amazing match by both players.
                    Comment
                    • ohumad
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-19-12
                      • 2298

                      #150
                      Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                      all i can say, guys... is

                      wow


                      wowee a crazy and fitting finish to a crazy start. EPIC!
                      Comment
                      • LVHerbie
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-15-05
                        • 6344

                        #151
                        Amazing battle... Honestly the david and goliath element made it better than the final last year...
                        Comment
                        • face
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-31-11
                          • 14740

                          #152
                          wawrinka's serve left him and djoker improved. there was almost nowhere stan could hit the ball where djokovic couldn't return it
                          Comment
                          • MUHerd37
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-23-09
                            • 12816

                            #153
                            Originally posted by LVHerbie
                            Amazing battle... Honestly the david and goliath element made it better than the final last year...
                            No way. Last year the title was on the line. Nole and Nadal are absolute warriors.
                            Comment
                            • face
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-31-11
                              • 14740

                              #154
                              Originally posted by LVHerbie
                              Amazing battle... Honestly the david and goliath element made it better than the final last year...
                              have to disagree, last year's final was the best match i've ever seen
                              Comment
                              • ThaTopMoron
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-30-10
                                • 27020

                                #155
                                yes, after i had a huge EXHALE of relief... i was clapping for both guys! much respect to the huge underdog

                                best thread i ever decided to make

                                but, there will be no 4th Is "so and so" a Tenniz Lock thread... I am retiring them

                                Does this thread help me for POTM
                                Comment
                                • MagicDiceFlow
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-15-12
                                  • 4585

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                  yes, after i had a huge EXHALE of relief... i was clapping for both guys! much respect to the huge underdog

                                  best thread i ever decided to make

                                  but, there will be no 4th Is "so and so" a Tenniz Lock thread... I am retiring them

                                  Does this thread help me for POTM
                                  Glad you survived the bet dude. Learn from this....its a sign... It's not worth laying a nickel for two lincolns!

                                  Good luck tomorrow
                                  Comment
                                  • LVHerbie
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-15-05
                                    • 6344

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by face
                                    have to disagree, last year's final was the best match i've ever seen
                                    Last years was better tennis for sure but talking about a 30-1 taking Joker to 12-10 in the fifth set and no way you could rule him out until the very last game...
                                    Comment
                                    • ThaTopMoron
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-30-10
                                      • 27020

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                                      Glad you survived the bet dude. Learn from this....its a sign... It's not worth laying a nickel for two lincolns!

                                      Good luck tomorrow
                                      yep, much better to put half a unit on a +1800 dog... especially if your main book has live betting on the match
                                      Comment
                                      • ThaTopMoron
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-30-10
                                        • 27020

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                                        TM, should Stan happen to pull off a miracle and you lose the nickel, take SEPPI tomorrow over Chardy.....Seppi will roll over Chardy tomorrow.

                                        My free pick for you.
                                        Comment
                                        • LVHerbie
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-15-05
                                          • 6344

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by Sharp Snake
                                          Djokovic, fitness wise, doesn't even seem fazed. I wouldn't put too much into it. Djokovic will be higher than -170 if he plays Berdych I think.
                                          Pinnacle just opened it up at -525/+457
                                          Comment
                                          • secret007
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-12-09
                                            • 1786

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                                            It wont be much higher. Books will heavily take this match into account. About the -170 to -200 range is what I'm predicting.
                                            djokovic was around even before today's game to win the whole thing.. no way he's -170 EVER. He will be around -200ish against Murray or Federer in the final, he will be around -400 / -450 against Berdych and Ferrer.
                                            Comment
                                            • secret007
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-12-09
                                              • 1786

                                              #162
                                              Thank you to Wawrinka, great warrior. Almost pulled the trigger Wawrinka ML before the game but did not have the guts.. Ended up taking this bet and Wawrinka over 11.5 ..

                                              Click image for larger version

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                                              Comment
                                              • suicidekings
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-23-09
                                                • 9962

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by LVHerbie
                                                Pinnacle just opened it up at -525/+457
                                                I slept through the opener. Just got it at +396 for a unit. I just don't see how Djokovic will be at his best for this match. There were obvious signs of wear and frustration on Djokovic in the 4th and 5th sets, and he hasn't been worked by an opponent like that in a long time. On the other side, Berdych largely cruised against Anderson and looked really good on the court. Very fluid and appeared to really be feeling his shots well.

                                                Pretty good value in the line, IMO.
                                                Comment
                                                • Sharp Snake
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-11-12
                                                  • 550

                                                  #164
                                                  Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                                                  It wont be much higher. Books will heavily take this match into account. About the -170 to -200 range is what I'm predicting.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MagicDiceFlow
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-15-12
                                                    • 4585

                                                    #165
                                                    Originally posted by LVHerbie
                                                    Pinnacle just opened it up at -525/+457
                                                    holy crap, way overvalued.....take Berdy all the way then live bet your way out for guaranteed profit.

                                                    That's a stupidity line just waiting to get milked if you know what to do with it. Berdych will be up in this match at some point guaranteed.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • yisman
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-01-08
                                                      • 75682

                                                      #166
                                                      I watched the replay. I posted wawrinka +8.5 and over 29 games so I was very happy with outcome.

                                                      Incredible match
                                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                      [/quote]

                                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #167
                                                        Classic case now where people will over-react to a top dawg struggling. Happens almost every Slam, just no one expects it to be Djokovic. Maybe Murray. Maybe Federer. You had a guy play probably the match of his life in Wawrinka and I think anyone would be frustrated when almost everything seems to be working against you, when you're used to controlling a match at almost every point. More often the match following, they come out with wicked determination.

                                                        There's a reason Djokovic is 11-1 against Berdych. Is the price lopsided? Of course. But again, weight the realistic win vs. loss chances before you make your ultimate decision. Taking Berdych simply because the price is too good to pass up is a poor reason. Is he capable? Sure. But I think it has to be the perfect storm part two. Even though Berdych dominated the scoreline against Anderson, I watched some of that and Anderson was able to break him in a nervy first set and Berdych got himself into a few 0-30 holes. You can escape those against someone like Anderson. Djokovic is going to make you pay for those. Likely not betting a side myself in this one, will see what the total is and probably go off that.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Sharp Snake
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-11-12
                                                          • 550

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                          Classic case now where people will over-react to a top dawg struggling.
                                                          I don't know if I can agree with this. Djokovic didnt play his very best match, but in no way was he struggling, except his footing, which he fixed. Wawrinka did indeed play the match of his life but there was really no fault on Djokovic's part.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #169
                                                            I think he was struggling big time in the 1st two sets. A guy who hadn't been broken all tourney suddenly couldn't hold serve ONCE? Definitely agree that from the third set on, it was quality tennis - but these sort of matches tend to light fires under the asses of the best of the best. If Djokovic was going against Murray or Federer next, I think I'd probably be a bit more concerned if I was a Djokovic fan ... but he matches up well against Berdych and Berdych is going to have to pull out an A+ game I think to have a shot to win and/or get a B level version of Djokovic.

                                                            I just think there tends to be quite a response to players playing five set matches and the perception that they will be gassed in the next match. Obviously if they log several in a row, yes it will add up. It was certainly demanding, but considering how little effort he expended prior to that match - he'd have to be in pretty poor shape IMO to not be able to at least work his way into the match. I just see Berdych as a guy who has to have a lot go right for him to beat the Federers, Djokovics, Murrays and even Ferrers. Certainly it can happen as it did against Federer, but he was 1-8 against those guys last year, 1-9 if you throw in Rafa and I think there is a reason for that.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sharp Snake
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-11-12
                                                              • 550

                                                              #170
                                                              Definitely agree about the fatigue factor. Djokovic honestly didn't look "gassed" to me at all compared to Wawrinka.

                                                              Wawrinka was DRILLING winners on unbelievable shots throughout the first 2 sets. I couldn't believe my eyes.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • yisman
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-01-08
                                                                • 75682

                                                                #171
                                                                I think it'll at least be competitive
                                                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                [/quote]

                                                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Crate Mayne
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-19-13
                                                                  • 655

                                                                  #172
                                                                  I was making straight bank off those early sets when Wawrinka was killing it... lines were like +900
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LVHerbie
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-15-05
                                                                    • 6344

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                                                                    holy crap, way overvalued.....take Berdy all the way then live bet your way out for guaranteed profit.

                                                                    That's a stupidity line just waiting to get milked if you know what to do with it. Berdych will be up in this match at some point guaranteed.
                                                                    Not much of a fan of the concept of trying to set up hedges but I would think if Joker does have fatigue issues it would come into play late if the match gets stretched out...
                                                                    Comment
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