Is there any "right" sportsbook to go with when the lines are widely differentiated across the board??? Prime example is tomorrow's NFL game with the Jets/Broncos. One can get it anywhere from +7 at Bodog, down to 4 1/2 at Diamond (looks like an error on SBR as I see it's not on the site). Do I trust the most reputable sportsbook, such as Pinny at 6? Do I go with the rough average between the books? Or do I use my own brain? Any personal experience would help.
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Use pinny as the fair price, don't average them.Comment -
First of all, look at attached moneylines as the source of the apparently wide differences, especially with how books use such adjustments to protect themselves from NFL teaser sharps.
Then, look at push frequencies, because, for example, 5' and 6' aren't actually that wide apart.
Then look at the book itself: some, such as SIA or BODOG, aren't actually in the real market, because they boot or dual-line. Their numbers, from our POV, are essentially unavailable (though if you're new to sportsbetting, you should certainly avail).
After you do that, you'll find the market isn't as wide as you first thought. In fact, it should never be wider than the juice.Comment -
Go back and study pinnacles line. Follow how they move the line. I would go to vegasinsider and go back and study pinnacles moves. They are very good.Comment -
Use Pinny as the benchmark and you won't go too far wrong.
Bodog/SIA shade their lines towards the favourite in most cases but will place restrictions on your account if you play the dogs with them.Comment -
A lot of piece of shit books deal different lines to new players or habitual losers. If you are beating those lines you will get a sharp line. Basically two different lines on the same rotation or the same line very heavily juiced.
You can have the favorable line any time you want.
If you are a loser.Comment
