show me the munneh

[showtiime]

Obviously not much to play today but was still able to muster this one up, you could even say it's for late action but still confident enough in it to risk 2 units. Game in Italy has just started as I type this although that's a pre-match market only so can't be added & West ham game has also just kicked off but you could get that in live I guess, rest are tail-able, GL.

ENG C West Ham +0.5 / $1.37
ARG B Quilmes +0.5 / $1.30
ITA B Varese - Grosetto 2 or 3 goals / $1.95
POR 1 Academica - Oihanense u3 / $1.32
NBA San Antonio HT/FT / $1.30

Total odds: $6.04
Risking 2u to win 10.08u

[showtiime]

ENG C West Ham +0.5 / $1.37
ARG B Quilmes +0.5 / $1.30
ITA B Varese - Grosetto 2 or 3 goals / $1.95
POR 1 Academica - Oihanense u3 / $1.32
NBA San Antonio HT/FT / $1.30

Total odds: $6.04
Risking 2u to win 10.08u

LOSS -2u

Well after hitting everything last page I come up with a loss here, game in Italy plays spoiler with it being safe at 1-1 until 81' then Grosetto decide to score 2 goals in 2 minutes for it to end 1-3. You could say bit unlucky here as looking back at results dating back as far as last season - Grosetto hadn't scored 3 goals in their last 29 games, with Varese also not conceding 3 goals in their last 23. Pretty damning figures there but oh well whattayagonnado, that's what I get for playing for action. Doubt many are trawling the soccer forum on a dead night like this so only harm is done to myself.

Parlay record 15-40 +106.34u

[vangend]

LOSS -2u

Well after hitting everything last page I come up with a loss here, game in Italy plays spoiler with it being safe at 1-1 until 81' then Grosetto decide to score 2 goals in 2 minutes for it to end 1-3. You could say bit unlucky here as looking back at results dating back as far as last season - Grosetto hadn't scored 3 goals in their last 29 games, with Varese also not conceding 3 goals in their last 23. Pretty damning figures there but oh well whattayagonnado, that's what I get for playing for action. Doubt many are trawling the soccer forum on a dead night like this so only harm is done to myself.

Parlay record 15-40 +106.34u

My parlay is still alive, because I took the Italy game in-play I just took over 1,5 goals.

[O]

Obviously not much to play today but was still able to muster this one up, you could even say it's for late action but still confident enough in it to risk 2 units. Game in Italy has just started as I type this although that's a pre-match market only so can't be added & West ham game has also just kicked off but you could get that in live I guess, rest are tail-able, GL.

ENG C West Ham +0.5 / $1.37
ARG B Quilmes +0.5 / $1.30
ITA B Varese - Grosetto 2 or 3 goals / $1.95
POR 1 Academica - Oihanense u3 / $1.32
NBA San Antonio HT/FT / $1.30

Total odds: $6.04
Risking 2u to win 10.08u

Hey Showtime... first kudos man you have been stinging it. I had one request if possible, would you be able to post your plays a little earlier? The folks here in the US already have a tough time playing some of your plays because of the books so some 5 teamers quickly become 2 teamers if you know what I mean. It would be great to get them all in on time if possible.

Listen, if you are thinking "Fudge You", I agree. You are doing the work and risking your money, I am only potentially here to gain. So if that is the case I understand and wish you continued success.

[O]

Can anyone confirm the NBA San Antonio play? Is it ML or spread? I read it as ML but curious bc it is -1800

[BigTimeWinner]

Can anyone confirm the NBA San Antonio play? Is it ML or spread? I read it as ML but curious bc it is -1800

its san antoni to win at half time and end the game with a win

[O]

OK thanks so ML it is!

[JOHON8]

San Antonio is the best team/most underrated team in the NBA. I took them to win the championship at +700, it's dropping fast so get on it if I were you guys, hedge it when they meet Miami in the final (most likely IMO).

[showtiime]

San Antonio is the best team/most underrated team in the NBA. I took them to win the championship at +700, it's dropping fast so get on it if I were you guys, hedge it when they meet Miami in the final (most likely IMO).

They will win the West, no one is even close to their level right now, they've won 18 of their last 20, with 1 loss being to the Jazz when Pop sat the big 3 & they still ran them close, other being because Bynum got 30 rebounds.

They score at will, Parker is blowing by guys & playing at an MVP level while taking every other elite point guard to school. Only thing that would scare me is defense wins championships & this is their downfall, although in saying that how can you feel confident in the Heat when Lebron is such a bitch when push comes to shove. Would be a good series if they both make it out of their respective conference but I'd also lean Spurs with the coaching disparity also hard to ignore, may be the difference.

[camelbreath$]

showtiime, I've gotta ask, what is the picture in your avatar of?

[showtiime]

showtiime, I've gotta ask, what is the picture in your avatar of?

Jessica Alba cracking an egg on her head.

[Crowing Capers]

Would have love to eat that egg

[showtiime]

ITA B Livorno - Cittadella o2 / $1.45
UCL Barcelona win to nil / $1.83
EPL Aston Villa - Bolton u3 / $1.47
ENG CONF Gateshead - Luton u3.5 / $1.32
ENG CONF/s Basingstoke +0 / $1.45
Total odds: $7.53

Risking 2u to win $13.06u


Write up here on a few selections.
Game in Italy has now started but you could probably get that live at even better odds if theres no goals in the first 15. I rarely play overs in fact this thread is basically strictly asian lines on unders & handicaps but going to make an exception here as the stats are too hard to ignore, Livorno has scored & conceded in every single game this season, that's 14 games in a row which tempted me to go with BTS but decided with the safer option, Citadella have also been involved in a lot of overs as well recently as their games have averaged 3.4 goals in their last 10. Of course trends can always be bucked but surely this game will garner at the very least a push.

The game in Barcelona obviously has the highest odds & that is reflected on Chelsea's ability to score on the counter, while this worked in their first leg it was basically their only shot on target the whole game & I feel Barcelona with the bigger & wider pitch at Camp Nou the Catalans will have more space to do their thing & keeping the ball & not offering too many chances to the opposing team is what they do, I wouldn't be shocked if Chelsea possession is limited to under 25%. Barcelona are defending champs & while they know Chelsea will sit back & try hold on to their 1 goal advantage they also know that if Chelsea do nick an away goal on the counter then their chances of progressing through to the final will be almost insurmountable without putting them to the sword & they're not exactly in lightning form so while they may take the blues to the cleaners is more likely that if they get ahead by a couple they will play smart as a thrashing is not what's in order, it's a win which is most important.

Now we have Aston Villa & Bolton, going for the u3 here as most know Villa have trouble scoring & are severely depleted up front already & with Abgonlahor not likely to recover in time from a shoulder injury they will rely on Heskey for goals while Bolton's strike-force of Ngog & Klasnic hardly strikes fear into most back four's. On top of that Villa don't concede much at home so could be wrong here but going for a dull affair, maybe even a 1-1 as this seems to be a common scoreline with games involving Villa.

GL.

[LarryLeGrand]

Found this thread yesterday and this is really good work. I stopped doing bigger parlays a few years ago but your numbers make me think...
Nice stuff and good write-up as well!

[showtiime]

Hey Showtime... first kudos man you have been stinging it. I had one request if possible, would you be able to post your plays a little earlier? The folks here in the US already have a tough time playing some of your plays because of the books so some 5 teamers quickly become 2 teamers if you know what I mean. It would be great to get them all in on time if possible.

Listen, if you are thinking "Fudge You", I agree. You are doing the work and risking your money, I am only potentially here to gain. So if that is the case I understand and wish you continued success.

Fudge you.

Nah, kidding O, belated reply but I said I'd do it later & forgot - to answer your question in elongated form I realize sometimes I post these very close to kickoff for a couple of legs but this is just something I'm working on. You'll often see me apologizing to any followers / tailers if I'm posting something very close to the start of the first game but this is because it takes long enough to cap all these parlays without worrying about getting them in a couple hours before kickoff for this thread. I'm not one of these guys that jumps at the opening line as I feel I have enough of an edge in my betting strategy to cover getting a slightly worse price than what it opened at. Keep in mind I pick & choose what I post in here really as I don't want it cluttered with everything I play even though my profit numbers would be incomprehensible if I did. Just post what I feel has the highest chance of hitting - if I posted every single one I play in here it'd take up way too much of my time.

Also one of my undesired but avoidable traits is I'm a procrastinator & quite often I'll say I'll do some capping later & then forget about until an hour before the game, I'm distracted quite easily. One example being the other night (Saturday my time) I had a gig (DJ) & placed my parlay for some early games before I left the house yet completely forgot to post it in here until basically some games had already started but just decided to add it anyway for record purposes as I was very confident in it hitting (and it did). Amazing I got that in as well because it was actually posted checking bet365 placed bets on my iphone & actually posted it from another guy/dj's laptop inside the club, talk about dedication, ha. This was initially just a hobby as I've been a sports fanatic all my life but I decided to take it more seriously once I knew how much money could be made. It used to be the other way around but which ever way you place them sports & music seem to be the 2 things I'm good at while procrastinating unfortunately sits in 3rd, it's just hard sometimes sacrificing one thing for the other.

Anyway what I'm trying to say here is we all have our faults & mine happens to be putting things off that needed to be done & until this thread I didn't know how bad it was but will continue to work on it & hopefully get some in earlier in the future.

[showtiime]

Found this thread yesterday and this is really good work. I stopped doing bigger parlays a few years ago but your numbers make me think...
Nice stuff and good write-up as well!

Thanks. While the numbers look impressive on the surface, I know I can do much better & will try to be more selective in what I place in here in the future as I went through phases where I would try to get to my mini-goal of 100u profit in here in just a couple of hits.
I've now upped it to 200u once I finally reached my goal on the last page so will try to use a bit more patience from now on & did so heating up on the previous page & in turn if I stick to that rule hopefully line my pockets (& tailers) much quicker than it took last time. Will try to limit the over the top $20-30 odds parlays no matter how good I feel about them unless I've hit a few smaller ones in a row as it seems that was detrimental to my profit on more than a few occasions earlier in the thread. It's annoying because I hit those big ones often enough to warrant playing them but it seems they don't like cashing in this thread.

You're welcome to join in the fun if you have access to a decent soccer book, GL regardless.

[showtiime]

ITA B Livorno - Cittadella o2 / $1.45
UCL Barcelona win to nil / $1.83
EPL Aston Villa - Bolton u3 / $1.47
ENG CONF Gateshead - Luton u3.5 / $1.32
ENG CONF/s Basingstoke +0 / $1.45
Total odds: $7.53

Risking 2u to win $13.06u

LOSS -2u

Well Barcelona play sole spoiler - no need for words as the whole world knows the result but truth be told Chelsea struggled to string more than a few passes together even before the dismissal & when they did it was a rare occurrence. You'd think with the red card for Terry approaching HT it would help with the 'win to nil' but after going up 2-0 courtesy of Iniesta but the home side got too cocky pushing everyone forward & subsequently Lampard sent Ramires clear with a lovely through ball & the Brazilian cool-ly lifted it over Cech's head with a sublime finish on the stroke of half time to leave the Nou Camp stunned. They forgot they still had to defend even with a man advantage & got punished. Pep playing 3 at the back also didn't help the bet as they always look shaky back there with that 3-4-3 system he sometimes employs. I guess he felt more threatened by Chelsea's defence, not attack & chose to go with the extra man in midfield to give them another player who can pass, move & create while dropping back when necessary.
Chelsea put in a heroic effort to hold onto their advantage with everyone behind the ball in the 2nd half & Barcelona just could not break through the wall, Chelsea then score in injury time via Torres who latched onto a big heave over the top with Barcelona defending non-existent in the search of that elusive goal.

Oh well, has to go down in the most one-sided semi-final tie in recent memory except with defending triumphing as the team that dominated both legs crashes out in spectacular fashion.

What does this mean for Barcelona? Surely fingers will be pointed somewhere, I'm actually looking forward to hearing how this is taken in Spain with the Catalans knocked out of the Primera title race & CL within the space of a few days. It seems the invincibility they have build up over the past few years due to dominating everything in their path & winning trophies like they're going out of style has all but vanished in the space of a week. I wouldn't be surprised if there is a whiplash effect & Pep is blamed for it despite creating a dynasty that up until lately looked to be almost unbreakable.

Parlay record 15-41 +104.34u

[showtiime]

Not Cech's head typo up there, Ramires lifted it over Valdes' head obviously, still rattled from all the drama, had to clear that up.

[Punter101]

All you brave souls betting on cup games esp. after the QF, takes alot

[O]

Fudge you.

Nah, kidding O, belated reply but I said I'd do it later & forgot - to answer your question in elongated form I realize sometimes I post these very close to kickoff for a couple of legs but this is just something I'm working on. You'll often see me apologizing to any followers / tailers if I'm posting something very close to the start of the first game but this is because it takes long enough to cap all these parlays without worrying about getting them in a couple hours before kickoff for this thread. I'm not one of these guys that jumps at the opening line as I feel I have enough of an edge in my betting strategy to cover getting a slightly worse price than what it opened at. Keep in mind I pick & choose what I post in here really as I don't want it cluttered with everything I play even though my profit numbers would be incomprehensible if I did. Just post what I feel has the highest chance of hitting - if I posted every single one I play in here it'd take up way too much of my time.

Also one of my undesired but avoidable traits is I'm a procrastinator & quite often I'll say I'll do some capping later & then forget about until an hour before the game, I'm distracted quite easily. One example being the other night (Saturday my time) I had a gig (DJ) & placed my parlay for some early games before I left the house yet completely forgot to post it in here until basically some games had already started but just decided to add it anyway for record purposes as I was very confident in it hitting (and it did). Amazing I got that in as well because it was actually posted checking bet365 placed bets on my iphone & actually posted it from another guy/dj's laptop inside the club, talk about dedication, ha. This was initially just a hobby as I've been a sports fanatic all my life but I decided to take it more seriously once I knew how much money could be made. It used to be the other way around but which ever way you place them sports & music seem to be the 2 things I'm good at while procrastinating unfortunately sits in 3rd, it's just hard sometimes sacrificing one thing for the other.

Anyway what I'm trying to say here is we all have our faults & mine happens to be putting things off that needed to be done & until this thread I didn't know how bad it was but will continue to work on it & hopefully get some in earlier in the future.

No worries at all, mate. By all means you can post the plays 2 mins after kick off as you are the one that puts in the time. I was just making the request, because you have been incredibly impressive and I would like to try and get on board. That said, may be tough to follow completely using the US books. In any case, I want to try and follow what I can. Unfortunately for me, sometimes the legs I can follow are so close to post time. Thats ok, I will figure it out. Keep of the good work and the best of luck!

Keep the beats flowing and the money flying

[showtiime]

All you brave souls betting on cup games esp. after the QF, takes alot

Punter I seem to remember your previous post in here consisted of nothing but praise although now for some reason you feel the need to add something here which is an ill advised cheap shot that basically contradicted yourself when you highlighted a point I made in the match thread created for the game in a separate write up & was nodding your head so hard in agreeance your head nearly fell off.

Then you made about 100 posts in that thread on a match you 'weren't brave enough to bet on'. Nice one.

Then you tout you were on Chelsea out of nowhere when things were looking gloomy for the home side.

So, which is it? You weren't brave enough to bet, you were on Barcelona, Chelsea, or all 3?

Typical Monday morning quarterback, you might fool someone without a keen eye for these things but if you want to pick a fight with me you will get buried, which unfortunately for your case you've found out a bit too late, really no idea why you would even try as I don't remember saying anything to you throughout my tenure here at sbr.

Next time you attempt to troll do it in a thread where the OP doesn't notice things, until then stay out of here while the rest make money. There's no need to reply to justify what you said or you 'meant to say' as I'm sure your face is as red as a tomato but think twice before trying something like that again.

[Punter101]

Lol i go for madrid of course i was with Chelski. I was just saying it takes alot of balls to bet on cup games, thats a +1 for ya mate. Posts get mixed up for trolling or been sarcastic or mean or trolling because well it's just some character's before ya. Keep it up but i would never have backed chelski wouldn't even bet on these games too unpredictable for my liking

[showtiime]

Ahh the backtrack, it's a wonderful thing. A Madrid fan - how telling. You can't change what was quoted no matter what spin you want to put on it.

I see it clearly now - because I was on your arch nemesis you feel the need to add your unnecessary 2c in here after the game had been played, I guess that's fair if you live & breathe Madrid.

Once again, Monday morning quarterback. It's fine, I forgive you & wish you all the best in your future endeavours.

I'm sure you won't bet on tomorrow's game ala Madrid/Bayern as you're not a "brave soul" who bet's on an "unpredictable" cup match, right? You're speaking as if the game was an FA cup 1st rounder with an EPL B team playing a determined League 2 side. Unless of course you throw that golden rule out the window within the space of 24 hours, but hey they're your team right you can make an exception this time, betting with your heart is much smarter than trying to get an angle on a big game, you may have shown us the light. If there's something that's a lock - you're going to put your house on Madrid tomorrow completely contradicting yourself again.
No offense intended punter & this'll be the last reply you'll get from me but in the future think about what you're saying before you say it.

Have a good day.

[showtiime]

Bit of a switch up with a rugby league play. Melbourne should win comfortably but the price on that is un-backable on it's own while the spread doesn't have as much value as this market, it's just a matter if they don't conceded first points, something they rarely do. Would like to go a bit bigger on this but playing it safe as I didn't win last night & don't want to be in a position where I'm anything sub 100u here.

RL Melbourne Storm not to trail / $2.75

Risking 2u to win 3.5u

[MatI]

GL mate, let's get it.

They are last leg in parlay for me.

[TheRedGambler]

Do you play single picks too, or mainly just parlays?

[showtiime]

RL Melbourne Storm not to trail / $2.75

Risking 2u to win 3.5u

LOSS -2u

Well Melbourne win comfortably as predicted (32-14) & easily cover the spread of -8 but ruin the 'not to trail' play as the opposing team scored first. Only the 2nd time this season they have conceded the first points & they are the best team in the league in attack & d & I've cashed a few of their games with this market before so no biggie. Saw too much value to pass up & the safer play would be to take them on the spread but went for bigger odds & lost. Oh well, onto the next one.

Parlay record 15-42 ++102.34u

GL mate, let's get it.

They are last leg in parlay for me.

Hope you just took them on ML / spread bud, I'm sure that was the case anyway.

[MatI]

Yeah, I had them on ML. Bad luck showtime, shame they conceded first, it seemed Storm needed that to wake up though.

[showtiime]

These start in 30-90 mins, just getting in it a bit late like always but oh well.

ITA
AC Milan -1 / $1.32
Juventus Clean sheet / $1.72
MEX 2 Leon +0.5 / $1.50
SER 1 Partizan Belograd ml / $1.14
UCL Real Madrid +0,-0.5 / $1.32
AUT 2 FC Pasching - SV Villacher u2.5 / $1.80

Total odds: $9.00
Risking 2u to win 16.0u

[vangend]

Thanks !

[showtiime]

Decided to do a late write up on the game, you could get these 3 in live & the game starts in 15 so I guess there's still a bit of time to get it in but the odds won't change much in-play, unless something happens early. Anyway..

Well here were have the 2nd Champions League Semi-final played at the Bernebau, Spain. With Bayern winning the first leg 2-1 in Germany some would say the scoreline may have flattered the Germans but in the end Real Madrid could be happy with the end result in getting that crucial away goal that sets up this 2nd leg more in their favor.

I'm going to take Real Madrid to qualify for a couple reasons,

1. I personally think there won't be more than 1 goal scored by the half, Mou is the master of the 2'leg CL system, if Bayern somehow score first, that could be detrimental to this play as they may / could think that's enough to go through & don't push forward as much as they usually do, of course that's not their style & haven't really paid much attention to the pre-match banter so I guess it's up to Heynckes in what tactics he would deploy if that situation arose, it's highly doubtful though. Don't really think this one will have as much goals as everyone think it will but I'm not confident in the thought there will be more than 3 unless there's an early goal, that being said no where near confident enough to risk anything on it as I could be totally wrong. Both teams are attacking minded but while it should be more of a spectacle in terms of an more even (competitive) & free flowing game in areas - but I certainly don't think it'll be constant end to end. There's too much at stake & you could say even more so with Bayern as there would be no better time / chance to win the Champions League than when the final is in their house (Allianz Arena) vs a team in Chelsea who will have several players unavailable due to carry over yellows or injury.

Anyway another important factor I think will be..

2. Team morale. Real Madrid just beat Barcelona on their home turf at the Nou Camp to basically seal the Primera title & subsequently deny Barcelona the chance to defend their Championship from last season, this was an amazing win for them & Mourinho's first throughout his whole tenure with the club. When Ronaldo scored to make it 1-2, you could see they knew what they had accomplished & the utter joy of finally defeating their fierce rivals - Hey Ronaldo didn't even show his leg muscles off but he was composed as ever in beating Valdes & in turn making it virtually impossible for Barca to catch them in the last games of the season.

Bayern are in the opposite direction, Borussio Dortmund have already clinched the Bundesliga title & there is rumor of in-fighting within the camp. Specifically the word is, Ribery had a scuffle with Robben last week over Toni-kroos taking a free kick, it continued on into the dressing room & Ribery punched Robben in the face, & Robben was upset that nothing was done about it by the team, by all reports Robben in fairly 'soft'. Not sure if that part is true at the moment it's just hearsay as I haven't bothered to follow it up but if it is indeed true that's only going to be detrimental to the teams performance despite what they may think about leaving it off the pitch but & it may affect their level of play & with those particular 2 having the most technical ability on the team if they're not firing in Madrid it may be much easier to contain them especially if Madrid press the ball.
Will have 3 plays on this game, I'm going for Madrid to qualify in 90 minutes for 5 units.

UCL Real Madrid madrid to qualify in 90 minutes / $1.90 Risking 5u to win 4u
& to cover that play I'm going to place 1u on:

UCL
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich
Game to be decided after extra time / $11.00 / Risking 1u to win 10.00u
So basically wil be down 6u if Bayern qualify in the 90 minutes, or up units either way if it's won in extra time & doesn't go to penalties.

if it does I guess the fact that it lost will be cushioned by me not minding seeing big games in penalties, guess I just like the spectacle of it.
Anyway, GL to anyone who tails.

[showtiime]

Note: the bet is Game to be decided IN extra time not after, typo don't want to edit.

[showtiime]

Do you play single picks too, or mainly just parlays?

Sometimes but probably 25/75, just posted 3, thought you could get them both live but the 2nd one doesn't seem to be available, Madrid scored via Ronaldo about 20 seconds after I posted those plays & at the time of writing has just netted his brace so if you didn't pull a David Blaine & get that bet instantaneously upon being posted unfortunately the price for Madrid to qualify is now unbackable & will continue to be unless Bayern get an away goal, something which may well happen.

[showtiime]

noticing another typo but it's hard to proof read & get it in on time, 4u meaning to win 4.5u on RM in 90', forgot the .5

[showtiime]

Ha, penalties, damn.