My picks

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  • TonyDimy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-16-10
    • 558

    #281
    My strategy in these parlays is that I pick a team with ML at 1.4 or 1.5, a team in solid form at the moment and with a good history of latest results at a stadium where the game will take place. For example, I had two suitable options last night in NBA. Boston at Detroit @ 1.48 and Houston at home against Utah @ 1.42. But Boston had only one win in 5 latest games on the road and Detroit is definitely better than a few weeks ago. That's why I chose Houston. The same thing in NHL - I could take Bruins, NY or Canucks. If you look at the odds, Bruins were the easiest bet yesterday. Except it wasn't. In the latest 16 games Bruins had only 3 wins in regulation time, and they are even worse on the road. I almost bet on them, but luckily didn't pull the trigger. And chose Canucks instead, they are in great form and against an opponent who has about 30% winning percentage at home.
    Comment
    • TonyDimy
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-16-10
      • 558

      #282
      #1/Zaragoza - Betis/TO2.5 @ 2.18/1U
      Betis are fun, they can cover this total alone by scoring three, or by conceding. I would never risk to pick a side in this game, but the over sounds good. Especially knowing the history of these two teams.
      Comment
      • Gndias
        SBR MVP
        • 11-23-11
        • 1607

        #283
        Comment
        • TonyDimy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-16-10
          • 558

          #284
          Bonus parlay (nba/nhl), 2-0 since started posting: Lakers ML/Ottawa +1.5 @ 2.12

          Comment
          • TonyDimy
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-16-10
            • 558

            #285
            Originally posted by TonyDimy
            #1/Zaragoza - Betis/TO2.5 @ 2.18/1U
            Betis are fun, they can cover this total alone by scoring three, or by conceding. I would never risk to pick a side in this game, but the over sounds good. Especially knowing the history of these two teams.
            this over is now at 2.38...I guess something's wrong with the weather tonight? Otherwise it's even a better value.

            Nope, not the weather. Just checked. I'll add another 0.5U at 2.38
            Comment
            • Gndias
              SBR MVP
              • 11-23-11
              • 1607

              #286
              with you Tony....zaragoza's goalkeeper is the biggest joke i have seen lol
              Comment
              • latinrus
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-01-10
                • 11188

                #287
                I'm also on the over. GL!
                Comment
                • BigTimeWinner
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-13-12
                  • 1070

                  #288
                  just took the over hope you are right mate
                  Comment
                  • TonyDimy
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-16-10
                    • 558

                    #289
                    #1/Zaragoza - Betis/TO2.5 @ 2.18/1U+0.5U/0-2, -1.5U
                    And I thought I've seen everything...unbelievable game.
                    Overall: 32-19-3 (+17.29U)

                    I already have my picks (3) for tomorrow CL, I'm gonna post them later.
                    Comment
                    • BigTimeWinner
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-13-12
                      • 1070

                      #290
                      u posting your basketball parlay today? i might tail you

                      oh , you already did ...

                      what league is otawa on? cant find it on flashscore or bovada
                      Comment
                      • TonyDimy
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-16-10
                        • 558

                        #291
                        oh , you already did ...
                        Yep, and Ottawa already humiliated NYI 6-0, now I only need LAL.
                        what league is otawa on? cant find it on flashscore or bovada
                        you can't because the game is already finished about an hour ago
                        Comment
                        • BigTimeWinner
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-13-12
                          • 1070

                          #292
                          Originally posted by TonyDimy
                          Yep, and Ottawa already humiliated NYI 6-0, now I only need LAL.
                          nice, ill make a small bet on LAL
                          Comment
                          • allin1
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-07-11
                            • 4555

                            #293

                            I already have my picks (3) for tomorrow CL, I'm gonna post them later.
                            Will tail
                            Comment
                            • Gndias
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-23-11
                              • 1607

                              #294
                              damn on the Lakeshow too
                              Comment
                              • BigTimeWinner
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-13-12
                                • 1070

                                #295
                                Originally posted by TonyDimy
                                Bonus parlay (nba/nhl), 2-0 since started posting: Lakers ML/Ottawa +1.5 @ 2.12

                                Thanks for the lakers pick mate It balanced all my wasted money on soccer for the day as I parlayed it with OKC -6 1st half

                                Keep posting these parlays, I'll tail you for sure!
                                Comment
                                • TonyDimy
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-16-10
                                  • 558

                                  #296
                                  Bonus parlay (nba/nhl), 2-0 since started posting: Lakers ML/Ottawa +1.5 @ 2.12
                                  winner

                                  02.21.2012
                                  #1/Bologna - Fiorentina/both to score - NO @ 1.81/1.5U
                                  #2/CSKA - Real/Both to score @ 1.95/1.5U
                                  #3/Napoli - Chelsea/Napoli -0.5 @ 2.38/1.5U
                                  #4/Napoli - Chelsea/TO2.25 @ 2.0/1.5U


                                  Napoli are better than Chelsea and CSKA have enough of striking power to score at least a goal.

                                  Not so sure about the over though, be careful with this pick.
                                  Comment
                                  • TonyDimy
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-16-10
                                    • 558

                                    #297
                                    Now that I'm home, I'll elaborate my choices.

                                    #1. Both teams are more than capable to keep their sheet clean. And Fiorentina is probably the most boring road team in Serie A. This is my favorite play of the night.

                                    #2. I'm sure I don't need to explain why Real will not leave moscow without a goal. As for CSKA, with Doumbia back from African Cup, it shouldn't be an impossible problem to break Madrid's defense. Levante, for example, did it twice. And Doumbia is one of the best strikers in european championships at the moment. Really, he is. I'm not sure about his current form after the winter break, but he should be allright. Alan Dzagoev is able to score too, of course. These guys are able to create difficulties for Real tonight.

                                    #3 and #4. Napoli in CL is a different team from Serie A. They are agressive, fast, emotional and they always want to win against any team. Chelsea ,even with Essien and Drogba back, are crap. They just can't play football right now. The only question is - is this thing psychological or not? If it is, you never know when Chelsea will bounce back. But when they will, we'll know it. Right now 2.38 for Napoli's win is a great value.
                                    Comment
                                    • TonyDimy
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-16-10
                                      • 558

                                      #298
                                      No suitable game in NBA, it means no 'bonus parlay' for tomorrow, sorry. But I must say that NHL's Calgary ML could be a good option to parlay with something else. For example, with Napoli +0.5, I just can't see them losing tonight.
                                      Comment
                                      • allin1
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-07-11
                                        • 4555

                                        #299
                                        Tailing on 1, 2 and on napoli I have dc but no bet on totals yet

                                        Comment
                                        • BigTimeWinner
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-13-12
                                          • 1070

                                          #300
                                          Originally posted by TonyDimy
                                          No suitable game in NBA, it means no 'bonus parlay' for tomorrow, sorry. But I must say that NHL's Calgary ML could be a good option to parlay with something else. For example, with Napoli +0.5, I just can't see them losing tonight.
                                          tony, I've got odds on calgary flames to win at 1,57 only @bovada/bodog. I see most other sportsbooks have them at 1,90. bovada is a 'us bookie' so it might be they are expecting an easy win for calgary ...
                                          Comment
                                          • TonyDimy
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-16-10
                                            • 558

                                            #301
                                            Originally posted by BigTimeWinner
                                            tony, I've got odds on calgary flames to win at 1,57 only @bovada/bodog. I see most other sportsbooks have them at 1,90. bovada is a 'us bookie' so it might be they are expecting an easy win for calgary ...
                                            1.90 is for a win in regulation time, 1.57 is Calgary ML including overtime and penalties (1.65 at my bookie), that would explain the difference. And yeah, probably an easy win, that's why I suggested this game. Sadly, the only NBA game that qualifies for my system is Portland at home against Spurs, but that's just dumb. I would never bet on Portland in this spot, even though Spurs +4.5 line seem to good to be true.

                                            I parlayed Calgary with Napoli +0.5 @ 2.25 and feel pretty confident about it. I also took Spurs +4.5 anyway.
                                            Comment
                                            • TonyDimy
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-16-10
                                              • 558

                                              #302
                                              I really like CSKA's line up for today. Can't imagine them not to score.
                                              Comment
                                              • allin1
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-07-11
                                                • 4555

                                                #303
                                                Originally posted by TonyDimy
                                                I really like CSKA's line up for today. Can't imagine them not to score.

                                                Comment
                                                • allin1
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-07-11
                                                  • 4555

                                                  #304
                                                  0-1 now we need CSkA to score
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Gndias
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-23-11
                                                    • 1607

                                                    #305
                                                    not on the 1st half
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TonyDimy
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-16-10
                                                      • 558

                                                      #306
                                                      They need to calm down. There was a lot of chances to create a dangerous attack, but they are too nervous. HT should help, and change Tosic already, from the moment CSKA bought him, I can't understand what's he doing on the field. He suck at everything. I'd like to see Keisuke Honda and Tomas Necid in the second half.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BigTimeWinner
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 01-13-12
                                                        • 1070

                                                        #307
                                                        come on CSKA, they should try just a little harder and put more players in attack because they look sharp enough to score ... why on earth is HONDA not playing? no rahimic either ... I remember last year they were on the starting line up always, right?

                                                        Rahimic for Wernbloom
                                                        Honda for Tosic should change CSKA game for better ...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Gndias
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-23-11
                                                          • 1607

                                                          #308
                                                          tosic is half the player he was on partizan ;i tought he was gonna be big on manchester i am with you cska really needs honda ,still i think real will score the 2nd
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TonyDimy
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-16-10
                                                            • 558

                                                            #309


                                                            well, that was funny
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Gndias
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-23-11
                                                              • 1607

                                                              #310
                                                              goalllllllllllllllll in the final minute
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BigTimeWinner
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-13-12
                                                                • 1070

                                                                #311
                                                                F'uck YEAAAAAAAAAH
                                                                Comment
                                                                • allin1
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-07-11
                                                                  • 4555

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Brilliant. Nice one Tony!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigTimeWinner
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-13-12
                                                                    • 1070

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Bologna won too
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TonyDimy
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-16-10
                                                                      • 558

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Originally posted by BigTimeWinner
                                                                      Bologna won too
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • allin1
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-07-11
                                                                        • 4555

                                                                        #315
                                                                        good day with your picks tony. Napoli looks like a certain win
                                                                        Comment
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