Matty's Soccer Tips 2012

MatI · 07-02-12, 06:02 AM

Originally posted by MatI

MLB, Chicago White Sox(Peavy) @ NY Yankees(Kuroda)
NY Yankees ML @ 1.73 - risking 1u - WIN

Tour de France Prologue - Cadel Evans @ 1.87 vs Sylvain Chavanel - risking 1u - LOSS

NASCAR Sprint Cup Kentucky, Top 5 Finish - Greg Biffle @ 2.00 - 1u - LOSS

MLS, Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls, Over 2.5 @ 1.70 - risking 1u - LOSS

AFL, Geelong vs Port AdelaideGeelong to Kick More Goals Than Behinds @ 1.75 - risking 2u - LOSS

NRL, Canberra Raiders vs St George Dragons, Under 37.5 @ 1.90 - 1u - LOSS

A complete disaster over the last few days. Some really sick beats too.

- MLS game had two goals in the first 5 minutes then nothing for the rest of the game.
- AFL game was a winner with 4 minutes left until Geelong miss two set shots on goal to make it a loss.
- NRL tonight was also a winner until a late try pushes the game over with 90 seconds left.

FML

Thread Total YTD-
149-160-12
-10.706 units

Pending:
2012 Le Tour de France - STAGE 2
H2H - Samuel Sanchez vs Andreas Kloden Andreas Kloden @ 1.71 - risking 1u

2012 Le Tour de France - FUTURES
Outright Points Classification, Mark Cavendish @ 5.15 - 1u
Outright King of the Mountain Classification, Samuel Sanchez @ 8.50 - 1u

MatI · 07-03-12, 07:07 PM

MLS, Houston Dynamo v Chicago Fire, Over 2.5 @ 1.925 - 1u

Optional · 07-04-12, 12:04 AM

I tailed the 2 tour futures the other day mate. LMK when/if you see the opportunity to hedge them if needed. ;-)

MatI · 07-04-12, 12:54 AM

Will do Opti.

Sagan is running away with the points classification so far, but I think he comes back to the pack a little over the next few days. And still no proper mountain stages as of yet, we will need to wait another week atleast to see how that future is panning out.

But I will let you know what I plan on doing...

I was just looking at Silverstone Odds, some good options I think, a little more crunching today and hopefully locking some plays in asap. Rain forecast though, so it could all be thrown up in the air by mother nature.

Optional · 07-04-12, 01:00 AM

I've been waiting until weather forecast is a bit more certain myself. Kind of hoping for Webber to have a good weekend more than really leaning anything yet anyway.

MatI · 07-04-12, 01:26 AM

NRL, State of Origin Game 3, Queensland v New South Wales, Over 34.5 @ 1.91 - 1u

clting08 · 07-04-12, 07:18 AM

Originally posted by MatI

NRL, State of Origin Game 3, Queensland v New South Wales, Over 34.5 @ 1.91 - 1u

2

2580769467
Rugby
07/04/2012
03:47:03 AM

Over 35.5
Over/Under
Queensland Maroons -vs- New South Wales Blues
Rugby League - State of Origin @ 07/04/2012

0.91
M

200.00
200.00

182.00
0.00

Won
HT 0 : 0
FT 21 : 20

Bet Won

Thanks

MatI · 07-04-12, 08:34 PM

No worries, glad you got a winner.

MatI · 07-06-12, 03:29 AM

Indycar, Toronto
Race Winner - Will Power @ 2.50 - 1u

F1, British Grand Prix
Winning Team - Red Bull @ 3.15 - 1u
Race H2H, Kovalainen @ 1.88 over Petrov - 1u

I am thinking of sitting out any pole position plays at forecast at this stage is for rain during the session. Safer to stick with just race results at this stage IMO.

MatI · 07-06-12, 03:52 AM

Parlay:
NRL, Wests Tigers v Canterbury Bulldogs ML / AFL, Collingwood ML v Carlton @ 1.73 - risking 1.5u

MatI · 07-06-12, 04:05 PM

NASCAR Nationwide, Daytona 250 - Race H2H, Cole Whitt @ 1.714 over Danica Patrick - 1u

MatI · 07-06-12, 05:04 PM

Originally posted by MatI

F1, British Grand Prix
Winning Team - Red Bull @ 3.15 - 1u
Race H2H, Kovalainen @ 1.88 over Petrov - 1u

Top 3 Finish - Lewis Hamilton @ 1.90 - 1u

I'm also taking this as a sort of 'hedge' against the Red Bull to Win bet. Lewis looked very comfortable in the wet and looks very confident for the weekend. He has usually done well at Silverstone and should be a factor come Sunday. There is also a chance to hit the RB win & Lewis on the podium so worth a shot IMO.

MatI · 07-07-12, 05:27 PM

NASCAR Sprint Cup, Daytona 400
Top 5 Finish - Greg Biffle @ 2.60 - 1u
Race H2H - Ambrose @ 1.952 over Montoya - 1u

MatI · 07-07-12, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by MatI

2012 Le Tour de France - STAGE 2
H2H - Samuel Sanchez vs Andreas Kloden Andreas Kloden @ 1.71 - risking 1u - LOSS

Originally posted by MatI

MLS, Houston Dynamo v Chicago Fire, Over 2.5 @ 1.925 - 1u - LOSS

Originally posted by MatI

NRL, State of Origin Game 3, Queensland v New South Wales, Over 34.5 @ 1.91 - 1u - WIN

Originally posted by MatI

Parlay:
NRL, Wests Tigers v Canterbury Bulldogs ML / AFL, Collingwood ML v Carlton @ 1.73 - risking 1.5u - LOSS

Originally posted by MatI

NASCAR Nationwide, Daytona 250 - Race H2H, Cole Whitt @ 1.714 over Danica Patrick - 1u - WIN

Thread Total YTD-
151-163-12
-12.306 units

Pending:
NASCAR Sprint Cup, Daytona 400
Top 5 Finish - Greg Biffle @ 2.60 - 1u
Race H2H - Ambrose @ 1.952 over Montoya - 1u

F1, British Grand Prix
Winning Team - Red Bull @ 3.15 - 1u
Top 3 Finish - Lewis Hamilton @ 1.90 - 1u
Race H2H, Kovalainen @ 1.88 over Petrov - 1u

Indycar, Toronto
Race Winner - Will Power @ 2.50 - 1u

2012 Le Tour de France - FUTURES
Outright Points Classification, Mark Cavendish @ 5.15 - 1u
Outright King of the Mountain Classification, Samuel Sanchez @ 8.50 - 1u

Optional · 07-08-12, 05:24 AM

Like anything for MotoGP?

MatI · 07-08-12, 05:54 AM

I don't actually, I have had a look but I don't see any value in any of the plays and i'm really not sure who will win out of the 2 Hona bikes & Lorenzo.

I am planning on having a few more for silverstone race, but im waiting to the last minute for weather updates.

MatI · 07-08-12, 06:41 AM

Originally posted by MatI

F1, British Grand Prix
Winning Team - Red Bull @ 3.15 - 1u
Top 3 Finish - Lewis Hamilton @ 1.90 - 1u
Race H2H, Kovalainen @ 1.88 over Petrov - 1u

I'm adding a couple more plays for the race...

No Safety Car @ 2.90 - 1u
Zero cars fail to finish Lap 1 @ 1.75 - risking 1u

Optional · 07-08-12, 06:45 AM

That seems good odds for no SC.

What's the norm here?

MatI · 07-08-12, 06:50 AM

Originally posted by Optional

That seems good odds for no SC.

What's the norm here?

being so close I didn't bother explaining my choice there, just got it up, but normally there is 57percent chance of rain at silverstone, but no way it should be priced @ 2.90. Should actually be closer to 1.90 IMO. Chances of SC obviously increase it rains, but I think if we get any it will be light, if any is heavy, should be very brief.

Def worth a punt at those odds, I have watched it move from 2.10 to 2.90 in the last couple days. Over reaction on Fri/Sat conditions.

Optional · 07-08-12, 06:52 AM

I didn't even think about rain = SC at first LOL

Oh well, I'm with you now. But think we will see rain...

MatI · 07-08-12, 11:14 AM

Originally posted by MatI

Indycar, Toronto
Race Winner - Will Power @ 2.50 - 1u

Adding one more for the Indycar race:

Race H2H, Hildebrand @ 1.769 over Carpenter - risking 1u

MatI · 07-09-12, 04:00 AM

Originally posted by MatI

NASCAR Sprint Cup, Daytona 400
Top 5 Finish - Greg Biffle @ 2.60 - 1u - LOSS
Race H2H - Ambrose @ 1.952 over Montoya - 1u - LOSS

F1, British Grand Prix
Winning Team - Red Bull @ 3.15 - 1u - WIN
Top 3 Finish - Lewis Hamilton @ 1.90 - 1u - LOSS
Race H2H, Kovalainen @ 1.88 over Petrov - 1u - WIN
No Safety Car @ 2.90 - 1u - WIN
Zero cars fail to finish Lap 1 @ 1.75 - risking 1u - WIN

Indycar, Toronto
Race H2H, Hildebrand @ 1.769 over Carpenter - risking 1u - WIN
Race Winner - Will Power @ 2.50 - 1u - LOSS

2012 Le Tour de France
Outright King of the Mountain Classification, Samuel Sanchez @ 8.50 - 1u - LOSS

It's a shame to lose the tour future so early in the race, Sammy Sanchez broke a finger yesterday and is out of the tour. Good news for him is that he is still likely to to make the Olympics as it was looking touch and go after his fall.

Thread Total YTD-
156-168-12
-10.887 units

Pending:
2012 Le Tour de France - FUTURES
Outright Points Classification, Mark Cavendish @ 5.15 - 1u

MatI · 07-09-12, 11:22 AM

MLB, Home Run Derby - Robinson Cano @ 6.00 - 0.5u

MatI · 07-09-12, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by MatI

MLB, Home Run Derby - Robinson Cano @ 6.00 - 0.5u

Adding for HR Derby:

Carlos Beltran @ 9.00 - 0.25u

MatI · 07-12-12, 05:47 AM

2012 Le Tour de France - Stage 11 H2H
Jurgen Van Den Broeck @ 1.71 over Bradley Wiggins - risking 1.5u

MatI · 07-12-12, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by MatI

MLB, Home Run Derby - Robinson Cano @ 6.00 - 0.5u - LOSS
Carlos Beltran @ 9.00 - 0.25u - LOSS

Originally posted by MatI

2012 Le Tour de France - Stage 11 H2H
Jurgen Van Den Broeck @ 1.71 over Bradley Wiggins - risking 1.5u - WIN

Thread Total YTD-
157-170-12
-10.572 units

Pending:
2012 Le Tour de France - FUTURES
Outright Points Classification, Mark Cavendish @ 5.15 - 1u

MatI · 07-12-12, 11:13 PM

MotoGP, Italian Grand Prix, Pole Position - Casey Stoner @ 2.00 - 1u

MatI · 07-12-12, 11:36 PM

Moto2, Italian Grand Prix, Podium Finish - Andrea Iannone @ 2.10 - 1u

Moto3, Italian Grand Prix, Podium Finish - Luis Salom @ 2.70 - 1u

MatI · 07-13-12, 06:13 AM

LIVE BET - AFL, North Melbourne vs Carlton
2nd Half, Carlton -2.5 @ 1.88 - 1u

MatI · 07-14-12, 04:23 AM

AFL, Brisbane v St Kilda,
St Kilda Games Total Over 90 @ 1.88 - 1.5u

MatI · 07-14-12, 05:54 AM

MotoGP, Italian Grand Prix - Qual H2H, Ben Spies @ 1.72 over Cal Crutchlow - risking 1u

MatI · 07-14-12, 12:43 PM

NASCAR Nationwide, New Hampshire 200
Race H2H - Kyle Busch @ 1.833 over Kevin Harvick - risking 1u
Race H2H - Brian Scott @ 1.741 over Danica Patrick - risking 1u

MatI · 07-14-12, 07:47 PM

NASCAR Truck Series, New Hampshire 200
Race H2H - James Lofton @ 1.69 over Jason Leffler - risking 1u

MatI · 07-14-12, 10:02 PM

AFL, Greater Western Sydney vs Adelaide Crows
1st Half, Adelaide -35.5 @ 1.91 - 1u

MatI · 07-15-12, 12:06 AM

AFL, Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn, Over 187.5 @ 1.91 - 1.5u