FIFA Club World Cup (Kashiwa vs. Auckland)

[apeterlives]

Hey, anyone have any opinions on this match? Thinking of taking the over 3 goals fulltime and maybe Kashiwa -2 (they have looked impressive so far).

“As J.League champions, many people in Japan are expecting big things from us,” Kitajima told FIFA.com. “As a team, we want to win, while personally I just want to score whenever I’m on the field and contribute to the team.”
“We’ll give our all in every match,” Kitajima said, adding that the FIFA Club World Cup is “a stage I’ve dreamed of playing on". "I don’t want to just take part, I want to play well and win," he added. "The team feels the same, no matter what the game is."

http://www.fifa.com/clubworldcup/news/newsid=1553165/index.html

[TheAntFather]

I'll play the OVER 3 goals.

[FindTheLock]

Auckland is a amateur team...

[decado]

domingues and tanaka to score anytime.

[agentu75]

Hosts Kashiwa Reysol trained by Nelson Baptist recorded in the last games played a total of four victories with Albirex Niigata 4-0 at home with Ventforet Kofu 6-1 at home, with Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 away and Urawa Reds 3-1 away in the last match played on 3 December 2011 with a draw 1-1 Cerezo Osaka ppropriu field. Their guests today Auckland City
recorded in a total of 5 games played with Kolo consecutive wins 4-1 away, with Team Wellington 4-2 at home, with Waitakere United 3-1 away, with Hekari United 2-0 at home, with Young Heart Manawutu 5-0 at home in the last match played on 27 November 2011. Kashiwa Reysol also recorded in the last 3 / 5 games to break at least 2 golurii nscrise and Auckland City have just 3 / 5 games with at least 2 goals scored to break.

I'll play the over !

[riffraff24]

Would you guys still take the over at 3.5?

[TheAntFather]

Which book has it at OVER 3.5? bookmaker has it at OVER 3 and BetIslands at OVER 3.25.

[dmiles1021]

ill take the under at +120 odds guys

[FindTheLock]

If I were to make a play I would take Reysol -2-106. I don't think Auckland is going to score at all.

[riffraff24]

Which book has it at OVER 3.5? bookmaker has it at OVER 3 and BetIslands at OVER 3.25.

5 Dimes is Over 3.5 (-110) and 3.25 (-137)

[riffraff24]

Wow 5Dimes went from -2 (-110) to -2 (+115) in minutes

[FindTheLock]

RLM More often than not you're better taking the +114

[riffraff24]

I already locked it in at -110 ...owell it wont matter if it wins!

[TheAntFather]

Auckland City was +2 (-110) 20 minutes ago, now it's Auckland City +2 (-140) at BetIslands right now.

[riffraff24]

you mean +?

[FindTheLock]

the juice is loose, watch reysol win 3-0 lol

[riffraff24]

the juice is loose, watch reysol win 3-0 lol

i'd be even since i flat betted with -2 and the over. Now a 2-1 game and id be ******. but **** this negativity. lets get this!!

[TheAntFather]

Bookmaker now has Reysol -1.5, it was Reysol -2 just a couple of minutes ago.

[riffraff24]

Bookmaker now has Reysol -1.5, it was Reysol -2 just a couple of minutes ago.

this is fishy. Just jumped from +114 to +123 on 5Dimes instantly

[FindTheLock]

someone must have hit that hard on the +2... maybe a fix??

[riffraff24]

Can anyone see the % of bets going on each side?

[riffraff24]

At one point it was + odds for Auckland +2. Now it's + odds for Kashiwa. Could have had guaranteed profit if we were on auckland early haha.

[TheAntFather]

If everyone knows that Reysol is the better team, why would the books open themselves up to get burned on Reysol -1.5. I bet everyone and their mom is betting Reysol -1.5 right now. It looks too good to be true.

[FindTheLock]

I would buy out of all bets if possible... this game seems fishy. maybe it will be as we all expected, but the line movement on such an obscure game is odd to say the least.

[riffraff24]

If everyone knows that Reysol is the better team, why would the books open themselves up to get burned on Reysol -1.5. I bet everyone and their mom is betting Reysol -1.5 right now. It looks too good to be true.

I agree but im too pussy to buy out of this. aghhhhhhhh

[FindTheLock]

I'm not betting on this game, but I am going to watch it with interest to see how it pans out.

[riffraff24]

Maybe we are over reacting. Or maybe its a complete setup. We'll see.

[riffraff24]

The more i think about it the more nervous im getting lol. a 2 pt spread on an obscure match would be the ideal game to fix. aggggh

[FindTheLock]

it almost makes me want to sprinkle a little bit on the Auckland ML. I am envisioning 3 red cards or something crazy and fishy...

[riffraff24]

it almost makes me want to sprinkle a little bit on the Auckland ML. I am envisioning 3 red cards or something crazy and fishy...

I don't know. Is the +30 juice this big of a red flag? possibly. Its back down to +111 at 5Dimes.

Is it possible that there was such a small amount of plays on this game that it caused the lines to bounce around?

[FindTheLock]

could be just a ploy to get us second guessing... this might be one of those too good to be true bets that actually turns out to be true. I mean I don't know how an Amateur side could beat a pro side in this sport. Reysol has some good players on their team that get paid to play, while Auckland are just a bunch of 9-5 time clock punchers that play for fun.

[hedgejob]

Reysol won the J-League on the last match day this past weekend. They would have done some serious partying since so who knows how they are going to pull up. Everyone is on the over which is scary.

[riffraff24]

The only preview stories I can find on the match quotes the amateur side's coach saying he things his squad can pull off a win. Its possible that people are reading that and assuming it will stay within 2....btw all the way back to +104 on 5dimes

[Hory]

It's happened before, Auckland City beat pro sides from Africa and the Middle East in the 2009 competition.

But yea, I'm on the Reysol -1.5 hard

[FindTheLock]

Middle east pro teams=Amateur teams ... japan gets brazilian's playing over there who have a lot of skill.