A-League Handicapping 2011/12

Aussiecapper101 · 12-15-11, 09:55 PM

Definitely not gonna be on tonights game puda, it doesn't excite me at all

Puda · 12-15-11, 10:14 PM

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

Definitely not gonna be on tonights game puda, it doesn't excite me at all

My leans:
Reds v GC - Reds ML
Jets v Sydney - DRAW or +0.5 Sydney
Roar v CCM - CCM ML or +0.5
Perth v Heart - DRAW or +0.5 Heart
Victory v Phoenix - Victory ML

PhillyUnionCC · 12-16-11, 02:19 AM

I know you said your laying off. But what way would you lean on the total?

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 02:21 AM

these teams have played 8 times and the Under is 5-3 when they play. Each team has won twice and drawn 4 out of the 8 times.

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 02:23 AM

Adelaide is 7th in the standings when playing at home and Gold Coast is 9th in the away standings. Might be a draw?

PhillyUnionCC · 12-16-11, 02:23 AM

Jeez that's really tough. Idk why but I feel like the over will hit

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 02:25 AM

I would check the injury report on both teams to see if they are missing any defenders or attackers.

ultrasouth · 12-16-11, 02:30 AM

Van Dijk will be better for the run if Adelaide cant beat GC at home then they can kiss the finals goodbye.

PhillyUnionCC · 12-16-11, 02:32 AM

I think I'm gonna take the over. 2 worst defenses in the league. No major injuries

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 02:35 AM

GL! with the information I looked into I would take the Under if I made any play, but I am not betting on this one at all. I wouldn't be surprised to see it go either way. These teams are very evenly matched though, and when that is the case I usually lean towards the under.

PhillyUnionCC · 12-16-11, 02:37 AM

I might just lay off. Who knows lol

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 02:40 AM

If I think two teams might draw I usually think the under is the better option. It isn't common to see 2-2 or 3-3 games in this sport. It would be more likely for draws to end 0-0 or 1-1, but then again Either team could stomp the other one if one of them has an off night. Neither of these teams has a reliable track record for a bettor, which is probably why aussiecapper is laying off.

PhillyUnionCC · 12-16-11, 03:42 AM

I took adel win or draw

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 04:28 AM

wow they are coming close to scoring on every play... this one might go over tonight.

PhillyUnionCC · 12-16-11, 04:41 AM

Im done with this league. Should have just ******* went with my gut and took the over

PhillyUnionCC · 12-16-11, 04:42 AM

Once again I let bullshit previous stats influence my picks

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 04:44 AM

it's a tough league to beat. They don't have many consistent teams. I have lost more than I've won on this league, which is why I don't bet on it... You still have a chance for a come back.

TheAntFather · 12-16-11, 05:01 AM

Is there any games you like later Lock?

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 05:03 AM

I haven't finished looking at all the options for today, but if I find something I like I will make a thread...

Aeiou1x2 · 12-16-11, 05:38 AM

hm.. it looks like the game will end 2-0

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 05:56 AM

93rd minute 0-3 Gold Coast. Came down to the last minute.

PhillyUnionCC · 12-16-11, 05:57 AM

And my over would have hit. **** me. I got scared off after that stat you showed me

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 05:57 AM

well man it was down to the last minute. Wasn't a good game to bet on.

Aeiou1x2 · 12-16-11, 05:57 AM

Yes!! 3-0!

PhillyUnionCC · 12-16-11, 05:58 AM

Not over till the whistle blows. Match went over lol

FindTheLock · 12-16-11, 05:59 AM

I am just glad I laid off that bet. No edge going into the match.

Aussiecapper101 · 12-16-11, 06:40 AM

Sorry boys I was busy as all crap today I missed some posts. Hope y'all had a win

Aussiecapper101 · 12-16-11, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by FindTheLock

If I think two teams might draw I usually think the under is the better option. It isn't common to see 2-2 or 3-3 games in this sport. It would be more likely for draws to end 0-0 or 1-1, but then again Either team could stomp the other one if one of them has an off night. Neither of these teams has a reliable track record for a bettor, which is probably why aussiecapper is laying off.

exactly, but thats the story of the A-league like check that result for instance 3-0 gold coast what would that have been paying for exact result 151 to 1?? I'm telling you boys Friday night A-league is the worst spot for a bettor, check the history or whatever if need be I'm confident you will find some crazy ass results like last night happen more often than not.. I dont know what it is but if you are betting to win and not just looking for action then lay off the Friday night Aleague.. And I certaintly dont have anything against anyone who does play these games or bets for a bit of action/fun on a friday night but IMO for my own bankroll its alot safer if I just skip the game and watch at a later date with a lot of fast forwarding

Now lets get Busy!!

Aussiecapper101 · 12-16-11, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by FindTheLock

I haven't finished looking at all the options for today, but if I find something I like I will make a thread...

Please if you do post us a link, most of the time I'm on the iphone and can only view subscriptions easily.. Also feel free to post your plays here but please clearly state whether its an official play of yours or just a lean (and an overall record if its a long term thing).

Cheers

Aussiecapper101 · 12-16-11, 02:33 PM

THIS WEEKS PLAYS

NEWCASTLE PK -107 (1 UNIT) pinnacle

NEWCASTLE VS SYDNEY OVER 2 AND 2.5 -107 (2.5 UNITS) pinnacle

BRISBANE ROAR PK AND -0.5 -115 (2 UNITS) pinnacle

PERTH GLORY VS MELB HEART OVER 2 AND 2.5 -102 (1.5 UNITS) pinnacle

MELB VICTORY VS WELLINGTON PHX UNDER 2 AND 2.5 -108 (1 UNIT) pinnacle

Overall record is creeping up to almost -10 units off the top of my head after last week but will update officially over the weekend, this took long enough as is for now!

GFL! seriously lets get some green lights this week on these plays!

ultrasouth · 12-16-11, 05:29 PM

Good luck with your plays Aussiecapper.

I like your newcastle syd fc over 2.5 and perth glory heart over 2.5 think syd fc can beat newcastle but who knows with this unpredictable league.

Puda · 12-16-11, 07:29 PM

lol @ the reds last night... thought they would should some fight at home.... to concede soo many... oh well

MatI · 12-17-11, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by ultrasouth

Good luck with your plays Aussiecapper.

I like your newcastle syd fc over 2.5 and perth glory heart over 2.5 think syd fc can beat newcastle but who knows with this unpredictable league.

Love this Newcastle/Sydney Over as well. Took the same as aussicapper to be safe.

I much prefer Sydney FC to win this game though, but wouldnt be surprised if it ends differently! Also there is no way I could make a play on Brisbane Roar at the moment, especially against CCM!

GL guys.

Aussiecapper101 · 12-17-11, 01:07 AM

Originally posted by Puda

lol @ the reds last night... thought they would should some fight at home.... to concede soo many... oh well

It was a Perth glory effort!

Aussiecapper101 · 12-17-11, 01:08 AM

GL today boys