A-League Handicapping 2011/12

Aussiecapper101 · 10-08-11, 11:26 PM

For Today

Gold coast vs Wellington over 2.5 +106 (1UNIT)

Perth Glory PK -114 (1.5 UNITS)

Aussiecapper101 · 10-08-11, 11:27 PM

PK also known as draw no bet.

I get my odds mostly off pinnacle

GL

SiMON2g · 10-09-11, 12:33 AM

Good luck mate, where in Australia are you from? I'm from Melbourne myself, was at the Victory/Sydney game last night.

PS Emmanuelle Chriqui is fine

Aussiecapper101 · 10-09-11, 12:40 AM

I'm from Perth, I can't wait to see kewell play here

I'm hoping Travis Dodd is on fire this arvo

Puda · 10-09-11, 01:22 AM

I think the reds will be quality this year...just how the lose of marco floris will effect them.

Aussiecapper101 · 10-09-11, 01:34 AM

They will miss him big I reckon, I do beleive they'll be strong but the glory usually start the season well and their new signings are linking up well

Puda · 10-09-11, 01:37 AM

lol. the phoenix are up. interesting, glad I didn't lay an bets down first week.

Aussiecapper101 · 10-09-11, 01:38 AM

I hope they find something so I can treat myself to some of this over 2.5

Aussiecapper101 · 10-09-11, 08:23 AM

For Today

Gold coast vs Wellington over 2.5 +106 (1UNIT)

Perth Glory PK -114 (1.5 UNITS)

Not a bad day, especially as so many were drinking the Adelaide reds kool-aid nice and early in the season whilst the perth glory scored the winner!!

Current record 1-1 +0.54 UNITS

Be back mid week

BigBurk · 10-09-11, 09:17 AM

Good luck on the season!

Aussiecapper101 · 10-09-11, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by BigBurk

Good luck on the season!

Thanks mate I'm looking forward to next week already!

Aussiecapper101 · 10-10-11, 11:49 AM

EARLY PLAYS FOR 14/10

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide Over 2.5 -104 (2 UNITS) pinnacle
Central Coast Mariners -0.5 -102 (0.5 UNITS) pinnacle

Early thinking for the Sydney FC game is that I'd love to get -120 for pk and +0.5!! We'll have to see

HighVoltage · 10-10-11, 05:43 PM

GL with your plays

Aussiecapper101 · 10-10-11, 08:21 PM

Thx mate should have a few this week, looking for value tho

ultrasouth · 10-11-11, 07:36 AM

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

EARLY PLAYS FOR 14/10

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide Over 2.5 -104 (2 UNITS) pinnacle
Central Coast Mariners -0.5 -102 (0.5 UNITS) pinnacle

Early thinking for the Sydney FC game is that I'd love to get -120 for pk and +0.5!! We'll have to see

Like the over also in the melb v adelaide game i think the victory will struggle a bit in defence this season which will results in a few goals.Against syd 1st half their should of been a few goals scoring if it wasnt for both keepers pulling off great saves and some poor finishing

Aussiecapper101 · 10-11-11, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by ultrasouth

Like the over also in the melb v adelaide game i think the victory will struggle a bit in defence this season which will results in a few goals.Against syd 1st half their should of been a few goals scoring if it wasnt for both keepers pulling off great saves and some poor finishing

Yeah for sure, and if Adelaide find the net early then it's total game on, only thing I'm worried about is melb victory being one of those "show pony" clubs that get alot of " oooh ahhhhs" cos their build up is good but can't finish.. (kind of like Liverpool or athletico Madrid off the top of my head). But for now I stand confident that thompson, allsop kewell etc should be able to find the net a few times and hopefully we can take advantage of this 2.5 value. ( I think it should really be over 2.5 and 3)

Aussiecapper101 · 10-11-11, 11:59 PM

Is it just me or is this week dragging on forever!!! We need some of that mid week Aleague action!

Lookingtostart · 10-12-11, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

Is it just me or is this week dragging on forever!!! We need some of that mid week Aleague action!

That's why I started tailing in the Soccer forum

Aussiecapper101 · 10-12-11, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by Lookingtostart

That's why I started tailing in the Soccer forum

Lol I been doing the same thing, there is a dude called gucci_sbr that has been killing it with live betting in another thread, I've picked up 5 units or so tailing him

Aussiecapper101 · 10-12-11, 12:49 PM

anyway heres the updates on my record thus far:

CURRENT RECORD: 1-1 +0.54 UNITS

2 PLAYS FOR FRIDAY ALREADY SUBMITTED: MELB VICTORY VS ADELAIDE OVER 2.5 -104 ( 2 UNITS ) pinnacle
CENTRAL COAST MARINERS -0.5 -102 ( 0.5 UNITS ) pinnacle

I'll be adding some more plays real soon. BRB. oh and just FYI I bet to win 2 units or 1 unit etc. So for eg if it was +200 I will adjust my wager size smaller so that I am playing to win the units as posted and if I lose I will adjust accordingly. Thanks

Sorry guys real tired will post the others tomorrow. Cheers

PickApprentice · 10-12-11, 03:30 PM

Good luck to Aussie against NZ! Glad to see someone from a different league is here!

Aussiecapper101 · 10-13-11, 03:25 AM

Originally posted by PickApprentice

Good luck to Aussie against NZ! Glad to see someone from a different league is here!

Aussiecapper101 · 10-13-11, 09:29 AM

I need adelaide to suprise themselves on Friday and score early, then turn the game into a shootout.. Confident thats how it will pan out neither team is notoriously known as being slow offense or heavy defensive teams

Aussiecapper101 · 10-13-11, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

anyway heres the updates on my record thus far:

CURRENT RECORD: 1-1 +0.54 UNITS

2 PLAYS FOR FRIDAY ALREADY SUBMITTED: MELB VICTORY VS ADELAIDE OVER 2.5 -104 ( 2 UNITS ) pinnacle
CENTRAL COAST MARINERS -0.5 -102 ( 0.5 UNITS ) pinnacle

I'll be adding some more plays real soon. BRB. oh and just FYI I bet to win 2 units or 1 unit etc. So for eg if it was +200 I will adjust my wager size smaller so that I am playing to win the units as posted and if I lose I will adjust accordingly. Thanks

Sorry guys real tired will post the others tomorrow. Cheers

ADDING PLAYS:

SYDNEY FC PK AND +0.5 -139 ( 1.5 UNITS ) pinnacle (bought the line down as I believe there is a lot of value buying it a little past the draw in A-league as there is so many draws usually)

WELLINGTON PHOENIX PK AND -0.5 -126 ( 1.5 UNITS ) pinnacle (bought it down)

PERTH GLORY +0.5 OR AKA DOUBLE CHANCE -127 ( 2 UNITS ) pinnacle (also bought down) ~ I'm sticking to my guns that Perth glory start seasons well and are actually able to score goals but I do know there is a lot of value in fading them throughout the second half of the season when they find that usual scoring slump. But right now Melbourne heart dont scare me and the glory goalkeeper is standing very solid

Ok so I've paid a bit of juice on all of these added plays but my updated power rankings are giving me a big edge in all of these games so as its the A-league I have covered a few draws just for value as I should at least go 2-1 IMO

Lets get it!!

BOL

Aussiecapper101 · 10-13-11, 10:33 AM

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/1006942-live-betting-2011-its-all-about-timing-p95.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

This is the link to the dudes thread that is live betting on BET365 every night and making a fortune. Check it out if you BET365 account or similar. Winners are grinners

sportfan · 10-13-11, 11:36 AM

Made some good coins on A league last year , but my book does not offer it anymore, bummer

Aussiecapper101 · 10-13-11, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by sportfan

Made some good coins on A league last year , but my book does not offer it anymore, bummer

Aussiecapper101 · 10-13-11, 10:46 PM

I will post final card soon. Plays already booked in. Starts in 5 hours or so

ultrasouth · 10-14-11, 01:12 AM

Lets cash the overs tonight Aussiecapper101

Aussiecapper101 · 10-14-11, 04:14 AM

final card

Originally posted by aussiecapper101

early plays for 14/10 melbourne victory vs adelaide over 2.5 -104 (2 units) pinnacle central coast mariners -0.5 -102 (0.5 units) pinnacle early thinking for the sydney fc game is that i'd love to get -120 for pk and +0.5!! We'll have to see

Originally posted by aussiecapper101

adding plays:

sydney fc pk and +0.5 -139 ( 1.5 units ) pinnacle (bought the line down as i believe there is a lot of value buying it a little past the draw in a-league as there is so many draws usually) wellington phoenix pk and -0.5 -126 ( 1.5 units ) pinnacle (bought it down) perth glory +0.5 or aka double chance -127 ( 2 units ) pinnacle (also bought down) ~ i'm sticking to my guns that perth glory start seasons well and are actually able to score goals but i do know there is a lot of value in fading them throughout the second half of the season when they find that usual scoring slump. But right now melbourne heart dont scare me and the glory goalkeeper is standing very solid ok so i've paid a bit of juice on all of these added plays but my updated power rankings are giving me a big edge in all of these games so as its the a-league i have covered a few draws just for value as i should at least go 2-1 imo lets get it!! :d bol

Aussiecapper101 · 10-14-11, 04:23 AM

FINAL CARD:

FRIDAY: ADELAIDE VS MELBOURNE OVER 2.5 -104 ( 2 UNITS )
CENTRAL COAST MARINERS -0.5 -102 ( 0.5 UNITS )

THE REST: SYDNEY FC PK AND +0.5 -139 ( 1.5 UNITS )
WELLINGTON PHOENIX PK AND -0.5 -126 ( 1.5 UNITS )
PERTH GLORY +0.5 -127 ( 2 UNITS )

good luck all was in a bit of a rush posting uo the final list

Aussiecapper101 · 10-14-11, 04:59 AM

fukkk victory are show ponys and melb victorys keeper got lucky in the first half. Anyway still in the game just

get busy

Aussiecapper101 · 10-14-11, 05:06 AM

Puda · 10-14-11, 05:21 AM

Game Reds.