Wilt plays (La Liga & other)

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  • wilt
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-20-11
    • 22

    #1
    Wilt plays (La Liga & other)
    Hi guys I'm going to start my own betting thread. I bet soccer (mainly spanish) and sometimes basketball and handball.
    I'll be keeping a record and my stake system will be rated in units of 1/10.
    I'll be betting in European bookies but I'm sure 5dimes and other american bookies will have the lines too.
    Everybody's opinion is welcomed here, and feel free to write and discuss the plays. The aim at the end is to at least cover what I'm betting, this is not my job or something like that.
    Finally excuse my english because sometimes my spelling is wrong, but I'll try to do my best with it.

    To start the thread I'm going with 2 bets for tomorrow:

    Match: Real Sociedad-Athletic Bilbao
    Stake: 5/10
    Pick: Over 5.5 cards @ 1,67 Bet365


    Regional derby between San Sebastian's team and Bilbao's team. This week Bilbao played a great game against PSG and after that effort the have to be really tired. Bielsa, the coach, didn't modify last year team structure and they played a really worth watching match. They have 3 doubtful but very important player : Equiza, Muniain and Amorebieta.
    On the other hand Real Sociedad who has been a regular team since the start of the season giving a great surpise drawing Barsa at home.
    Xavi Prieto and the frenchman Griezman are playing so evrything is set for a great Sociedad game.
    Another fact is that the game is played at 12:00 hours, and now the temperatures are extremely high in that part of Spain (something really strange because normally is always raining . It's expected a temperature above 30 degrees Celsius, with a great humidity level. In fact LLorente, the striker from Bilbao has declared that this schedule isn't good for them, they had just 50 hours to rest and the heat will be a great disadvantage.
    So for me one clear bet which is the number of cards on this game. I think Bilbao's deffence isn't going to be as fresh as they'd like and they are going to see cards. Sociedad makes a lot of faults so I count on them to get ar least 2 cards or more.


    Match: Sporting Gijon-Barcelona
    Stake: 10/10
    Pick: Barcelona-2 @ 2.05 WilliamHill


    I'm really confused with the price at William Hill here. Maybe this is because Cesc Fábregas is injured but I doubt it's a reason strong enough because Iniesta is recovered. Barcelona is missing Cesc (3 weeks) and Puyol most likely won't be playing.
    Barsa is in great shape lately and I think they're going to continue this trend in Gijón. Sporting is one of the poorest defences of La liga. Since Castro left to Getafe they have been trying to find a proper midfield game with no success so far. Preciado, the coach, is being questioned because they've only managed to get 2 points so far. Preciado will not set a pure defensive team because he likes to attack no matter which team it is. They're going to open spaces and Barcelona will take advantage of them with Xavi, Thiago and Iniesta 's game.
  • wilt
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-20-11
    • 22

    #2
    Match: Sporting Gijon-Barcelona
    Stake: 5/10
    Pick: Over 3.25 @ 1.86 Sbobet

    Following the previous line here, I can see goals tomorrow.
    Have a nice saturday night!
    By the way check Baptista's goal today from Malaga.... just amazing.
    Comment
    • wilt
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-20-11
      • 22

      #3
      Match: Real Madrid - Real Betis
      Stake: 3/10 @ 1,95 Sbobet
      Pick: Real Betis +2.5
      Date: 15 october

      I'm taking a really early one bet but with these prices had to do it!. Real Madrid is scoring lots of goals lately but the game they're deploying is awful. Kaka seems to be wakening up and start playing but it's going to take some time for the brazilian player to reach his top form.
      On the other hand Betis is outstanding since the start of the season. A newly promoted team playing great as a team, and delivering really worth-watching games. I think they're going to lose, but not for lots of goals. Since it's really an early game bet, I'm just going to throw a light bet.
      Comment
      • wilt
        SBR Rookie
        • 09-20-11
        • 22

        #4
        Match: Tottenham Hotspurs - Arsenal

        Pick: Both teams to score @ 1,62 Bet365
        Stake: 4/10
        Pick: Over 3 goals @ 2,29 188bet
        Stake: 3/10


        A derby in London today, with two of the most offensive teams of the league. Arsenal hasn't been doing great lately, specially in the defensive aspects, but they have great strikers and that makes a difference. On the other hand Tottenham is in great shape (won 4-0 Liverpool) and are favourites for today's match. The money line is favouring the home team, but I really don't see it that clear.
        Most likely lineup according to skysports are:
        Tottenham: Friedel, Walker, Kaboul, King, Assou-Ekotto, Van der Vaart, Modric, Parker, Bale, Adebayor, Defoe.
        Arsenal: Szczesny, Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Gibbs, Ramsey, Song, Arteta, Walcott, Gervinho, Van Persie.
        So my leans in this game are the goals, i don't want to figure out the outcome, specially in a derby. My main bet is the Both teams to score bet and the side bet will be the over 3 goals AH.
        Comment
        • wilt
          SBR Rookie
          • 09-20-11
          • 22

          #5
          I like this two plays, I'm not as confident as with the others and I won't put them as part of the official record but I might play some small amounts there.

          Match: Maribor - Triglav
          Pick: Triglav + 1,75
          Stake: 2/10 @ 2.06 RedkingsBet

          Match: Feyenoord - Den Haag
          Pick: Den- Haag + 1,25
          Stake: 1/10 @ 1,93 Ladbrokes.
          Comment
          • BetGrinder
            Restricted User
            • 09-06-11
            • 168

            #6
            GL wilt.

            btw isn't today that Alexis S. returns to Barça?
            Comment
            • wilt
              SBR Rookie
              • 09-20-11
              • 22

              #7
              Thanks Grinder! Not today, he is still injured and not travelling to Gijón.
              Comment
              • wilt
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-20-11
                • 22

                #8
                Some handball plays for today:
                SC Magdeburg - Gummersbach
                Pick: SC Magdeburg -2.5
                Stake: 1/10 @ 1,85 Williamhill

                Chehovski Medvedi - Füchse Berlin
                Pick: Chehovski Medvedi
                Stake: 2/10 @ 1,67 Victor Chandler


                I'm not betting in Balonmano Atético de Madrid today but I hope they win since it's my favourite spanish team .
                Comment
                • wilt
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 09-20-11
                  • 22

                  #9
                  Originally posted by wilt
                  Match: Tottenham Hotspurs - Arsenal

                  Pick: Both teams to score @ 1,62 Bet365
                  Stake: 4/10

                  Pick: Over 3 goals @ 2,29 188bet
                  Stake: 3/10



                  A derby in London today, with two of the most offensive teams of the league. Arsenal hasn't been doing great lately, specially in the defensive aspects, but they have great strikers and that makes a difference. On the other hand Tottenham is in great shape (won 4-0 Liverpool) and are favourites for today's match. The money line is favouring the home team, but I really don't see it that clear.
                  Most likely lineup according to skysports are:
                  Tottenham: Friedel, Walker, Kaboul, King, Assou-Ekotto, Van der Vaart, Modric, Parker, Bale, Adebayor, Defoe.
                  Arsenal: Szczesny, Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Gibbs, Ramsey, Song, Arteta, Walcott, Gervinho, Van Persie.
                  So my leans in this game are the goals, i don't want to figure out the outcome, specially in a derby. My main bet is the Both teams to score bet and the side bet will be the over 3 goals AH.
                  Push + Win : +2,48
                  Comment
                  • wilt
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 09-20-11
                    • 22

                    #10
                    Originally posted by wilt
                    Some handball plays for today:
                    SC Magdeburg - Gummersbach
                    Pick: SC Magdeburg -2.5
                    Stake: 1/10 @ 1,85 Williamhill


                    Chehovski Medvedi - Füchse Berlin
                    Pick: Chehovski Medvedi
                    Stake: 2/10 @ 1,67 Victor Chandler


                    I'm not betting in Balonmano Atético de Madrid today but I hope they win since it's my favourite spanish team .
                    A draw with Chehovski............ really unlucky one. Really strange to see a draw at a handball game.
                    -1,15
                    Comment
                    • wilt
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 09-20-11
                      • 22

                      #11
                      Originally posted by wilt
                      i like this two plays, i'm not as confident as with the others and i won't put them as part of the official record but i might play some small amounts there.

                      match: Maribor - triglav
                      pick: Triglav + 1,75
                      stake: 2/10 @ 2.06 redkingsbet




                      match: Feyenoord - den haag
                      pick: Den- haag + 1,25
                      stake: 1/10 @ 1,93 ladbrokes.


                      1/2 loss + won
                      Comment
                      • wilt
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 09-20-11
                        • 22

                        #12
                        Originally posted by wilt
                        Hi guys I'm going to start my own betting thread. I bet soccer (mainly spanish) and sometimes basketball and handball.
                        I'll be keeping a record and my stake system will be rated in units of 1/10.
                        I'll be betting in European bookies but I'm sure 5dimes and other american bookies will have the lines too.
                        Everybody's opinion is welcomed here, and feel free to write and discuss the plays. The aim at the end is to at least cover what I'm betting, this is not my job or something like that.
                        Finally excuse my english because sometimes my spelling is wrong, but I'll try to do my best with it.

                        To start the thread I'm going with 2 bets for tomorrow:

                        Match: Real Sociedad-Athletic Bilbao
                        Stake: 5/10
                        Pick: Over 5.5 cards @ 1,67 Bet365


                        Regional derby between San Sebastian's team and Bilbao's team. This week Bilbao played a great game against PSG and after that effort the have to be really tired. Bielsa, the coach, didn't modify last year team structure and they played a really worth watching match. They have 3 doubtful but very important player : Equiza, Muniain and Amorebieta.
                        On the other hand Real Sociedad who has been a regular team since the start of the season giving a great surpise drawing Barsa at home.
                        Xavi Prieto and the frenchman Griezman are playing so evrything is set for a great Sociedad game.
                        Another fact is that the game is played at 12:00 hours, and now the temperatures are extremely high in that part of Spain (something really strange because normally is always raining . It's expected a temperature above 30 degrees Celsius, with a great humidity level. In fact LLorente, the striker from Bilbao has declared that this schedule isn't good for them, they had just 50 hours to rest and the heat will be a great disadvantage.
                        So for me one clear bet which is the number of cards on this game. I think Bilbao's deffence isn't going to be as fresh as they'd like and they are going to see cards. Sociedad makes a lot of faults so I count on them to get ar least 2 cards or more.


                        Match: Sporting Gijon-Barcelona
                        Stake: 10/10
                        Pick: Barcelona-2 @ 2.05 WilliamHill


                        I'm really confused with the price at William Hill here. Maybe this is because Cesc Fábregas is injured but I doubt it's a reason strong enough because Iniesta is recovered. Barcelona is missing Cesc (3 weeks) and Puyol most likely won't be playing.
                        Barsa is in great shape lately and I think they're going to continue this trend in Gijón. Sporting is one of the poorest defences of La liga. Since Castro left to Getafe they have been trying to find a proper midfield game with no success so far. Preciado, the coach, is being questioned because they've only managed to get 2 points so far. Preciado will not set a pure defensive team because he likes to attack no matter which team it is. They're going to open spaces and Barcelona will take advantage of them with Xavi, Thiago and Iniesta 's game.


                        Awful day today leaving a -19 pt loss and a terrible capping arghhh. Barsa played bad bad bad, and even Gijon deserved the draw. The card's pick was good and there were 5 (all in the 2nd half).
                        Hope to recover from this loss
                        Comment
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