I'd like to make sure everyone gets a chance to see this. Risky but Rewarding

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  • Stackzilla
    SBR MVP
    • 05-26-15
    • 3372

    #1
    I'd like to make sure everyone gets a chance to see this. Risky but Rewarding
    Holy hell I had an entire write-up ready and I wanted to check a few other stats and when I came back to the tab the write-up is gone....smh.....Ok Most Conceded goals I did some more research on this. This pick could possibly have best return out of all the props. Now my idea pick 5 teams with after research, probability,and some of my thoughts mixed in. Some may know I like to take risks if it means I can make $$$. Some may also know my risks have made some very good $$$ and if I was to look back I'm sure my winning risks out-weight my losers. If you can trust I've done the proper research here and laid out the best possible plans you need to tail this. I found out if more than 1 team is tied for most conceded goals we win each bet. So the possibility for all 5 to win is small but it could happen then there's also the chance these don't hit. If your ready to take a risk as I am we call enjoy some nice returns here. Your wager has to be the same for each pick or else this doesn't work. Ok here's the picks....

    Germany +2599
    Croatia +2064
    Ireland +1852
    Poland +1324
    Czech Republic +914


    To go into a little more detail I have looked at the last 2 Euro Cups as well as Qualifying rounds. First I would diagram out the tournament to find the top 5 teams then using those top 5 I'd compare that to qualfying rounds and there were a few patterns I noticed. So taking those patterns I then looked at this years qualifying rounds then comparing those to all teams in all groups. After identifying teams with highest probability and using some of my own predictions I then mapped out the entire playoffs to the final. Since this year's Euros are 71% knock-out games the most goals have a greater chance to be scored in these stages. Any questions or thoughts let me know perhaps I'm missing something or you have a different angle. BOL @stackzilla13
  • Stackzilla
    SBR MVP
    • 05-26-15
    • 3372

    #2
    What if I told you past 2 Euros Germany was top 5 most conceded goals in each and in last Euro was only 2 behind top also this year's qualifying they conceded the most goals for their team 2012 7 goals, 2008 7 goals, 2016 9 goals within their group i have them conceding 3 possibly 4 then playing Wales who i think has the ability to surprise and they could net 1, then to play Bellgium..., onto France who some are taking to win it all and this could be highest scoring match of the tournament, and i have them then palying spain and spain taking care of business clean sheet...
    Also if anyone had Ireland last euro thats a winning slip they conceded 10 goals

    you thinking turkey, croatia, spain coming out of group d? turkey is a very prideful team and will fight hard each game group d will see the most goals thats why i have 2 on the list i'm locked in but i could add 1 more
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