Daugava should lose at least 0:4, maybe even 5 or 6...
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Regarding TNS/Legia game, apparently the Racecourse Ground is full of Legia fans (due to high population of Polish in Wales!) so this is almost going to be like a home game for Legia! Legia also got 4 attackers starting in Kosecki, Saganowski, Dvalisvili, and Helio PintoComment -
I've made two first-half bets for the Legia game.
Legia -0.5 first-half @ 2.02 & Over 1.5 first half @ 2.75
I will be ready to fire more for the second-half if these don't go so well. I believe this game is going to be profitable.Comment -
Be surprised if Legia dont score at least 1 in 1st half. 5 very attack minded players starting, almost a 4-2-4 formationComment -
I won't be really surprised if this game goes shambles like the rest but these Legia players are going to be too much for TNS IMO, especially with the attacking line up they're putting out for this first leg i think they are looking forward to winning this unless there is something fishy in the tank or unless the Legia boys don't care, cause they have the home leg next but all in all, i'll be happy to take my chances here with Legia these guys IMO are on another level compared to even the best team of wales TNS ( that doesn't even make any sense because there are ton's on better welsh teams than TNS lol there is newport, swansea, cardiff etc.)Comment -
Not a Qualifier, but a Friendly and maybe a good opportunity for a small bet:
Tamworth - Leyton Orient, 0:1 @HT right now. B-Team playing now for Leyton, they should make a lot of changes 2nd half bringing their A-Team in (they did this a few times in their last friendlies as well).
So I'm taking over 2.5 Team goals Leyton @2.62 1 unit, over 3.5 @6.5 0.5 units and over 4.5 @11 0.25 units.
Made a killing with the Daugava game so I'm willing to risk these 1.75 units here now.Comment -
Good start to the second half with Leyton not being able to put a penalty in....
Will check the result later, the girl is in good mood today so I'll try to sink one myself
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lol only just seen the Slovan score! 1-0 down with 10 men then score 2 in final few minutes! very dodgyComment -
hmm dodgy shiit by Ludogorets keeper!
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Anorthosis v Gefle - Anorthosis to win + Hodd v Aktobe - Aktobe to win - Double = 3.3
Gefle came into this because of fair play rule. They smashed Trans Narva but both games likely were fixed. Gefle also have a terrible away record.
Anorthosis is a tough place to play, but the price isnt generous it seems fair so i threw them in a double.........
Hodd, i dunno who these guys are. Fukk them.
Croat double
Rijeka v Prestatyn (sp) -Rijeka -2.5 AH and Split v Turnovo over 3.0 goals in game - Double pays 3.6
The Welsh side squeezed past Liepajas from Latvia, admirable but this is a big step for what I think is a semi pro league? Turnovo were involved in some circus games with Suduva last round and I expect similar.......
Small stakes, couldnt decide what the hell to go big on.Comment -
lol, yeah that was totally unnecessary with three defenders back against 2 attackers, and also down 10 to men. The odds for Slovan to win at that point ws prob crazy low, meaning moocho dineiro.Comment -
Ha, i just looked at the ending again. It was 5 defenders, 2 just trailing the play, versus 2 Slovan players. What does the keeper do but go off his way off his line and foul the guy with ball inside edge of box, lol. More proof this tourney is about making money for teams without a shot.Comment -
What do you think of these parlays?
Parlay 1: Stromsgodset ML vs Debrecen & over 2.5 split vs turnovo @ 2.23
Parlay 2: St.Liege ML & Stromsgodset ML @ 2.23
Single: Tromso vs Inter Baku +0.5 @ 2.20 I don't think Tromso has what it takes to win even at home! Inter Baku has prepared well for this game and i expect them to pull a draw. going to make a small play on this as a single!
Single: Odd vs Aktobe ML @ 1.90Comment -
Who's fixing their matches tomorrow, fellas? I'd like to know all your inside info on the rigged matches well before they begin if possible.
Thanks.
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Breidablik - Sturm Graz, Sturm Graz -1 @2.25 2/10 (Pinnacle)
Breidablik - Sturm Graz, over 2.5 @1.76 4/10 (Pinnacle)
Differdange - Utrecht, Utrecht -1.5 @1.83 4/10 (Pinnacle)
Zvezda - IBV, Zvezda -2.5 @2.62 3/10 (Marathonbet)
Skonto Riga - Slovan Liberec, Skonto +0.5 @2.08 2/10 (Pinnacle)
Stromsgodset - Debreceni, Stromsgodset -1 @2.02 2.5/10 (bet365)
That's it til now, (I expect all those games to be clean btw, but we'll see about that). We should lookout for the Ventspils odds live in-play though. Normally they should try and win today and try to come to the next round where they'll most likely fix both games then, but who knows.... Keep an eye on it.
As always: As soon as I find something that I think might really be worth a live-bet I'll post it as soon as I can!
Btw: Vaughany, thanks for posting the vid my man, was hilarious
Honestly I think this game MIGHT have been completely clean and these were "normal" failures there, the live-odds weren't fishy at all, and the guys are in 95% of all cases making their money live and in play (better odds + way higher limits), but then again: it just looked SO fishy We'll never know, but my guess is this game was clean and it were just a number of coincidences that came together (red card, penalty, comeback from behind, last second goal, Goalie looks dumb on the first one, too), that make this one look highly suspicious even though it was clean.
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You don't fancy St.Liege?Comment -
I saw 2 Friendlies of them, they didn't impress me much. KR one of the stronger teams from Iceland, so until now, it's a no bet for me. I asked the best punter for Iceland the world might have ever seen though, waiting for his answer.
I kind of fancy Irtysh, but I'm still unsure about them.... I could see Brijek fixing this game tbh, but I'm not confident enough yet to put money on it. Maybe the smart move for this game is to wait the first 15 minutes live and see how they are doing.Comment -
Ok thanks guys! Probably best to stay away i guess, they do have very talented and solid forwards! But i'm trying to find out which of them are playing.Comment -
Utrecht -1.5 is very tempting, but they've lost so many important players that Im concerned they only scrape a 1-0 or 2-1! Van der Hoorn, Wuytens, Nana Asare, and Kali have all left, and Bulthuis is injured. Also were rumours that Mulenga might not play so that he isnt cup-tied, but appears he's in squad. Even without these players they should still win by a couple, think Im gonna wait and bet live if it's 0-0 and take the -1A.H. live.
Pierre Piskor left Differdange, he scored 10 goals last seasonComment -
Have a reply from the best punter for Iceland (and the Baltikum) BY FAR:
Basically he said KR has by far the best offense in Iceland, are the best team right now and are complete today. On the other hand he said normally Liege should be able to score at least 2. But because Liege is missing some players and they didn't look solid defensively at all in their Friendlies I'll stay away pregame and have an eye on this game live. After 20 minutes we should look at the stats, maybe a bet is worth a try then.Comment -
Wow, lots of Bookies are taking Irtysh out now... I might be so so right about a possible fix there....Comment -
Almost played the ML @ -105 yesterday but just to the draw no bet in end - at least I got that at good odds at -250, now -275 to -350 rangeComment -
Petrolol v Vikungur : Petrolul -4.5 goals @ 5.00
Thats my long shot and last bet for today........ Im weirdly hopeful?Comment -
I cant find stream for the Irtysh game, looks like there isnt one?Comment -
Goooo DERRY CITY! I didn't necessarily expect them to be a favorite, but why are they such an overwhelmingly high odd underdog? You guys know a lot more about the Europe teams than I do -- I don't follow the small markets over there like Turkey, Lux, etc. Is Trabzonspor pretty good?Comment
