CL + CL Qualifiers Tuesday

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  • onemoregoal
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-04-13
    • 8149

    #36
    Yeah i know why lol, just saying, its pretty funny they got backed during the Laci game...
    Dacia owner used to own another Chisinau club - they used to play some awesome fixes.
    Comment
    • zizoudane10
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-27-12
      • 7272

      #37
      Adlan Shishanov

      Petrodollars ain't enough right?

      The guy tried to buy 49% of a german club a few years back (Carl Zeiss Jena) but was eventually turned down.

      What was his other club again? Sheriff?
      Comment
      • zizoudane10
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-27-12
        • 7272

        #38
        Shirak still has good chances, but they can lean back relaxed after the 1st game. The goal for the Tre Penne lead was that suspicious though that I had to give it a try. Gonna call it a day to forget, and I can't wait for thursday to begin.
        Comment
        • frugalgambler
          SBR MVP
          • 05-30-13
          • 3418

          #39
          The theme that I noticed is: clubs from Luxembourg and Ireland/N. Ireland are over-performing and clubs from Armenia suck. I am gonna take the Irish tomorrow.
          Comment
          • Jaszaafca
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 04-04-13
            • 635

            #40
            Originally posted by frugalgambler
            The theme that I noticed is: clubs from Luxembourg and Ireland/N. Ireland are over-performing and clubs from Armenia suck. I am gonna take the Irish tomorrow.
            This was fixed 100%, also the red card in 90+1 from Shirak says enough..

            Which monkey will take a red when already through, yeah the dude who have to because they have a bet on it

            Also the own goal was just a joke..
            Comment
            • frugalgambler
              SBR MVP
              • 05-30-13
              • 3418

              #41
              Originally posted by Jaszaafca
              This was fixed 100%, also the red card in 90+1 from Shirak says enough..

              Which monkey will take a red when already through, yeah the dude who have to because they have a bet on it

              Also the own goal was just a joke..
              Wow. It is much easier to suck intentionally, so I am hoping Armenians will continue to do just that. Their domestic league is a joke anyway.
              Comment
              • zizoudane10
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-27-12
                • 7272

                #42
                Originally posted by zizoudane10
                Dinamo Minsk - Kruoja, Dinamo Minsk -2.5 @1.94 (marathonbet) 2/10
                Dinamo was far superior the 1st game, should have scored 3-4 more, I think the price @home is good for this line.
                At least we've got a mint price for this one. Good to get this early in.
                Comment
                • dk70
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-08-12
                  • 636

                  #43
                  5dimes hasn't put up a line yet. Any concern that Dinamo may not play as hard after a 3-0 win away?
                  Comment
                  • zizoudane10
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-27-12
                    • 7272

                    #44
                    Originally posted by zizoudane10
                    Dinamo Minsk - Kruoja, Dinamo Minsk -2.5 @1.94 (marathonbet) 2/10
                    Adding:
                    Vaduz - Chikhura, Vaduz -1 @2.01 (Pinnacle) 2/10
                    First Game 0:0, it was way over 30°C in the Meskhi-Stadium and and real sticky, Coach Contini decided to do nothing really to get a goal and go for the 0:0, because the Georgians are way more used to those temperatures. Wasn't a good game, Vaduz did basically nothing and Chikhura had like 1 chance the entire game. I think Vaduz should be capable of getting the win @home now.

                    (Adding a few games more during the day)

                    Originally posted by dk70
                    5dimes hasn't put up a line yet. Any concern that Dinamo may not play as hard after a 3-0 win away?
                    Well, as long as Kruoja does what I expect them to do today it doesn't matter much whether Dinamo gives 100% or not. If Kruoja decides to make money they are going down 0:6. A few "failures", a penalty here and there, own goals, red cards, if they want goals to be scored, they know from experience how to do that... We'll see what happens later (I wouldn't play odds around 1.6 now though, but that was the reason I posted the game early)
                    Comment
                    • YBthebest
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 07-03-13
                      • 30

                      #45
                      So what are the suspected fixed games?
                      Comment
                      • onemoregoal
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-04-13
                        • 8149

                        #46
                        Originally posted by YBthebest
                        So what are the suspected fixed games?
                        Which isnt would be an easier question
                        Unless you truly know, or bet very early assuming your football knowledge is good and can be relied on - theres really no point.

                        Dacia/Tauta, Nrava/Gefle, Minsk/Kruoja, Turnovo/Suduva looks to be the worst offenders. Then you have others when they attack in play lol.
                        Comment
                        • Vaughany
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 03-07-10
                          • 45563

                          #47
                          Played Irtysh Pavlodar PK live-in-play at -125.... they are 2-0 up against Levski and Levski have had a player sent off!
                          Comment
                          • YBthebest
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 07-03-13
                            • 30

                            #48
                            Originally posted by onemoregoal
                            Which isnt would be an easier question
                            Unless you truly know, or bet very early assuming your football knowledge is good and can be relied on - theres really no point.

                            Dacia/Tauta, Nrava/Gefle, Minsk/Kruoja, Turnovo/Suduva looks to be the worst offenders. Then you have others when they attack in play lol.
                            Very interesting, thanks
                            For eg, Turnovo-Suduva, what makes you think it would be a fix?
                            Comment
                            • DarkNite
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-12-09
                              • 5023

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                              Played Irtysh Pavlodar PK live-in-play at -125.... they are 2-0 up against Levski and Levski have had a player sent off!
                              Good pick.
                              Comment
                              • Vaughany
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 03-07-10
                                • 45563

                                #50
                                maybe not Levski been all over them final 20 mins of half. Probably finish 2-1!
                                Comment
                                • onemoregoal
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-04-13
                                  • 8149

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by YBthebest
                                  Very interesting, thanks
                                  For eg, Turnovo-Suduva, what makes you think it would be a fix?
                                  Their reverse fixture when the score was 0-0 there was a lot of money on overs in play, odds dropping fast.. finished 2-2. Doesnt mean that will happen again, but its enough to avoid this game.
                                  Generally its too risky, many times they flood the market backing the wrong side of the "fix" and then back the other side in play at huge odds. I trust in play odds movements more than pre game.
                                  Comment
                                  • onemoregoal
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-04-13
                                    • 8149

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                    maybe not Levski been all over them final 20 mins of half. Probably finish 2-1!
                                    I think Borats team was promised $1 in bonuses if they qualify... Levski taking a slice of that it seems lol
                                    Comment
                                    • YBthebest
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 07-03-13
                                      • 30

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by onemoregoal
                                      Their reverse fixture when the score was 0-0 there was a lot of money on overs in play, odds dropping fast.. finished 2-2. Doesnt mean that will happen again, but its enough to avoid this game.
                                      Generally its too risky, many times they flood the market backing the wrong side of the "fix" and then back the other side in play at huge odds. I trust in play odds movements more than pre game.
                                      Ah yeah that's smart...well, very interesting all this. Cheers.

                                      Any pick that looks good for today's EL that could NOT be fixed ?
                                      Comment
                                      • onemoregoal
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-04-13
                                        • 8149

                                        #54
                                        Glenortan v KR might be a football game as we know it
                                        Comment
                                        • zizoudane10
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-27-12
                                          • 7272

                                          #55
                                          Stuck in a meeting, think I'm home in 2 hours.

                                          Keep an eye on the inplay-odds (sbobet, 188) for the Gefle game in an hour! Narva might want to make some money live...
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #56
                                            I've played Levski PK @ +116 live-in-play...they are all over the home side, I'll lose a few squid if the Kazakh's do add to their lead but I dont think it will happen
                                            Comment
                                            • onemoregoal
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-04-13
                                              • 8149

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by zizoudane10
                                              Stuck in a meeting, think I'm home in 2 hours.

                                              Keep an eye on the inplay-odds (sbobet, 188) for the Gefle game in an hour! Narva might want to make some money live...
                                              Thats the one im waiting for most... Narva traditionally throw their euro games. This is the home fixture with Gefle. 1st goal own goal, and last goal the defender moves out of the way at 90+3 mins...... it could be Narva are just that bad, but it looks questionable at least.

                                              min 2.00 for 1st goal and 4.30 for 3rd goal...missed the second, too lazy.


                                              Comment
                                              • Vaughany
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 03-07-10
                                                • 45563

                                                #58
                                                this Pyunik game seems a little dodgy, their odds have gone from -250 to -110 after 20 mins
                                                Comment
                                                • onemoregoal
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-04-13
                                                  • 8149

                                                  #59
                                                  lol yeh, armenia v macedonia haha.
                                                  why are gefle on neutral? i dont follow sweden :/
                                                  Comment
                                                  • onemoregoal
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-04-13
                                                    • 8149

                                                    #60
                                                    zizo called this, willhill closed btts at a crazy 1.25


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                                                    • onemoregoal
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-04-13
                                                      • 8149

                                                      #61
                                                      kruoja score on 14, 15 and 16th min.
                                                      ok then
                                                      Comment
                                                      • zizoudane10
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-27-12
                                                        • 7272

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by onemoregoal
                                                        zizo called this, willhill closed btts at a crazy 1.25


                                                        [ATTACH]58382[/ATTACH]
                                                        We have 315k on this bts now.... Wow, that's huuuuuuge, especially for such a game. I have no idea what they are doing there.

                                                        Btw: Kruoja are good boys, goal against them in 15' 16' and 17'
                                                        Comment
                                                        • zizoudane10
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-27-12
                                                          • 7272

                                                          #63
                                                          Gefle 4:0 now. Narva knows oh so well how to get this done. Early goal, early red card, nothing til HT, and after HT --> open the gates baby
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vaughany
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 45563

                                                            #64
                                                            Minsk score 3 in 2 mins then nothing else in rest of half
                                                            Comment
                                                            • zizoudane10
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-27-12
                                                              • 7272

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                              Minsk score 3 in 2 mins then nothing else in rest of half
                                                              I'm really really sure (right now, waiting til 2nd half starts though), that we will see at least 3 more in the 2nd
                                                              Comment
                                                              • onemoregoal
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-04-13
                                                                • 8149

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by onemoregoal
                                                                Which isnt would be an easier question
                                                                Unless you truly know, or bet very early assuming your football knowledge is good and can be relied on - theres really no point.

                                                                Dacia/Tauta, Nrava/Gefle, Minsk/Kruoja, Turnovo/Suduva ooks to be the worst offenders. Then you have others when they attack in play lol.
                                                                .... I only took Narva, others all overs with Dacia to play.
                                                                Narva just scored @ 23.00 lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vaughany
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                                  • 45563

                                                                  #67
                                                                  cant believe what im seein in Pyunik game...they just had a 3 on 1 attack...pass it across and guy just taps it at keeper, keeper misses it but falls back and stop ball on line!

                                                                  Pyunik then go and score anyway luckily!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • zizoudane10
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-27-12
                                                                    • 7272

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by onemoregoal
                                                                    .... I only took Narva, others all overs with Dacia to play.
                                                                    Narva just scored @ 23.00 lol
                                                                    Exactly, and that isn't new. Scoring with 10 men while down big. Means that Gefle was weeeeeelllll in on this
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • zizoudane10
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 03-27-12
                                                                      • 7272

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                      cant believe what im seein in Pyunik game...they just had a 3 on 1 attack...pass it across and guy just taps it at keeper, keeper misses it but falls back and stop ball on line!

                                                                      Pyunik then go and score anyway luckily!
                                                                      Didn't see it, you sure that was "clean"?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • zizoudane10
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-27-12
                                                                        • 7272

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by onemoregoal
                                                                        zizo called this, willhill closed btts at a crazy 1.25


                                                                        [ATTACH]58382[/ATTACH]
                                                                        Originally posted by zizoudane10
                                                                        We have 315k on this bts now.... Wow, that's huuuuuuge, especially for such a game. I have no idea what they are doing there.

                                                                        Btw: Kruoja are good boys, goal against them in 15' 16' and 17'
                                                                        Looks more like 0:0 HT and Mafia needed to wash drug money here. Before the game I would have said 3:1 FT most likely. This game is so so interesting here. We've got 322.000 on the market for the bts yes/no. Can't remember seeing anything like this before in such a stupid little game.
                                                                        Comment
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