Thank you david luiz 
basel 1 - chelsea 2
basel 1 - chelsea 2
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You run like god, but Chelsea missed so many chances lmao.Comment -
Eheheh. Yeahhh u right. I've been risking for higher odds and it's paying out
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Yeah I like your picks, they have value in it
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Yesterday's Recap: 1-2 +2.19u
Bet 15# LOSS -1.5u
Bet 16# LOSS -1.76u
Bet 17# WIN +5.45u [after hedging]
BANK 109.09u
+9.09u
9W - 8L
I keep taking some risks by targeting high odds/payouts, but so far it's paying off really nice.
Regarding the Benfica game I probably should had buy out Bet 16# just before KO, being one of the main reasons the fact that the BTTS: YES odd closed at 2.00 (that was super weird, specially if it happens fast in Betfair). And indeed the match showed Benfica playing for the 0-0 and a unlucky Fenerbahce hitting 3 in the post (one of them a penalty).Comment -
Bet 18# Portuguese Liga - Estoril x Braga: Over 2.5 @2.00 [2u risk]
Bet 19# Portuguese Liga - Estoril x Braga: Both teams to score @1.72 [to win 2u]
My model gives me 80% for this game going OVER. Add that to: 1) Estoril scored 14 goals last 5 games at home; 2) Braga scored 9 in the past 5 away games; 3) Both teams really need to win if they want to keep their hopes for Champions League(Braga) and Europe League(Estoril), so probably an open and fast paced game.
I'm just betting BTTS almost as an insurance for those usual 1-1 games that tend to happen.
Depending on the odds move I'll probably add more units to Bet 18# and take a stab at the Over 3.5!Comment -
Just a heads up for those who like to know what my bets are, I'll be watching the ESTORIL x BRAGA game snd if I like what i see will probably bet BRAGA for the winComment -
6 minutes gone and so far Braga isn't playing crap....Estoril miss just now an unbelievable header...damn it.Comment -
Braga scores....damn it. I'm a wuss...Comment -
hows the over looking 1-0 so far? see more goals in the 2nd half?Comment -
Beauty own goal!!! Now just need one from either sideComment -
Goallllllll
goallllllll
goallllllll
goallllllllComment -
4 units for the night.
It feels goodComment -
nice hit man. thanksComment -
Nice. Great shout on both plays
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Thx guys u r all very kindComment -
Bet 20# Premier League - Man City vs West Ham: Man City -1.5 @1.847 [to win 2u]
I've decided to catch this one now since I anticipate that the odd will drop a little by KO time.
I'm getting 75% of probability for a home win and with the Citizens needing all the points they can't get (to keep a safe distance from 3rd and 4th) against a West Ham team that has nothing to play for.....for me this is a no brainer. I'm guessing 2-0, 3-0.
Gl allComment -
nicely done on the Braga game. Very good odds.
I had a small stake on over 3.5, every time i need a goal a red card comes instead
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Cagliri x Udinese
Udinese odds dropping from 2.80 to 2.10!!???
anything I don't know????Comment -
Udi need points Cagliari dont.Comment -
as suspected the line in the Manchester City game is dropping fast, already between 1,66~1.74
I could get the outcome wrong (hate betting on them), but at least predict the odds movement right ehehehehComment -
Bet 21# Premier League - Wigan x Tottenham: Over 1.5 at Halftime @2.60 [1u risk]
Bet 22# Premier League - Wigan x Tottenham: Tottenham @2.15 [2u risk]
Have a great Saturday and GL allComment -
GOALLLLL, a beautiful goal by Yaya Toure. Now just hang on for 8 more minutes!Comment -
Damn bro in the last seconds they scored
. More luck in future picks
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Wow...a goal at the 94" in a game that was good for the bookies....wtf would west ham try so hard to score near the end in a meaningless game for them????Comment -
Goal Goal 11" to cash Bet 21#
I've already forgot the bad luck I had in the City game.Comment -
Damn spurs....
Goal canceledComment
