I need to go 13-9 each month in Mar/Apr/May....

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This is a solid bet. If Fed wins, he'll cover the -1.5. Full match price -130. Fed is serving like a demon. Has not been broken in Dubai and has not faced a BP in his last 3 matches. 4 players played in Dubai.... and just 0/2 BP's against. Those 2 BP's were against Llodra where he let his foot off the gas after demolishing Llodra 6-0 in the first set.

In last 8 matches he's been broken to the tune of 2/16. In 5 of those last 8 matches he has not faced a single break point. He is in blistering form. Had he not faced Nadal, he would've beaten Djokovic in the AO final and he would be on a ridiculous tear that dates back to the end of the year.

Djok was really shit all week and wasn't 100% there. Credit to Murray for the win, but he did not beat a peak Djoker. Moreover, Murray was broken 5 times in 13 chances against Berrer in the first round here. And he gave up 8 chances against Berdych.

Fed has won something like 30 of the last 31 1st sets of the matches he has played in. Expect him to start strong and force Murray to come from behind and win 2-1 sets. Don't think that will happen.

This basically is Federer at full force at -101.


6. FEDERER -1.5 Games > MURRAY, (-101)

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7. SAC/LAL Und 97.5 for 2Half, (-110)

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Cannot kick this bad luck.

0:09		104-115	Kobe Bryant makes free throw 2 of 2
0:03	Francisco Garcia makes 25-foot three point jumper (John Salmons assists)	107-115

Goes over by 1.5 pts...

...... as they are down by 10 with 9 seconds and decide to foul. No problem after the free throw at 9 seconds. But then they hit a 3 with 3 seconds to go to end the game... and it loses on that shot.

Real bad luck right now.

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Fed takes first set 7-5. Service game is unreal right now.

Prior to match today:

Murray faced 21 bps
Fed faced 2 bps


This will put it at 3-3-1. Should have gone 4-2-1 but the bottom line is the bottom line.

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8. VALPARAISO Und 61 for the Game, (-110)

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Butler started intentionally fouling with 10 minutes to go. And that is not a joke. 65 pts total.

9. BYU > GONZAGA, (+125)

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10. Martic +5 > jankovic, (-145)

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11. SAC/PHO Under 102 for 2H, (+102)

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12. SPURS Und 97.5 for game (live at 5:55 4Q), (-115)

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90 at 210
90 at 145
94 at 0:11

spurs ball down 3.

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13. GONZAGA/SMU ^62 for 1H, (-110)

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Bskt: ...... 0-1-0
Cbb: ...... 3-2-0
fut: ........ 0-1-1
hck: ....... 0-0-0
nba: ...... 2-1-0
ten: ....... 2-0-0

--------------------------

RECORD:.......(7-5-1)

%:.................(58.33%)
PROFIT:.........(+ 1.69)
PRICE:...........(-106.2)


Started out poorly and that brutal loss in the Kings game (up 10 with 9 seconds left and they foul, producing ft attempts and a shot basically at the buzzer to kill it) probably should've gone my way, but the bottom line is the bottom line.

Will be patient and find a solid winner for next pick.

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14. LAL/DET Und 93 for 2Half, (-110)


This looks pretty certain to me. Not a slam dunk, but this looks like it will come in pretty well to me.

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10-1 Lakes at 6:00. just 11 pts


very hard to lose this unless OT.

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20-9 , end 3rd

game set match.

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27 spare with 15 seconds... Det hits a 3. now up 2 with 9 seconds left.

not going to bamboozled on another Lakers game am I?

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fukk me

again.

Kobe at the buzzer. OT. have got to be fukking kidding me.

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44-43 .... 30 sec

pistons up 3 and ball. only chance is a stop here by lakers and they get one possession to end game.

score by pistons and it goes over

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miss. lakes ball with 8 seconds. down 3. 87 total

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no screw job in OT. finally.

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1. SEMS/A.PEAY Und 143.5, (-108)...............................................68-59
2. CATANIA/NOVARA Und 1 for 1Half, (-128)...............................1-0
3. R.MADRID/M.SIENA Und 82.5 for 2Half, (-110)........................50-37
4. BRISBANE -1 > MELBOURNE H., (-103)....................................1-1
5. WICHITA ST -1.5 > IND.ST for 2Half, (-106)............................32-29
6. FEDERER -1.5 Games > MURRAY, (-101)..................................13-9
7. SAC/LAL Und 97.5 for 2Half, (-110)...........................................50-49
8. VALPARAISO Und 61 for the Game, (-110)................................65
9. BYU > GONZAGA, (+125)...........................................................77-58
10. MARTIC +5 > JANKOVIC, (-145)..............................................20-18
11. SAC/PHO Under 102 for 2H, (+102)........................................49-36
12. SPURS Und 97.5 for game (live at 5:55 4Q), (-115).................94
13. GONZAGA/SMU ^62 for 1H, (-110).................................... .....36-36
14. LAL/DET Und 93 for 2Half, (-110).................................... ........44-43



Bskt: ...... 0-1-0
Cbb: ...... 3-2-0
fut: ........ 0-1-1
hck: ....... 0-0-0
nba: ...... 3-1-0
ten: ....... 2-0-0

--------------------------

RECORD:.......(8-5-1)

%:.................(61.53%)
PROFIT:.........(+ 2.69)
PRICE:...........(-106.2)

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15. OKC - 8.5 > PHO for 2Half, (-110)

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57-40 end 2h


RECORD:.......(9-5-1)

%:.................(64.28%)
PROFIT:.........(+ 3.69)
PRICE:...........(-106.2)

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16. COLORADO -12.5 > UTAH (live at 15:43 2H), (-110)

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a bit risky here. 2 ft's for tech are good. now up 8.

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ah, going to get fukked here. shit

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live line now -6.5. not possible to cover this big number unless a miracle

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had an 8 minute drought. these fukking hacks aint even going to win the fuvkking game.

by far the worst bet I made.... perhaps in a year

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43-35 , 346

hmm. long shot

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to the line at 318. could make it 10. this is 1 and 1

brick. oh well. cooked now. no miracle

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45-35 , 218
47-36 , 146 ..... hmmmmmm

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47-38 , 127 left

to the line for 2. need 4 straight ft's

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49-38, 103 ... to the line

brick ... asshole
brick again

now it's toast. thx a lot asshole

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53-41

win by 12

all b/c that farggot couldn't make 1 of 2 ft's. FUUKKKK

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17. KSU/BAYLOR Und 75.5 for 2H, (-125)