Yea stats mean nothing. Its all about the line. I will put here a post that i explained of a shaded line. the bet didnt win but it was the first playoff loss vegas took with there shaded lines...
In reference to the game 3 line being orlando -7.5 after boston had dominated them in game 1
In reference to the game 3 line being orlando -7.5 after boston had dominated them in game 1
This is whats called a shaded line. The true line here is about 6 IMO. The celtics didnt play so well in the 4th and relinquished there lead. Vegas is assuming the public will hammer the celtics at +7.5 which they will. They are assuming the magic take this one by 10+ and are trying to suck the public into betting the celtics. Cap the line folks not the game. AS you can see in this thread everybody and there mom will be on the celtics. If vegas was expecting Orlando action and wanted to entertain it the line wud be much lower. Look at the facts pinnacle has taken a position on the market and hasnt moved the line at 79% 
, nah just late night card players,
