Theres a cerebral hot dog contest thread in players talk right now. It's probably the most intelligent thread Ive ever seen in players talk....
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07-03-13 12:54 PM #106
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07-03-13 01:45 PM #107
strongly disagree
Originally Posted by beelzebubzy
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07-03-13 01:47 PM #108
This thread? Originally Posted by Educ8d Degener8
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...er-62-5-a.html
Or another?
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07-03-13 01:49 PM #109
Chestnut is pretty close to a lock here. Kobayashi and Bertoletti are not competing. Janus is basically the only one who has a chance, and he will still probably lose by 10 dogs.
As Pun said, unless Kobayashi pulls off a Tanya Harding Chestnut basically can't lose.
Last edited by NunyaBidness; 07-03-13 at 01:53 PM.
Points Awarded:
Educ8d Degener8 gave NunyaBidness 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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07-03-13 03:13 PM #110
He ate 68 last year? Whys the number so low?
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07-03-13 03:16 PM #111
He's only broken the over 62.5 three times, and it hasn't been linear growth. Originally Posted by omalley21
2012: 68
2011: 62
2010: 54
2009: 68
2008: 59
2007: 66
2006: 52
2005: 32
If we throw out 2005-06 and consider them his amateur years, he's got an average of 62.83 dogs with a standard deviation of 5.6 dogs. Not enough to lay the juice on the over.
There's no real trendline at all, and when you factor in the lack of competition possibly being a lack of motivation, there's probably small value on the under.Last edited by NunyaBidness; 07-03-13 at 03:24 PM.
Points Awarded:
omalley21 gave NunyaBidness 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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07-03-13 03:44 PM #112
That one, yeah... Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
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07-03-13 03:45 PM #113
keep in mind it was 12 minutes until 2007, when they lowered it to 10 minutes.
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07-03-13 03:46 PM #114
Just realized the over/under is at 63.5 not 62.5, in that case I recommend a play at the current line of under +185.
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07-03-13 03:52 PM #115
Good call, brings the dog/minute avg down. Originally Posted by PunisherIND
Makes the avg dog per 10 minute period: 61. Still not much of a growth trend.
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07-03-13 03:53 PM #116
holy crap, it got to +185?! Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
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07-03-13 03:54 PM #117
i need to get me one of your magic calculators. Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
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07-03-13 03:57 PM #118
openoffice.org Originally Posted by PunisherIND
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07-03-13 03:57 PM #119
Originally Posted by PunisherIND
1861xxxxx-1 7/3/13 4:4xpm $100.00 $160.00 Pending 7/4/13 12:00pm Competitive Eating Other Sports 602 Joey Chestnut hot dogs eaten under 63½ +160*vs Joey Chestnut hot dogs eaten over 63½ 1861xxxxx-1 7/3/13 4:2xpm $100.00 $185.00 Pending 7/4/13 12:00pm Competitive Eating Other Sports 602 Joey Chestnut hot dogs eaten under 63½ +185*vs Joey Chestnut hot dogs eaten over 63½
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07-03-13 04:02 PM #120
I bet u use GIMP for graphic editing. Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
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07-03-13 04:06 PM #121
You know I steal everything. I use excel and photoshop, just trying to save Pun a dime. Originally Posted by Educ8d Degener8
course, he can probably just bill it to his office. penetrating Lawyers.
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07-03-13 04:11 PM #122
Word, I'm gonna hit u up after I cancel my DirecTV... Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
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07-03-13 04:27 PM #123
damn, and you hit it twice no less. nice grabs man. Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
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07-03-13 05:30 PM #124
Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
Thanks
Played Joey and the Under
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07-03-13 08:08 PM #125
Someone just PM'd this link to me.
For anyone who thinks the powers that be don't read this forum:
http://fightnetwork.com/news/39626:j...briel-morency/
Fast forward to 33:00 and see if anything sounds familiar.
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07-03-13 08:10 PM #126
Listen, I've known that rat to be on the forum for years. I outed him already. Sac and others who dont believe me about posting public information need to wake up.
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07-03-13 08:13 PM #127
He posted under valdosta and ghost_kid is his butt plug
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07-04-13 05:05 AM #128
What am I listening for?
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07-04-13 06:35 AM #129
If you loved me, you'd already know. Originally Posted by MD
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07-04-13 06:36 AM #130
Chestnut under is back to +190.
The market hates me here, but methinks the market consists of guys who looked at last years number only.
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07-04-13 06:46 AM #131
What's the lowest that Chestnut straight has been?
Also, the under is still +135 on 5D. What book has +190? SB?
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07-04-13 06:55 AM #132
-800 was the lowest I heard, I've got it at -1000 several places. Originally Posted by MD
It was +190 at 5d when I posted it. Gotta act fast.
1862xxxxx-1 7/4/13 7:3xam $100.00 $190.00 Pending 7/4/13 12:00pm Competitive Eating Other Sports 602 Joey Chestnut hot dogs eaten under 63½ +190*vs Joey Chestnut hot dogs eaten over 63½
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07-04-13 06:57 AM #133
Bookmaker is hanging 64.5 btw.
Chestnut still available at -1000 at bodog and sportsbook.
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07-04-13 07:07 AM #134
Well that was the most annoying media player that I've ever seen on the internet. Then again, it's a good theme when you have annoying people talking. Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
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07-04-13 07:14 AM #135
My bad... I was looking at the wrong book.
Last edited by Das Jax; 07-04-13 at 09:55 AM.
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07-04-13 07:23 AM #136
I currently show -1000, are you located outside of the US? Originally Posted by Das Jax
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07-04-13 07:26 AM #137
Over 63.5 +190?! Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
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07-04-13 07:30 AM #138
602 Joey Chestnut hot dogs eaten under 63½ +190*vs Joey Chestnut hot dogs eaten over 63½
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07-04-13 07:43 AM #139
Took me a second to realize what you meant here. Didn't realize I said "over", my bad. Still, shocking that it was u63.5 +190 today. I wasn't expecting to see it better than +140 on 5D again. I was too slow. Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
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07-04-13 07:48 AM #140
I wouldn't be surprised if it bounced back, the pressure is certainly moving that way, especially considering that this line is widely arbable.
A very disappointing set of Nathan's lines however. In previous years we've gotten over/under lines on most of the competitors, as well as matchups and other props.
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