Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

[Da Manster!]

2TM parlay

Risk: $400
Win: $1,000

Packers (-3.5)
Bills (+3.5)

[Da Manster!]

thought about buying GB down to (-2.5) but these books are nothing but a bunch of goddamn crooks and no-good thieving shysters charging that ridiculous juice to come off the (3)...Packers (-2.5) would have been (-157) and no way in hell am I paying that premium price for one point!.....I would rather take my chances and let the chips fall where they may!...

[KVB]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">THE NEW KID ON THE BLOCK HAS DONE IT. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFC257?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >#UFC257</a> <a href="https://t.co/UsjTY0qQ74">pic.twitter.com/UsjTY0qQ74</a></p>&mdash; UFC (@ufc) <a href="https://twitter.com/ufc/status/1353207966158237696?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >January 24, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Gonna take everything to beat
Green Bay ; especially not at
full strength.

Was watching last night's fights
at new spot...as it's a MMA forum
to begin with

Hoping for competitive games today

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Gonna take everything to beat
Green Bay ; especially not at
full strength.

Was watching last night's fights
at new spot...as it's a MMA forum
to begin with

Hoping for competitive games today

I picked up over 10u on last night’s UFC event.

[stevenash]

thought about buying GB down to (-2.5) but these books are nothing but a bunch of goddamn crooks and no-good thieving shysters charging that ridiculous juice to come off the (3)...Packers (-2.5) would have been (-157) and no way in hell am I paying that premium price for one point!.....I would rather take my chances and let the chips fall where they may!...

buying 1/2 point off 3 is terrible value.
I’ll do the math if you want and show you how bad it is.

[stevenash]

I got GB -3 and Buf + 3
Hundy each
I considered GB ml Buf +3 two team parlay but opted for two flat 100 dollar bets.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

I picked up over 10u on last night’s UFC event.

Man you bet those MMA events pretty heavy
Good work

[Fidel_CashFlow]

buying 1/2 point off 3 is terrible value.
I’ll do the math if you want and show you how bad it is.

Insane how much they try to make you
pay for a point ...

[KVB]

Buffalo really falling into that trendy dog position here. I think we see a late plus then the minus late. I like GB and KC, but one of those are likely wrong, against the spread.

So perhaps we see GB take the lead and TB come back to cover or win while KC covers. Or, we see the opposite, in which case KC could still win with a late score and not cover.

The least likely scenario I see here is both favorites covering. I would love to see it happen, it gives us a starting point for the Superbowl, but I don't think it does. Both favorites could still win but the legend of Brady would grow if he comes from behind in GB to win. But that's speculation.

That's how the market stacks up from my office and my end, with all the noise taken out save the Brady speculation and some built in frozen Tundra of Lambeaugh field coinsiderations. I expect a misleading first game and a Buffalo failure in the late game.

Because it's only when you can accept what they bring that you can truly appreciate how they bring it.

I've been posting scarcely lately, as we work to sort our these markets. I should pick up the posting again soon.

The two pick parlay today could be TB +3 and KC to win, or cover if you're a gamblin' man.

[KVB]

...I considered GB ml Buf +3 two team parlay...

Thought about this and the TB +3/KC ml I just mentioned could win at the same time as yours...if the games are tight. I think you got the right idea but I'm accounting for a potential tease killer with a KC "blowout" or big win.

But I'm sacrificing the potential GB tease killing blowout as well. And that could happen but with the cold and a GB ball control philosophy, I see that as less likely than the KC blowout.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Brady 4-0 in freezing weather in playoffs

25-4 in games weather under 30 degrees

Win or lose , weather won't be a factor

[KVB]

Brady 4-0 in freezing weather in playoffs

25-4 in games weather under 30 degrees

Win or lose , weather won't be a factor

Not true, it's a factor in game play style. It affects the installations and KC should be glad they aren't playing in this.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Real question here is tricking
Rodgers like they did last time
With the linebackers.
The deep LB blitzing in
and the short MLB
Flanking back into intermediate coverage
really caught Rodgers off guard and 2 interceptions
Of course it helped that their D line got through
helping the "shape-shifting " LB scheme to work
Out even better than prolly hoped
Can't trick the guy with same shit twice
He actually adjusted to it quickly
But not before the pick 6 and the
damage was already done from a scoring standpoint

[Fidel_CashFlow]

...

[KVB]

Brady might not be in such bad shape, there might be a reason Clete Blakeman's crew is in Green Bay today. I have him as 87-79 for the away teams against the spread.

I'm opting for the TB+ thepoints and KC to win over GB to win and Buf plus the points.

But it's a tough call.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Not true, it's a factor in game play style. It affects the installations and KC should be glad they aren't playing in this.

Lol nevermind

[KVB]

Real question here is tricking
Rodgers like they did last time
With the linebackers.
The deep LB blitzing in
and the short MLB
Flanking back into intermediate coverage
really caught Rodgers off guard and 2 interceptions
Of course it helped that their D line got through
helping the "shape-shifting " LB scheme to work
Out even better than prolly hoped
Can't trick the guy with same shit twice
He actually adjusted to it quickly
But not before the pick 6 and the
damage was already down from a scoring standpoint

If GB pressures Brady, I don't think Brady can overcome it.

Rodgers can always extend the plays and make shit happen, he can adapt, like said adjust to it quickly.

Brady can't. If he's pressured, it's a long day for him.

I think it's more about the rest of the teams.

[KVB]

Lol nevermind

Refs will become a much bigger factor. Weather affects the performance, and the refs will make up for that. They always do in the frozen Tundra.

But know that the dress rehearsal and installations put in this week were definitely influenced by the weather. Freezing is cold and a problem for receivers.

It makes a difference when it comes to the line.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Appetizers are out of the oven

Saw Doug tushyterror thread
Where he said he won't even watch
either game and at midnight click to see
who's in the Super Bowl ....
I thought ....holy fukk thats not worth it
Only live once ..... bet or no bet
Enjoy the damn game and have some laughs
and some good food and drinks

[DiggityDaggityDo]

GB -3
Brady over 284.5 yards

Let's fukkin gooooo!!!

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Not gonna lie...

I still want to bang Erin Andrews

Lookin all fukkable wearing that beanie

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Not gonna lie...

I still want to bang Erin Andrews

Lookin all fukkable wearing that beanie

Bro I'm mehhh on her
Don't get me wrong
Not ugly... but something off

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Homemade mini pretzel dogs

Wanted to see Antonio Brown play

[KVB]

Ref patting Brady on the ass to start things off.

lol

That's a good start for TB.

[KVB]

Appetizers are out of the oven

Saw Doug tushyterror thread
Where he said he won't even watch
either game and at midnight click to see
who's in the Super Bowl ....
I thought ....holy fukk thats not worth it
Only live once ..... bet or no bet
Enjoy the damn game and have some laughs
and some good food and drinks

lol I haven't "enjoyed" a sporting event, especially the NFL, in a long, long time.

I left the cave long ago, only so much can be gained by watching shadows on the wall.

Of course, doug's reasons might be totally different.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Touchdown Bucs
Great throws by Brady

[KVB]

Already have both teams as moneyline underdogs.

My job here, while just beginning, is already done, with a huge TB position waiting for when TB sores again.

Because it's not what they bring, it's how they bring it.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Missing Brown already
Screen to Miller for loss of 5
would of been Brown

20 yard easy drop by Johnson
would of been Brown

[Fidel_CashFlow]

We made lil smokeys
Along with pretzel dogs

Fail
Still good, but not best combo

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Def gonna remember that 3rd and 15
from 5 yard line
When Rodgers blindly threw that
if you freeze the play
His WR isn't even looking
and the defender is in front of him
Instantaneously as ball is in air
Defender moves, WR turns around
like look what I found.

That isn't your usual designed play
on a curl or a comeback where
It's drawn up to throw in anticipation
both QB and Wr are on same page
That was pure fluke ,and no design

Dif from Bucs having ball at midfield
or better with a touchdown lead

Compared to a 7-7 game

[Da Manster!]

jezzzus...what fukkin' dumb luck...brady throws a hail mary duck that has 0 chance and should have been picked off but yet somehow Godwin miraculously catches the goddamn ball!.......and that play was vintage Rodgers, Clint...nothing blindly about it...Rodgers knew where his WR was supposed to be and anticipated the route and threw the ball before he got open...it's what the great QB's do...

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Your kidding me Manster ?
A 55 yard throw on 3rd down
that would be a equivalent
to a punt in field position IF
somehow the undersized defender
beats Godwin

To a gifted 1 on 1 WR I'm single coverage?


Compared to a goal line 3rd and 15
Where 3 WR and 5 defenders
all grouped up into same area

[Fidel_CashFlow]

jezzzus...what fukkin' dumb luck...brady throws a hail mary duck that has 0 chance and should have been picked off but yet somehow Godwin miraculously catches the goddamn ball!.......and that play was vintage Rodgers, Clint...nothing blindly about it...Rodgers knew where his WR was supposed to be and anticipated the route and threw the ball before he got open...it's what the great QB's do...

That's not what happened though.....

[KVB]

CashFlow that was first quarter, I think it's all noise until we get to 5 minutes to go in the 4th. That said, a TB 10-0 or even 14-0 would have been some good trades for me.

I have 6 live betting screens up and two phones dedicated to making live trades from WH in nevada and the soft jersey pussies. Managing some shit here.

Who's got Packers plus money on the moneyline? I'm a buyer at +108 or more right now, although I did just it BOL for +105.

Securing both teams as dogs here. I wasn't sure we'd see GB as a +105 or better dog again after that first score.