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Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#49141Comment -
PerfectGrapeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-20-11
- 6761
#49143do you realize there are surveillance teams watching this place right now?Comment -
PerfectGrapeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-20-11
- 6761
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#49151Forget what I would do, WTF is she doing on that door?Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#49152Originally posted by kvbforget what i would do, wtf is she doing on that door?
self
atomic
wedgieComment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49153Fidel must be f'd up...Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#49154Its Friday JmonComment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#49155Indy Pacers -1
Comment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49156Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlowIts Friday JmonComment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49157Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlowIndy Pacers -1
Comment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49158how come booya doesn't post in here, cause fairy seaweed?Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#49159Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
self
atomic
wedgie
I’m heading out with the kids for a nice bike ride, it’s Friday and I don’t want to do much work.
But I will offer this for tonight’s game between Miami and Charlotte. Often used numbers, enough to comprise a decent share of the marketplace (a share that the books love to eat up) that are non-predictive go so far as to give Charlotte the win in this game.
Figure these guys and those who bet with them to have Charlotte winning by as many as 6 points in a game around 195 or 196 points.
Sharper forecasts really give Miami the nod and one of the sharper, most dynamic lines I can make give Miami about a 5 point win, a little less as certain market based metrics pull the line down a bit. Sharper lines figure a 198 or 199 point game, a little more than the unsophisticated bettors.
I’m not offering much now as far as who is where and what pressure is where but you can see that the books have a nice split situation on their hands.
Sure, I could say watch out for the one point Charlotte win, or something, but I think it’s best to just say going with my sharpest model, if you re in for the long haul, is always pretty safe and it’s either Miami +2 or to win with better than +115, anything less would be not worth it.
This is because it’s not a bad idea to pass on this game as nothing really indicates the model has to hit. Looking at short term metrics, they too are a bit split and there is no outright reason why Charlotte couldn’t take this game. It’s just the nature of the NBA marketplace, and because of that we can gain valuable information for future opportunities by simply watching this game.
Good Luck whatever your play.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#49160Originally posted by JMonHeat +2 booyaComment -
dfishSBR MVP
- 12-17-10
- 2730
#49161Originally posted by JMonFidel..your cardinals can kiss my arse, yesterday.Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81450
#49163Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Twilight Zone?Comment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49164Originally posted by KVBYeah, I read that the first time. I suppose it was her effort to get it just perfect. Of course, I'm not complaining about the extra time, the view was nice.
I’m heading out with the kids for a nice bike ride, it’s Friday and I don’t want to do much work.
But I will offer this for tonight’s game between Miami and Charlotte. Often used numbers, enough to comprise a decent share of the marketplace (a share that the books love to eat up) that are non-predictive go so far as to give Charlotte the win in this game.
Figure these guys and those who bet with them to have Charlotte winning by as many as 6 points in a game around 195 or 196 points.
Sharper forecasts really give Miami the nod and one of the sharper, most dynamic lines I can make give Miami about a 5 point win, a little less as certain market based metrics pull the line down a bit. Sharper lines figure a 198 or 199 point game, a little more than the unsophisticated bettors.
I’m not offering much now as far as who is where and what pressure is where but you can see that the books have a nice split situation on their hands.
Sure, I could say watch out for the one point Charlotte win, or something, but I think it’s best to just say going with my sharpest model, if you re in for the long haul, is always pretty safe and it’s either Miami +2 or to win with better than +115, anything less would be not worth it.
This is because it’s not a bad idea to pass on this game as nothing really indicates the model has to hit. Looking at short term metrics, they too are a bit split and there is no outright reason why Charlotte couldn’t take this game. It’s just the nature of the NBA marketplace, and because of that we can gain valuable information for future opportunities by simply watching this game.
Good Luck whatever your play.
But have to give the famous gif of Fidel; I laugh my fukkin ass off ever time I see it.
Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81450
#49165Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlowComment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49166Originally posted by dfishCards took all my little gold coins yesterdayComment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81450
#49167Comment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49168Digs....support your Fly Me that are scared and willing to post in PT. You are one of us now.That place is scarey
Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#49169Comment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49170Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlowComment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#49171Originally posted by JMonDigs....support your Fly Me that are scared and willing to post in PT. You are one of us now.That place is scarey
Comment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49172Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlowPT is about as scary as this picture below
Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#49173Originally posted by JMonbtw..fidel...fukk off on your recent trivia wins
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JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49174Fidel...hows Herby jones doing? You talk to him on your golf deal? Say hi for me.Comment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#49175Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlowIve been missing the third question more lately also
...the prick in rehab. 3rd...slaughtering me too. Starting to wonder, but will always go for it. Love the tag
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