lol, was going to post this one, but I'll offer this instead...
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JMon
SBR Hall of Famer
12-11-09
9800
#46174
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Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#46175
feels like old times in here , and thats one good feeling
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#46176
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#46177
Originally posted by JMon
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Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#46178
Welp
Pats are too good @ home in the playoffs (17-4), they have too many people who play well in the playoffs.
BellyChex has had 2 weeks to prepare for the Chiefs, Patriots have everyone back .
Although Maclin will play, a high ankle sprain is not good for a receiver,who happens to be their #1 playmaker
The only thing that worries me is New England protecting Brady. Thankfully KC pass rushers are a bit hobbled
Patriots -5
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Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#46179
Another thing is that New Englands defense only allowed about 25 more total points on the season
then the Chiefs .So its not like Patriots cant bring it on defense also
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smokenjoke
SBR Hall of Famer
10-16-12
8285
#46180
Good Luck Fellaz.
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DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#46181
Good luck, Fidels. I'm on Pats also.
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JMon
SBR Hall of Famer
12-11-09
9800
#46182
Originally posted by smokenjoke
Good Luck Fellaz.
Who you rollin with Smoken???
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smokenjoke
SBR Hall of Famer
10-16-12
8285
#46183
Originally posted by JMon
Who you rollin with Smoken???
Just a spectator today though I do like Zona & Carolina.
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#46184
There will be surprises this weekend. There were virtually none last weekend, including the NCAA Cahmpionship.
I had a longer write up but closed it on accident so let's just think about it, I'll leave technicals out this time.
So walk through the weekend, ask what the biggest surprise would be, and be patient.
Chiefs beating the Pats is actually a pretty suprising event across the marketplace. And it's game one. But it's game one, so should we be patient?
Green Bay beating Arizona could easily be the surprise of the weekend, the biggest upset for sure, and not just moneywise. It's this possibility and reality that may just save the Patriots.
Seattle beating Carolina is harldy a monumental event, though a Carolina loss could be the upset the market seeks, I doubt the perception is enough and may come with another upset in another game (KC?). Here's the thing, as bettors chase the KC loss with Green Bay money, game two could look ridiculous, trying to push marketplace off of Seattle and a Seattle "upset" will play into the natural give and take of the markets much better.
Then there's Pittsburgh and Denver. This line is the same as Arizona and Green Bay. There's a reason for that and the mechanics behind are better spelled out in that CFL thread.
Ask yourself, if Pittsburgh beats Denver in Denver, would it really be such a shocker? The shocker as Green Bay beating Arizona?
This weekend is designed to lead bettors down roads, based on handicapping methods and the general make up of the marketplace, including basketball.
Unfortuantely, there is a lot of context surrounding this post, including a season of play, and, depending on how you handicap and how understand and view the marketplace, you may see this post in many different lights.
Just know that it's sharp enough to help some bettors, even if no predictions are made or if each favorite wins in a blowout this weekend.
Do your own handicapping, look at the big picture, and don't get caught in a chase...this can be a dangerous time.
I also suggest dining in the College Hoops markets, at least a little, they are serving up some juicy fish today, even if you do get a bone or two in some bites.
Good Luck.
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JMon
SBR Hall of Famer
12-11-09
9800
#46185
Pats strike first and fast...wow.
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Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#46186
5 drops already by Patriots
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Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#46187
Originally posted by KVB
Ask yourself, if Pittsburgh beats Denver in Denver, would it really be such a shocker? The shocker as Green Bay beating Arizona?
Bro, If Pitts(considering their injuries) beat Denver str8 up , Ill be about as shocked as one could possibly be
Interesting analysis as always tho KVB
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#46188
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Bro, If Pitts(considering their injuries) beat Denver str8 up , Ill be about as shocked as one could possibly be
Interesting analysis as always tho KVB
Perhaps we have to wait all weekend for the Sunday night upset, the ultimate test of patience. Imagine the parlays that would die with a Manning loss. It may not be about what gets taken in as much as what doesn't have to pay out.
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#46189
Donkey wants to do this one again....
Originally posted by KVB
From about 2:40 to 3:10 or so: Sounds from her I'd like to be responsible for.
I could listen to her do it all night long...
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Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#46190
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Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#46191
Originally posted by smokenjoke
Good Luck Fellaz.
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Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#46192
dumb bitches, dont even care NFL playoffs are on
who stays in bed all day on a day like this
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JMon
SBR Hall of Famer
12-11-09
9800
#46193
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
dumb bitches, dont even care NFL playoffs are on
who stays in bed all day on a day like this
Well at least one of them is awake
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JMon
SBR Hall of Famer
12-11-09
9800
#46194
Brutal fumble by the Chiefs.
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SBRMAN23
SBR Hall of Famer
01-07-11
6906
#46195
Originally posted by JMon
Well at least one of them is awake
they look ready for the D
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#46196
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
dumb bitches, dont even care NFL playoffs are on
who stays in bed all day on a day like this
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#46197
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Welp
Pats are too good @ home in the playoffs (17-4), they have too many people who play well in the playoffs.
BellyChex has had 2 weeks to prepare for the Chiefs, Patriots have everyone back .
Although Maclin will play, a high ankle sprain is not good for a receiver,who happens to be their #1 playmaker
The only thing that worries me is New England protecting Brady. Thankfully KC pass rushers are a bit hobbled
Patriots -5
Nice call CashFlow.
Packer time? I hope so.
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innovation
SBR Hall of Famer
01-27-12
6218
#46198
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Welp
Pats are too good @ home in the playoffs (17-4), they have too many people who play well in the playoffs.
BellyChex has had 2 weeks to prepare for the Chiefs, Patriots have everyone back .
Although Maclin will play, a high ankle sprain is not good for a receiver,who happens to be their #1 playmaker
The only thing that worries me is New England protecting Brady. Thankfully KC pass rushers are a bit hobbled
Patriots -5
i enjoy your level headed approach, another great call
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#46199
Originally posted by KVB
There will be surprises this weekend...
Chiefs beating the Pats is actually a pretty suprising event across the marketplace. And it's game one. But it's game one, so should we be patient?
Green Bay beating Arizona could easily be the surprise of the weekend, the biggest upset for sure, and not just moneywise. It's this possibility and reality that may just save the Patriots...
The Patriots made it, satisfying part of that need for patience and opening up the Packers for victory. But the backers are getting banged up out there.
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innovation
SBR Hall of Famer
01-27-12
6218
#46200
Originally posted by KVB
Perhaps we have to wait all weekend for the Sunday night upset, the ultimate test of patience. Imagine the parlays that would die with a Manning loss. It may not be about what gets taken in as much as what doesn't have to pay out.
that time slot/spot in the divisional round has produced 6 SU dogs last 9 years...although my gut went with GB as the big dog to "suprise"....i do believe minimum 2 dogs SU are in store this weekend....just my 2 cents and what history suggests happens after a very dry (ML) dog playoff season last year