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  • NunyaBidness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-26-09
    • 9345

    #1261
    Originally posted by cheeese
    You're not worried about Rousso's aggressive calls?
    More worried about her aggressive use of shitty samples
    record, sounds, share, sound, audio, tracks, music, soundcloud
    Comment
    • Bumdeal
      SBR MVP
      • 12-17-13
      • 3954

      #1262
      Originally posted by JIBBBY
      Anyone gonna bet the 3 fights up on the board at 5 dimes for Legacy FC 32 tonight?

      I'm liking the chances of all the underdogs in the 3 main fights on the board....
      took all 3 favorites
      Comment
      • JIBBBY
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-10-09
        • 83693

        #1263
        Originally posted by Bumdeal
        took all 3 favorites
        Good luck Bumdeal.. Polar opposites tonight I see we are...


        I'm hoping to hit 2 of the 3 dogs. We see... Small plays....
        Comment
        • NunyaBidness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-26-09
          • 9345

          #1264
          V,

          Have you ever seen a calculator or conversion tool for Asian Handicap soccer totals?

          I'm looking at o3.25 at +124 vs o3.5 at +157 in the Argentina/Iran game. Over 3.25 seems like the stronger play, but would like some confirmation.
          Comment
          • Skel
            SBR MVP
            • 03-04-14
            • 1284

            #1265
            What do you think about the "either team scores 3 or more goals" prop? That usually sits between +1000 and +2000 but it's been hitting a lot this cup. I'm thinking of playing it for every game that doesn't look to be a low-scoring affair (like a Greece vs. Japan). The prop has hit 10 times since the start of the cup, for an average of 40%. Am I missing something here?

            edit: I see the odds are lower for the two lopsided matches tomorrow.
            Last edited by Skel; 06-21-14, 12:36 AM.
            Comment
            • Vaughany
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 03-07-10
              • 45563

              #1266
              Originally posted by NunyaBidness
              V,

              Have you ever seen a calculator or conversion tool for Asian Handicap soccer totals?

              I'm looking at o3.25 at +124 vs o3.5 at +157 in the Argentina/Iran game. Over 3.25 seems like the stronger play, but would like some confirmation.
              Hmm dont think I have actually. Ill have a look on some of the sites ive used in past tho.

              id be very surprised if iran score in this game, they will just "park the bus" as we say over here and put every player behind the ball and bunker up. Id be more inclined to play the Argentina -2.5 handicap than over 3.25 goals or over 3.5

              the "either team to score 3 goals or more" would also be pointless as Iran arent scoring 3! Just take Argentina to score 3 or more at better odds
              Comment
              • NunyaBidness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-26-09
                • 9345

                #1267
                I went full retard anyway, 30 seconds of number crunching and obviously the over 3.5 is better.
                Comment
                • NunyaBidness
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-26-09
                  • 9345

                  #1268
                  Originally posted by Skel
                  What do you think about the "either team scores 3 or more goals" prop? That usually sits between +1000 and +2000 but it's been hitting a lot this cup. I'm thinking of playing it for every game that doesn't look to be a low-scoring affair (like a Greece vs. Japan). The prop has hit 10 times since the start of the cup, for an average of 40%. Am I missing something here?

                  edit: I see the odds are lower for the two lopsided matches tomorrow.
                  Probably value there as well. I'd like to say I took over 6.5 in the France game today, could've got a big number there I'm sure.

                  Had a book that was giving me over 7 in the NHL playoffs at +1400 for every game. That scooped a bunch before they cut it off.
                  Comment
                  • NunyaBidness
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-26-09
                    • 9345

                    #1269
                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                    Hmm dont think I have actually. Ill have a look on some of the sites ive used in past tho.

                    id be very surprised if iran score in this game, they will just "park the bus" as we say over here and put every player behind the ball and bunker up. Id be more inclined to play the Argentina -2.5 handicap than over 3.25 goals or over 3.5

                    the "either team to score 3 goals or more" would also be pointless as Iran arent scoring 3! Just take Argentina to score 3 or more at better odds
                    You like Argentina to have a clean sheet at -225?
                    Comment
                    • Das Jax
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-23-11
                      • 904

                      #1270
                      Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                      You like Argentina to have a clean sheet at -225?
                      Not that it amounts to much of a difference, but you can get either team scores 0 for -220 at Sportbet.
                      Comment
                      • Vaughany
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 03-07-10
                        • 45563

                        #1271
                        Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                        You like Argentina to have a clean sheet at -225?
                        Yes seems reasonable, but if available id look to play argentina to win and keep a clean sheet at better odds... -162 to -187 range. Also, Argentina cleansheet is -200 on ladbrokes and betfred
                        Comment
                        • Vaughany
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 03-07-10
                          • 45563

                          #1272
                          Ive played argies -2 asian at -110
                          Comment
                          • Beelzebubzy
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-06-11
                            • 6995

                            #1273
                            Jibby

                            give Nunya two points for your education.
                            Comment
                            • getlucky2win
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-14-12
                              • 1118

                              #1274
                              i've been getting some off 1h lines but losing. today i got iran +1 +102. thnkin bout arbin out. im prob takin tor +1 for 5d contest
                              Comment
                              • Vaughany
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 03-07-10
                                • 45563

                                #1275
                                Got a feelin argies are only gonna eek out a 1-0 here!
                                Comment
                                • Vaughany
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 03-07-10
                                  • 45563

                                  #1276
                                  Ahh well, 8 game streak coming to an end! Argies should be 2-0 but cant finish for shiiit
                                  Comment
                                  • Ron_Paul_2012
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-31-13
                                    • 3953

                                    #1277
                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                    Ahh well, 8 game streak coming to an end! Argies should be 2-0 but cant finish for shiiit
                                    Half time 0-0. Is the fix in?
                                    Comment
                                    • Vaughany
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 03-07-10
                                      • 45563

                                      #1278
                                      Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012
                                      Half time 0-0. Is the fix in?
                                      No argentina jus too casual with their finishing. Had 3 attempts tht were inches over or wide of bar. They are also being too conservative yet again, leaving 3 and sometimes even 4 players behind the ball when there is absolutely no need considering how opposition are playing - ultra defensive! Mind boggles
                                      Comment
                                      • Bumdeal
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-17-13
                                        • 3954

                                        #1279
                                        Iran doing exactly what V suggested.

                                        Arg has to break through in second half. Right?
                                        Comment
                                        • Vaughany
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 03-07-10
                                          • 45563

                                          #1280
                                          Yee they will probably score in final 15 and scrape the 1-0. Hindsight and all but should of held of playing the -2 and waited to see how they looked. Would never of bet on argies live if id not had a play and watched the opening 20 mins
                                          Comment
                                          • Ron_Paul_2012
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-31-13
                                            • 3953

                                            #1281
                                            I have an Argentine/Germany parlay. This match could end in a draw. I can't watch anymore. Argentine playing like they have $ on Iran!
                                            Comment
                                            • Bumdeal
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-17-13
                                              • 3954

                                              #1282
                                              There should never be a situation in a sporting event where a draw is the goal for one competitor.
                                              Comment
                                              • Das Jax
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-23-11
                                                • 904

                                                #1283
                                                You guys have any thoughts on the other two games today? I'm on the cusp of my first 5 game streak, but nothing really appeals to me for today.
                                                Comment
                                                • Bumdeal
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-17-13
                                                  • 3954

                                                  #1284
                                                  wow. thats awesome. wooohoooooooo

                                                  messi first goal cashes too. lol.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sykes
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-23-12
                                                    • 2714

                                                    #1285
                                                    I done Bosina -1/2 in today's picks.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Keyboard Warrior
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-07-14
                                                      • 1290

                                                      #1286
                                                      omg messi just saved me, i cant believe it, this man
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vaughany
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                        • 45563

                                                        #1287
                                                        Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                        Yee they will probably score in final 15 and scrape the 1-0. Hindsight and all but should of held of playing the -2 and waited to see how they looked. Would never of bet on argies live if id not had a play and watched the opening 20 mins
                                                        Called it perfectly yet stilll lost money Was so close to pullin trigger on argies to win when it got to evens
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Keyboard Warrior
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-07-14
                                                          • 1290

                                                          #1288
                                                          Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                          Called it perfectly yet stilll lost money Was so close to pullin trigger on argies to win when it got to evens
                                                          I hit that bad boy! V play your picks man! I have been!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bumdeal
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-17-13
                                                            • 3954

                                                            #1289
                                                            Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                            Called it perfectly yet stilll lost money Was so close to pullin trigger on argies to win when it got to evens
                                                            Impossible to predict. I'm no soccer expert but that seemed like a hail mary kick as well.. no set up offense, just Messi making it happen.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cheeese
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-22-11
                                                              • 784

                                                              #1290
                                                              Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                                              More worried about her aggressive use of shitty samples
                                                              https://soundcloud.com/ladymaverick
                                                              I didn't think it was possible for her to be more annoying
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vaughany
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 03-07-10
                                                                • 45563

                                                                #1291
                                                                Originally posted by Keyboard Warrior
                                                                I hit that bad boy! V play your picks man! I have been!
                                                                My decision making is beyond terrible!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Das Jax
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-23-11
                                                                  • 904

                                                                  #1292
                                                                  Screw soccer... I took the Brewers -1.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Skel
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-04-14
                                                                    • 1284

                                                                    #1293
                                                                    Good call Vaughany.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Skel
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-04-14
                                                                      • 1284

                                                                      #1294
                                                                      Originally posted by Skel
                                                                      What do you think about the "either team scores 3 or more goals" prop? That usually sits between +1000 and +2000 but it's been hitting a lot this cup. I'm thinking of playing it for every game that doesn't look to be a low-scoring affair (like a Greece vs. Japan). The prop has hit 10 times since the start of the cup, for an average of 40%. Am I missing something here?

                                                                      edit: I see the odds are lower for the two lopsided matches tomorrow.
                                                                      I think I was on to something here. All of a sudden 5D changed the prop to "either team scores 4 or more goals" for all games and simultaneously lowered the odds. Last night either team over 3 in the Germany/Ghana game was +700, now either team over 4 is +335.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JIBBBY
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-10-09
                                                                        • 83693

                                                                        #1295
                                                                        Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                                        Jibby

                                                                        give Nunya two points for your education.
                                                                        I would give him all my bet points for a continued full education.. That was cool.. I really appreciate when some of you pro gamblers share the inside secrets.. Reading this entire thread is what I plan to do.. I'll catch on...

                                                                        I do need to learn how to transfer out bet points on this forum. I'd be handing them out all the time if they mean something to you guys.. I'll get around to it..

                                                                        I actually just tried to give Nunya 40 points for his posts last night, set up the transfer, then I got a message saying transfer prohibited???
                                                                        Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-21-14, 04:23 PM.
                                                                        Comment
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