Midterm Election Wagering - Georgia

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  • ronald
    SBR MVP
    • 10-31-05
    • 4918

    #1
    Midterm Election Wagering - Georgia
    Can anyone explain why Kemp is heavily favored (-1200) for the governorship in Georgia while Walker is basically a coin flip (-105) with Warnock? I assumed that the vast majority of voters simply vote either red or blue all the way down the ballot. Similar phenomenon in Arizona with Lake at -400 and Masters at -120.
  • kidcudi92
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-14-11
    • 15434

    #2
    Ronald I’ll just ask you what happened in Georgia and Arizona in 2020

    Stuff that makes you not wanna bet or even think of it
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Dems will win easy everything in Georgia

      Walker a terrible choice
      Comment
      • firedawg
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 10-08-08
        • 39219

        #4
        Originally posted by jjgold
        Dems will win easy everything in Georgia

        Walker a terrible choice
        Lol
        Comment
        • chico2663
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-02-10
          • 36915

          #5
          Stacy has only one shot. That is at a buffet. Warlock should win.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            Too man dems areas now Georgia
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #7
              I'm still confused.

              Was Walker in law enforecement? Maybe even if was just a ride a long?

              Was the badge at the debate real, fake, a prop?

              What is going with that?

              <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">I stand with Johnson County Sheriff Rowland and every other officer in this state and country. I will never back down on my support for them. <a href="https://t.co/ISKFr3dwBx">pic.twitter.com/ISKFr3dwBx</a></p>&mdash; Herschel Walker (@HerschelWalker) <a href="https://twitter.com/HerschelWalker/status/1582167818178420736?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 18, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
              Comment
              • Seattle Slew
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-02-06
                • 7373

                #8
                Abrams has zero chance. It's impossible to unseat a sitting governor who's basically done a good job. Her best shot was in 2018 when it was an open seat and she lost a close one.

                Warnock is -200 and I think he will win. Walker is a trainwreck. I think enough Georgia Republicans will reject Walker. Remember, Georgia was one of the few states to destroy Trump's primary stooges, both were crushed.

                I see the same scenario in Arizona. I'm betting Mark Kelly at -170, and if that loses I'm OK with it. Kelly is popular with independents and will get enough support to win his race.

                But I think Lake will win the governor's race in a close one. Her opponent does not have the name appeal that Kelly does.
                Comment
                • hawkwind
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-25-11
                  • 4062

                  #9
                  Anyone that Votes Left is Brainless or Brain Dead & Hates America & Hates God or doesn't believe in GOD...... FJB
                  Comment
                  • Mr KLC
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-19-07
                    • 31097

                    #10
                    If you live in a poor district, and vote liberally in your local elections, over and over again, you deserve everything that you get.
                    Comment
                    • ronald
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-31-05
                      • 4918

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Seattle Slew
                      Abrams has zero chance. It's impossible to unseat a sitting governor who's basically done a good job. Her best shot was in 2018 when it was an open seat and she lost a close one.

                      Warnock is -200 and I think he will win. Walker is a trainwreck. I think enough Georgia Republicans will reject Walker. Remember, Georgia was one of the few states to destroy Trump's primary stooges, both were crushed.

                      I see the same scenario in Arizona. I'm betting Mark Kelly at -170, and if that loses I'm OK with it. Kelly is popular with independents and will get enough support to win his race.

                      But I think Lake will win the governor's race in a close one. Her opponent does not have the name appeal that Kelly does.
                      Shop around. You can find better.
                      Comment
                      • DwightShrute
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-17-09
                        • 103206

                        #12
                        Nov 8th looks like a really bad day for democrats but a great day for the USA.
                        Comment
                        • Seattle Slew
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-02-06
                          • 7373

                          #13
                          Bookmaker doesn't have anything up yet on Senate races, I grabbed that at Bovada.

                          Where are you seeing better? I don't see Kelly being less than -150?

                          Originally posted by ronald
                          Shop around. You can find better.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DwightShrute
                            Nov 8th looks like a really bad day for democrats but a great day for the USA.
                            you never no guy have to go vote high turnout
                            Comment
                            • ronald
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-31-05
                              • 4918

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Seattle Slew
                              Bookmaker doesn't have anything up yet on Senate races, I grabbed that at Bovada.

                              Where are you seeing better? I don't see Kelly being less than -150?
                              Was -120 this morning at Betonline
                              Comment
                              • Seattle Slew
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-02-06
                                • 7373

                                #16
                                Wow, really? Oh well.

                                I don't get how Warnock is -200 and Kelly is that low. Kelly has not trailed in any poll and Masters is only within 4 to 5 in most polling.
                                Originally posted by ronald
                                Was -120 this morning at Betonline
                                Comment
                                • ronald
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-31-05
                                  • 4918

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Seattle Slew
                                  Wow, really? Oh well.

                                  I don't get how Warnock is -200 and Kelly is that low. Kelly has not trailed in any poll and Masters is only within 4 to 5 in most polling.
                                  Warnock -135 at Betonline
                                  Comment
                                  • mcaulay777
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-13-10
                                    • 1769

                                    #18
                                    If we could wager on these mid-terms the handle would be huge, unfortunately no value on Republicans except for Masters in AZ who is Now -105 at betonline.From a wagering standpoint not who i favor politically. Three wagers i would make would be Warnock to me is a lock at -135 best bet then i would bet Kelly at -135.my longshot play would be Cortez Masto in Nevada at +165 and i even would throw some Pizza money on Franken here in Iowa at+700 driving around a lot here in North Central Iowa i have seen a lot of Franken signs pooping up now they like him here in this area because he was in the Navy.I would put a lot on Warnock to cover any other losses because i don't see him losing.
                                    Comment
                                    • Seattle Slew
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-02-06
                                      • 7373

                                      #19
                                      Bovada has Cortez at -160, GOP guy at +125.

                                      Incredible difference in some of these spreads.

                                      On one hand, these races tightening is no surprise. These close races are always within 2-3 points, yet these dumb polls are pushing numbers like +5, 6, 7, etc. Absurd. Especially in a smaller state like Arizona, the percentage between the winners and losers will be within 2 points either way. Kelly was up 6 to 8 points against McSally last time and won by 2.5.

                                      In Pa, Fetterman was up 6 to 8 points in most polling before the last couple of weeks. There is no flipping way anyone is winning in that state by more than 2 or 3 points. Even the governor's race will tighten, but I would expect Shapiro to win by 3 to 4 points because the opponent seems to not have taken off. If the GOP had run a better candidate there, I'd think they could have won that race.

                                      Originally posted by mcaulay777
                                      If we could wager on these mid-terms the handle would be huge, unfortunately no value on Republicans except for Masters in AZ who is Now -105 at betonline.From a wagering standpoint not who i favor politically. Three wagers i would make would be Warnock to me is a lock at -135 best bet then i would bet Kelly at -135.my longshot play would be Cortez Masto in Nevada at +165 and i even would throw some Pizza money on Franken here in Iowa at+700 driving around a lot here in North Central Iowa i have seen a lot of Franken signs pooping up now they like him here in this area because he was in the Navy.I would put a lot on Warnock to cover any other losses because i don't see him losing.
                                      Comment
                                      • ronald
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-31-05
                                        • 4918

                                        #20
                                        Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor.

                                        Might as well just bet on some obscure banana republic soccer game.
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ronald
                                          Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor.

                                          Might as well just bet on some obscure banana republic soccer game.
                                          Comment
                                          • VeggieDog
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-21-09
                                            • 7214

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ronald
                                            Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor.

                                            Might as well just bet on some obscure banana republic soccer game.
                                            That's why Dems aren't panicking like they should be. They know the fix is in.
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ronald
                                              Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor...
                                              LMAO

                                              You got to be joking. Yeah, I'm going with your joking.

                                              Comment
                                              • d2bets
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-10-05
                                                • 39995

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by ronald
                                                Can anyone explain why Kemp is heavily favored (-1200) for the governorship in Georgia while Walker is basically a coin flip (-105) with Warnock? I assumed that the vast majority of voters simply vote either red or blue all the way down the ballot. Similar phenomenon in Arizona with Lake at -400 and Masters at -120.
                                                Easy explanation. Walker is literally brain damaged and everyone knows it. Many will vote for him anyway, but some won't.
                                                Comment
                                                • Kermit
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-27-10
                                                  • 32555

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by d2bets
                                                  Easy explanation. Walker is literally brain damaged and everyone knows it. Many will vote for him anyway, but some won't.
                                                  The guy currently running the country had obvious cognitive issues, yet 81* million still voted for him.

                                                  Hell, those same voters might even get a guy elected for Senate in Pennsylvania whose mind is so cooked from a recent stroke that his wife is probably going to have to do the job for him.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • homie1975
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                    • 15452

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by kidcudi92
                                                    Ronald I’ll just ask you what happened in Georgia and Arizona in 2020

                                                    Stuff that makes you not wanna bet or even think of it

                                                    all lies debunked.

                                                    Lindsay Graham said he was told 10,000 felons and underage people voted in GA, he asked for 10, he got none.

                                                    Same story in AZ

                                                    the old senile phukk Biden won because Trump complete butchered the Covid situation. he kept lying to people about it and people with an IQ of 100 and higher, saw right through it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388179

                                                      #27
                                                      are voting laws tougher since Trump left in Georgia?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 19th Hole
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-22-09
                                                        • 18951

                                                        #28
                                                        Ronald-- Welcome back.

                                                        Should be easy pickin's in the elections.
                                                        Simply follow the demorat nocturnal trucks with boxes full
                                                        of mail-in votes.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thetrinity
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-25-11
                                                          • 22430

                                                          #29
                                                          I heard on the radio that they expect around 5 percent to split their ballot. That could make the difference in a lot of purple state races. That’s why you would have a difference like that in the odds. Correct me if I’m wrong but if you vote kemp and leave senator blank, I don’t think that would be considered a split ballot. However, kemp and a 3rd party senator is a split ballot, but that’s essentially the same thing as leaving it blank, at least for the purposes of actually winning an election.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Brock Landers
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 06-30-08
                                                            • 45359

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ronald
                                                            Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor.

                                                            Might as well just bet on some obscure banana republic soccer game.
                                                            That's complete bullshit.
                                                            How did fucktard trumps lawsuits work out? 0-60 LOL

                                                            Anyone who thinks elections are rigged are Fuckin morons, plain and simple
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Chi_archie
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-22-08
                                                              • 63167

                                                              #31
                                                              shit hole state

                                                              can they redeem themselves for letting blue steal 2020?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #32
                                                                Sharon Stone a pretty big favorite for governor down in Zona.

                                                                Crazy.



                                                                Comment
                                                                • DwightShrute
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-17-09
                                                                  • 103206

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                                                  That's complete bullshit.
                                                                  How did fucktard trumps lawsuits work out? 0-60 LOL

                                                                  Anyone who thinks elections are rigged are Fuckin morons, plain and simple
                                                                  Anyone who thinks elections aren't rigged are Fuckin morons, plain and simple.


                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Nate rasta
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-30-22
                                                                    • 2953

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I thought that was Jim Cramer
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 48381

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Mr KLC
                                                                      If you live in a poor district, and vote liberally in your local elections, over and over again, you deserve everything that you get.
                                                                      What about all you broke republicans living in trailer homes?? There's a lot more of you.
                                                                      Comment
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