Midterm Election Wagering - Georgia

[ronald]

Can anyone explain why Kemp is heavily favored (-1200) for the governorship in Georgia while Walker is basically a coin flip (-105) with Warnock? I assumed that the vast majority of voters simply vote either red or blue all the way down the ballot. Similar phenomenon in Arizona with Lake at -400 and Masters at -120.

[kidcudi92]

Ronald I’ll just ask you what happened in Georgia and Arizona in 2020

Stuff that makes you not wanna bet or even think of it

[jjgold]

Dems will win easy everything in Georgia

Walker a terrible choice

[firedawg]

Dems will win easy everything in Georgia

Walker a terrible choice

Lol

[chico2663]

Stacy has only one shot. That is at a buffet. Warlock should win.

[jjgold]

Too man dems areas now Georgia

[KVB]

I'm still confused.

Was Walker in law enforecement? Maybe even if was just a ride a long?

Was the badge at the debate real, fake, a prop?

What is going with that?

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">I stand with Johnson County Sheriff Rowland and every other officer in this state and country. I will never back down on my support for them. <a href="https://t.co/ISKFr3dwBx">pic.twitter.com/ISKFr3dwBx</a></p>&mdash; Herschel Walker (@HerschelWalker) <a href="https://twitter.com/HerschelWalker/status/1582167818178420736?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 18, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[Seattle Slew]

Abrams has zero chance. It's impossible to unseat a sitting governor who's basically done a good job. Her best shot was in 2018 when it was an open seat and she lost a close one.

Warnock is -200 and I think he will win. Walker is a trainwreck. I think enough Georgia Republicans will reject Walker. Remember, Georgia was one of the few states to destroy Trump's primary stooges, both were crushed.

I see the same scenario in Arizona. I'm betting Mark Kelly at -170, and if that loses I'm OK with it. Kelly is popular with independents and will get enough support to win his race.

But I think Lake will win the governor's race in a close one. Her opponent does not have the name appeal that Kelly does.

[hawkwind]

Anyone that Votes Left is Brainless or Brain Dead & Hates America & Hates God or doesn't believe in GOD...... FJB

[Mr KLC]

If you live in a poor district, and vote liberally in your local elections, over and over again, you deserve everything that you get.

[ronald]

Abrams has zero chance. It's impossible to unseat a sitting governor who's basically done a good job. Her best shot was in 2018 when it was an open seat and she lost a close one.

Warnock is -200 and I think he will win. Walker is a trainwreck. I think enough Georgia Republicans will reject Walker. Remember, Georgia was one of the few states to destroy Trump's primary stooges, both were crushed.

I see the same scenario in Arizona. I'm betting Mark Kelly at -170, and if that loses I'm OK with it. Kelly is popular with independents and will get enough support to win his race.

But I think Lake will win the governor's race in a close one. Her opponent does not have the name appeal that Kelly does.

Shop around. You can find better.

[DwightShrute]

Nov 8th looks like a really bad day for democrats but a great day for the USA.

[Seattle Slew]

Bookmaker doesn't have anything up yet on Senate races, I grabbed that at Bovada.

Where are you seeing better? I don't see Kelly being less than -150?

Shop around. You can find better.

[jjgold]

Nov 8th looks like a really bad day for democrats but a great day for the USA.

you never no guy have to go vote high turnout

[ronald]

Bookmaker doesn't have anything up yet on Senate races, I grabbed that at Bovada.

Where are you seeing better? I don't see Kelly being less than -150?

Was -120 this morning at Betonline

[Seattle Slew]

Wow, really? Oh well.

I don't get how Warnock is -200 and Kelly is that low. Kelly has not trailed in any poll and Masters is only within 4 to 5 in most polling.

Was -120 this morning at Betonline

[ronald]

Wow, really? Oh well.

I don't get how Warnock is -200 and Kelly is that low. Kelly has not trailed in any poll and Masters is only within 4 to 5 in most polling.

Warnock -135 at Betonline

[mcaulay777]

If we could wager on these mid-terms the handle would be huge, unfortunately no value on Republicans except for Masters in AZ who is Now -105 at betonline.From a wagering standpoint not who i favor politically. Three wagers i would make would be Warnock to me is a lock at -135 best bet then i would bet Kelly at -135.my longshot play would be Cortez Masto in Nevada at +165 and i even would throw some Pizza money on Franken here in Iowa at+700 driving around a lot here in North Central Iowa i have seen a lot of Franken signs pooping up now they like him here in this area because he was in the Navy.I would put a lot on Warnock to cover any other losses because i don't see him losing.

[Seattle Slew]

Bovada has Cortez at -160, GOP guy at +125.

Incredible difference in some of these spreads.

On one hand, these races tightening is no surprise. These close races are always within 2-3 points, yet these dumb polls are pushing numbers like +5, 6, 7, etc. Absurd. Especially in a smaller state like Arizona, the percentage between the winners and losers will be within 2 points either way. Kelly was up 6 to 8 points against McSally last time and won by 2.5.

In Pa, Fetterman was up 6 to 8 points in most polling before the last couple of weeks. There is no flipping way anyone is winning in that state by more than 2 or 3 points. Even the governor's race will tighten, but I would expect Shapiro to win by 3 to 4 points because the opponent seems to not have taken off. If the GOP had run a better candidate there, I'd think they could have won that race.

If we could wager on these mid-terms the handle would be huge, unfortunately no value on Republicans except for Masters in AZ who is Now -105 at betonline.From a wagering standpoint not who i favor politically. Three wagers i would make would be Warnock to me is a lock at -135 best bet then i would bet Kelly at -135.my longshot play would be Cortez Masto in Nevada at +165 and i even would throw some Pizza money on Franken here in Iowa at+700 driving around a lot here in North Central Iowa i have seen a lot of Franken signs pooping up now they like him here in this area because he was in the Navy.I would put a lot on Warnock to cover any other losses because i don't see him losing.

[ronald]

Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor.

Might as well just bet on some obscure banana republic soccer game.

[jjgold]

Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor.

Might as well just bet on some obscure banana republic soccer game.

[VeggieDog]

Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor.

Might as well just bet on some obscure banana republic soccer game.

That's why Dems aren't panicking like they should be. They know the fix is in.

[KVB]

Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor...

LMAO

You got to be joking. Yeah, I'm going with your joking.

[d2bets]

Can anyone explain why Kemp is heavily favored (-1200) for the governorship in Georgia while Walker is basically a coin flip (-105) with Warnock? I assumed that the vast majority of voters simply vote either red or blue all the way down the ballot. Similar phenomenon in Arizona with Lake at -400 and Masters at -120.

Easy explanation. Walker is literally brain damaged and everyone knows it. Many will vote for him anyway, but some won't.

[Kermit]

Easy explanation. Walker is literally brain damaged and everyone knows it. Many will vote for him anyway, but some won't.

The guy currently running the country had obvious cognitive issues, yet 81* million still voted for him.

Hell, those same voters might even get a guy elected for Senate in Pennsylvania whose mind is so cooked from a recent stroke that his wife is probably going to have to do the job for him.

[homie1975]

Ronald I’ll just ask you what happened in Georgia and Arizona in 2020

Stuff that makes you not wanna bet or even think of it

all lies debunked.

Lindsay Graham said he was told 10,000 felons and underage people voted in GA, he asked for 10, he got none.

Same story in AZ

the old senile phukk Biden won because Trump complete butchered the Covid situation. he kept lying to people about it and people with an IQ of 100 and higher, saw right through it.

[jjgold]

are voting laws tougher since Trump left in Georgia?

[19th Hole]

Ronald-- Welcome back.

Should be easy pickin's in the elections.
Simply follow the demorat nocturnal trucks with boxes full
of mail-in votes.

[thetrinity]

I heard on the radio that they expect around 5 percent to split their ballot. That could make the difference in a lot of purple state races. That’s why you would have a difference like that in the odds. Correct me if I’m wrong but if you vote kemp and leave senator blank, I don’t think that would be considered a split ballot. However, kemp and a 3rd party senator is a split ballot, but that’s essentially the same thing as leaving it blank, at least for the purposes of actually winning an election.

[Brock Landers]

Unfortunately it's tough to make bets for any serious money due to the FRAUD factor.

Might as well just bet on some obscure banana republic soccer game.

That's complete bullshit.
How did fucktard trumps lawsuits work out? 0-60 LOL

Anyone who thinks elections are rigged are Fuckin morons, plain and simple

[Chi_archie]

shit hole state

can they redeem themselves for letting blue steal 2020?

[KVB]

Sharon Stone a pretty big favorite for governor down in Zona.

Crazy.

[DwightShrute]

That's complete bullshit.
How did fucktard trumps lawsuits work out? 0-60 LOL

Anyone who thinks elections are rigged are Fuckin morons, plain and simple

Anyone who thinks elections aren't rigged are Fuckin morons, plain and simple.

[Nate rasta]

I thought that was Jim Cramer

[Mac4Lyfe]

If you live in a poor district, and vote liberally in your local elections, over and over again, you deserve everything that you get.

What about all you broke republicans living in trailer homes?? There's a lot more of you.