chip me up for the royal flush

[darys]

As a royal flush hitter and SBR tournament winner, I am looking for poker staking.

This is my plan.

I will play every poker tournament plus cash games at least 3 hours a day for the rest of the month.

A rough calculation give me this result. Say, I play 3 hands in a minute times 60 min/hour times 3 hours per day times 2 tables on average I play at the same time, times 20 days for the rest of the month.
That's 3*60*3*2*20=21,600. Based on the odds of hitting a royal flush about 1/30,000, it is almost certain that I will hit another one.

In order to cover the racks I have to pay, I need you guys help.

So for each point you give to me in this thread, I will pay you 5 times as much if I hit a royal flush. So say your stake is 100 points and if I get 5000 royal flush points, your share is 500 points.

[Footballtime]

Couldnt we just sit at a table for the same amount of time, and hit the Royal ourselves and get the whole 5000 chips?

[darys]

Good question. The problem is with limited chips you have, you can only sit there for a short time before being blinded out in the cash game. And I have 5000+ chips ready to play whole time. That dramatically increase the chance of hitting a royal flush.

[FuzzyDunlop]

As a royal flush hitter and SBR tournament winner, I am looking for poker staking.



A rough calculation give me this result. Say, I play 3 hands in a minute times 60 min/hour times 3 hours per day times 2 tables on average I play at the same time, times 20 days for the rest of the month.

That's 3*60*3*2*20=21,600. Based on the odds of hitting a royal flush about 1/30,000, it is almost certain that I will hit another one.

In order to cover the racks I have to pay, I need you guys help.

So for each point you give to me in this thread, I will pay you 5 times as much if I hit a royal flush. So say your stake is 100 points and if I get 5000 royal flush points, your share is 500 points.

1. You couldn't come close to averaging 3 hands a minute on 2 tables, especially on full tables, the play is generally slow.

2. Odds of yourself making a Royal are 1 in 649,740.00, I'm assuming the 1 in 30,000 is some sort of permutation of being at a table where one is hit? The fault with this logic presumes that every hand is dealt to the river and that every person with a card or cards that could make a royal around the table go all the way to showdown with their hand.

[darys]

1. You couldn't come close to averaging 3 hands a minute on 2 tables, especially on full tables, the play is generally slow.

2. Odds of yourself making a Royal are 1 in 649,740.00, I'm assuming the 1 in 30,000 is some sort of permutation of being at a table where one is hit? The fault with this logic presumes that every hand is dealt to the river and that every person with a card or cards that could make a royal around the table go all the way to showdown with their hand.

1. we are talking about on average. And It is rough calculation. I get many more hands when I play heads-up. And 2 hands or 4 hands per minutes won't change the order of the magnitude of our results.

2. 1 in 649,740 is the odds of flopping a royal flush. That's the odds of getting a royal flush for 5-card draw or out of 5 cards. In texas holdem. The odds of getting a royal flush is 1 in 30940 for a single person.
Plus I will get 5000 points for any players on the table hitting a royal flush. The odds will be 10 times bigger. It didn't count that in because as you said not every hand goes to show down. So that I already assumed 1 out 10 hands would go to show down.

In conclusion, it is very likely I will hit another royal flush if I play 3 hours every day.

[oiler]

1. we are talking about on average. And It is rough calculation. I get many more hands when I play heads-up. And 2 hands or 4 hands per minutes won't change the order of the magnitude of our results.

2. 1 in 649,740 is the odds of flopping a royal flush. That's the odds of getting a royal flush for 5-card draw or out of 5 cards. In texas holdem. The odds of getting a royal flush is 1 in 30940 for a single person.
Plus I will get 5000 points for any players on the table hitting a royal flush. The odds will be 10 times bigger. It didn't count that in because as you said not every hand goes to show down. So that I already assumed 1 out 10 hands would go to show down.

In conclusion, it is very likely I will hit another royal flush if I play 3 hours every day.

ok and i bet the cubs will win a world series too lol

[darys]

bump. so no one interested?

[FuzzyDunlop]

In conclusion, it is very likely I will hit another royal flush if I play 3 hours every day.

Are you taking odds against this and if so, can you take a transfer on another site?

[thefastship]

I play 4000 hands a week like clockwork and I have NEVER been dealt or seen a royal at my table.

Some people go a lifetime without being dealt one.