So whats up with this patriots/titans line?

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  • jazzyj7
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-02-09
    • 859

    #1
    So whats up with this patriots/titans line?
    opening line -7.5 with 70% of the public on the pats and the line is now -5 at some places? I guess the pats win by less than 5? I cant bet on the titans, so I'm gonna do a two teamer teaser, 7 points. Eagles-2, pats+1.5. If the titans win, I'm done with this rigged/ know the outcome of the game before the game is played bullshit.
  • slacker00
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-05
    • 12262

    #2
    This is a classic trap line, stay away. There are plenty of good bets on other games, this is an easy pass.
    Comment
    • redsoxfreak91
      Restricted User
      • 10-17-11
      • 903

      #3
      NO NO NO NO NO!!!!! Unless the NFL is truly rigged (you never truly know) the Pats will CRUSH the titans. Pull this thread up again if the Pats lose but the Pats are better at every position over the Titans. Jake Locker will not be nearly capable to score at the same rate the pats will and they will win in a blow out. I'm not really sure why its moving that way but take that low line with a smile and think what the same line would look like if they played this game the last game of last season (-12 atleast).
      Comment
      • Hawkeye2011
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-12-11
        • 840

        #4
        I am huge on the Pats. Pats by 14
        Comment
        • The Kraken
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-25-11
          • 29085

          #5
          Jake LOCKer

          Cant say anything else
          Comment
          • MUHerd37
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-23-09
            • 12816

            #6
            Pats win with ease.
            Comment
            • k13
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-16-10
              • 18130

              #7
              Originally posted by redsoxfreak91
              NO NO NO NO NO!!!!! Unless the NFL is truly rigged (you never truly know) the Pats will CRUSH the titans. Pull this thread up again if the Pats lose but the Pats are better at every position over the Titans. Jake Locker will not be nearly capable to score at the same rate the pats will and they will win in a blow out. I'm not really sure why its moving that way but take that low line with a smile and think what the same line would look like if they played this game the last game of last season (-12 atleast).
              So if a 5 point underdog losses the NFL is rigged?

              Blinded homers.
              Comment
              • no1here
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 5914

                #8
                Tenn wins outright
                Comment
                • Hilljacademics
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-12-09
                  • 701

                  #9
                  I just like the UNDER, got both 47.5 early and 47 currently
                  Comment
                  • blowseq
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-06-09
                    • 1440

                    #10
                    Why you cant bet on Titans?
                    Comment
                    • AskWhole702
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 08-20-12
                      • 43

                      #11
                      Brady or Locker that is the question
                      Comment
                      • Goat Milk
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-24-10
                        • 25850

                        #12
                        Originally posted by no1here
                        Tenn wins outright
                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                        Comment
                        • chargers4222
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-16-10
                          • 4702

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                          excellent, all in titans ml
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            Takes sone balls to bet titans , pats have down year with that joke of an offensive line, but staying far away from this
                            Comment
                            • jazzyj7
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-02-09
                              • 859

                              #15
                              Originally posted by blowseq
                              Why you cant bet on Titans?
                              I just can't with the weapons the patriots have. brandon Lloyd, gronk, welker, brady, even ridley. Jake locker isin't proven even though I do like is mobility. Also, no kenny britt.
                              Comment
                              • jazzyj7
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 03-02-09
                                • 859

                                #16
                                Originally posted by k13
                                So if a 5 point underdog losses the NFL is rigged?

                                Blinded homers.
                                It's not that a 5 point favorite lost. It's the fact that the line was -7.5 with 70% of the public on pats and the line drops to -5 at certain places. I'm not a rocket scientist but souldn't the line go up to -8 or -9 instead of down? The books are begging you to take the pats. So, Yeah, If the titans win or cover, I'm convinced the outcome was known before hand. Psychics, ouija boards, rigged, I don't know, but something was up if thats the outcome
                                Comment
                                • ChalkyDog
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-02-11
                                  • 9598

                                  #17
                                  The trick to this game, is figuring out if the Titans D is solid enough to not allow Brady to put up points every time the offense is on the field.

                                  Pats D is garbage, Pats O is only rivaled by the Packers and Saints. Titans are pretty average on both sides.

                                  That said, RLM be damned, I am in on the Pats -5.5 already, which I thought was decent value before crunching numbers. Turns out it is reasonably fair based on current data. Might throw more on it by Sunday, but that all depends on how the weekend goes.

                                  I can't see the Pats losing, and obviously getting a number under 7 is a good step when backing an offense as good as this.
                                  Comment
                                  • Ryeskernatorr
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 06-29-09
                                    • 432

                                    #18
                                    No Kenny Britt for Locker. Pats should have no problem winning this game.
                                    Comment
                                    • Speedy88
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-19-11
                                      • 11717

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Ryeskernatorr
                                      No Kenny Britt for Locker. Pats should have no problem winning this game.
                                      Locker hasn't played with Britt much at all. When Locker did start games, Britt was out. Locker actually has better rapport with Nate Washington and the other WR's than with Britt. Not having Kenny Britt isn't going to be much of a problem.

                                      Right now, it's Titans spread or nothing.
                                      Comment
                                      • C-Gold
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-04-10
                                        • 6808

                                        #20
                                        Last year Chris Johnson held out and wasn't himself. They broke in a rookie QB and a rookie coach and were in playoff hunt.
                                        Here are some results.
                                        The Titans only lost 3 games by more than 7 points. (Pittsburgh/Houston) two playoff teams
                                        Beat the Ravens in week 2 - should have gone to the SB
                                        Beat the Broncos - playoff team
                                        Lost to the Saints by 6 - held them to only 22 points. Saints are an offensive team like the Pats.
                                        Lost @ Atlanta ( They are much better there) by 6
                                        Crushed Cam Newton and the Panthers 30-3

                                        They are also a home dog
                                        The Patriots haven't been as good on the road the last couple years.
                                        Pats are breaking in a new offensive line, new top WR, new RB

                                        That's the argument against.
                                        Comment
                                        • InTheDrink
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-23-09
                                          • 23983

                                          #21
                                          last 12 super bowl losers are 0-12 ats in week one
                                          Comment
                                          • ThaTopMoron
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 04-30-10
                                            • 27023

                                            #22
                                            Brady is DONE. Titans win.
                                            Comment
                                            • borednaz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-28-10
                                              • 3809

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by InTheDrink
                                              last 12 super bowl losers are 0-12 ats in week one
                                              Yes and the super bowl winners where what ATS in week 1, the giants blew that one too.
                                              Comment
                                              • skeetmasterc
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 09-01-12
                                                • 71

                                                #24
                                                I know the Patriots have some offensive line problems, but I fully expect them to utilize the 3 TE set with Hernandez, Gronk, and don't forget Visanthe Shancoe (I can't spell his name) to help the offensive line problems. Brandon Lloyd , if used correctly, will be a monster this year.
                                                Comment
                                                • InTheDrink
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-23-09
                                                  • 23983

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by borednaz
                                                  Yes and the super bowl winners where what ATS in week 1, the giants blew that one too.
                                                  just giving a partial explanation

                                                  and they weren't 12-0...what was it...9-5 or 9-6 going in?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • k13
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-16-10
                                                    • 18130

                                                    #26
                                                    Line down to 4.5

                                                    Can't wait for sunday.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • k13
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-16-10
                                                      • 18130

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by InTheDrink
                                                      just giving a partial explanation

                                                      and they weren't 12-0...what was it...9-5 or 9-6 going in?
                                                      12-0 su

                                                      Every meaningless trend comes to an end eventually.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Avenger
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-15-11
                                                        • 2119

                                                        #28
                                                        RLM movement will only win 60% of the time. If it always worked, we'd all be millionaires.

                                                        That being said, I'm on Patriots. Too much value here. RLM makes me want to put half a unit instead of 1 unit.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • iQon
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-08-10
                                                          • 1483

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by k13
                                                          So if a 5 point underdog losses the NFL is rigged?

                                                          Blinded homers.
                                                          I think you're the blind one. He's clearly saying it's rigged if Tennessee wins
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Goat Milk
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 03-24-10
                                                            • 25850

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Avenger
                                                            RLM movement will only win 60% of the time. If it always worked, we'd all be millionaires.

                                                            That being said, I'm on Patriots. Too much value here. RLM makes me want to put half a unit instead of 1 unit.
                                                            RLM wins 60% of the time?

                                                            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                            Comment
                                                            • redsoxfreak91
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 10-17-11
                                                              • 903

                                                              #31
                                                              The bottom line is the patriots are a much better team than the titans and should easily win if they play a pretty good game
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Goat Milk
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-24-10
                                                                • 25850

                                                                #32
                                                                chargers i already took the pats. come back here when the titans lose by 2 tds you little bitch. Brady will destroy that secondary.
                                                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                Comment
                                                                • k13
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-16-10
                                                                  • 18130

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Morons on Patriots vs Bills, line goes down, Bills win SU
                                                                  Morons on Packers vs Chiefs, line goes down, Chiefs win SU
                                                                  Morons on Giants vs Seahawks, line goes down, Seahawks win SU
                                                                  Morons on Baltimore vs Seahawks, line goes down, Seahawks win SU
                                                                  Morons on Bears vs Chiefs, line goes down, Chiefs win SU

                                                                  I could go on forever, NFL is clearly fixed.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • str
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-12-09
                                                                    • 11790

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Anything that the public can't understand or predict must be fixed right?


                                                                    C'mon man.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BostonDjStroke
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 08-31-12
                                                                      • 38

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Chalky, yes the Pats were 2nd to last in YPG last year, however they were also 3rd in turnovers and 15th in points allowed. They are also better this year, so I wouldn't say, especially playing against the Titans offense (w/o Britt), that they will be "garbage" in this game.

                                                                      The offense is primed to put up a big number in this game, and as long as the Pats can hold the Titans to field goals despite giving up a lot of yards (which they did with most teams last year), they will win by double digits.

                                                                      The RLM is odd, but I think its best not to over analyze this game. Take anything under -7 all day long.
                                                                      Comment
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