Texas St. poised to pull the biggest upset in sports history

[Mr. Teaser]

was +15000 on the ML, up 17 at the half getting ball

Awesome win

[nic9212]

Absolutely amazing

[DrStale]

So it's clear to you what he's implying and it's also clear to you that I knew this because it was obvious and was being nitpicky huh? With such clear insight you should've taken Texas St. ML. Even better, you should mind ur own go**amn business

He also said this "I know there were higher spreads but I don't think I have ever seen higher than +15000 on a person or team who won a game."

If you had continued to read instead of missing the point and the feeling it necessary to point it out I wouldn't have had to correct you. I'm guessing you're just upset because you didn't come off very well. Cheers.

[TheCentaur]

He also said this "I know there were higher spreads but I don't think I have ever seen higher than +15000 on a person or team who won a game."

If you had continued to read instead of missing the point and the feeling it necessary to point it out I wouldn't have had to correct you. I'm guessing you're just upset because you didn't come off very well. Cheers.

Actually I did read the entire thread and I don't remember seeing that post. I'm wondering if it was an edit after the confusion, but hey maybe I missed it. Do you remember seeing it before? It seems you would have quoted that post instead of saying he implied it had it been there all along. But yeah I'm kind of tilted, but not from this game

[DrStale]

Actually I did read the entire thread and I don't remember seeing that post. I'm wondering if it was an edit after the confusion, but hey maybe I missed it. Do you remember seeing it before? It seems you would have quoted that post instead of saying he implied it had it been there all along. But yeah I'm kind of tilted

To be honest I don't remember seeing it initially, I based my thoughts on the overall theme of the thread. I suppose it could have been edited, don't know for sure. Just bustin your balls a bit because you seemed to be goin at him a bit. BOL gettin' em back tomorrow/next week.

[TheCentaur]

To be honest I don't remember seeing it initially, I based my thoughts on the overall theme of the thread. I suppose it could have been edited, don't know for sure. Just bustin your balls a bit because you seemed to be goin at him a bit. BOL gettin' em back tomorrow/next week.

Total misunderstanding all around then, I wasn't goin at him, I honestly thought he meant it was the highest ML he'd ever seen

[Mac4Lyfe]

so you hedged at the half with tx state up 17 and absolutely dominating statistically? i seriously don't understand this line of thinking.

$50 bet paid $6750. First game of the season. I Hedged with Houston for $2750, -15 (+100). Guaranteed $3,950 profit if they win, $2,700 if they lose. Yep, they were dominating the game, yep they were up big BUT have you seen weird shit happen in football before? Have you seen a team compete for 2 quarters only to shit their pants in the 2nd half? This is football, anything can happen. 17 points can be made up very quickly with momentum for a home fave.

My momma always said that "For sure money beats no money" and "a bird in the hand beats 2 to 3 in the bush (Blackjack reference)". If someone told me they would give me $4k or $2.7k guaranteed OR they'd give me $6.7k or nothing. I'm not rolling the dice on a sure winner that didn't cost me much to begin with. Plenty of football left to play. It's the first week. Why take a chance when their is so much unknown. Don't get emotional, don't get greedy (not in week 1) and pick your spots. I have no problem giving back a bit hedging to ensure guaranteed profit. That 2nd half was very stress free.

I regret not putting more on the ML as I talked myself out of it twice. I was locked and loaded for $200 on the ML but cancelled the confirmation.

[DrStale]

Good deal Centaur.

Mac you absolutely made the right call. Yeah you're gonna catch some shit here from a couple people after the fact for ending up missing out on the extra money, but imagine the backlash (around here) calling you a moron if you hadn't hedged and houston had turned it around. It's easy to say they were domintaing but we've all seen powerhouses struggling at halftime and then outscore their opponent by 40 in the second half. True Houston may not be a powerhouse but there's no sense in taking a chance on guaranteed money. Regardless of the situation you do not want to be telling yourself how you can't believe you lost almost 7 g's on a stellar program like Texas St.

[rm18]

this might of been the most inaccurate line since Okie St. was -6 at Washington St. when Washington St. turned out to be the worst team in the country. I think Houston should of been about -7.5 from what I saw watching the game.

[LT Profits]

I know there were higher spreads but I don't think I have ever seen higher than +15000 on a person or team who won a game.

Stanford was +18000 in that game, but oddly they were not the biggest ML I have seen win, That very same year (2007), Syracuse won as a +38 underdog at Louisville, but even though the spread was three points less than Stanford, the Syracuse ML was +19000.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Have we ever seen a dog this big win by so much? I think the other games were all won by just a few points??

[LT Profits]

Have we ever seen a dog this big win by so much? I think the other games were all won by just a few points??

True, probably not.

[alta]

$50 bet paid $6750. First game of the season. I Hedged with Houston for $2750, -15 (+100). Guaranteed $3,950 profit if they win, $2,700 if they lose. Yep, they were dominating the game, yep they were up big BUT have you seen weird shit happen in football before? Have you seen a team compete for 2 quarters only to shit their pants in the 2nd half? This is football, anything can happen. 17 points can be made up very quickly with momentum for a home fave.

My momma always said that "For sure money beats no money" and "a bird in the hand beats 2 to 3 in the bush (Blackjack reference)". If someone told me they would give me $4k or $2.7k guaranteed OR they'd give me $6.7k or nothing. I'm not rolling the dice on a sure winner that didn't cost me much to begin with. Plenty of football left to play. It's the first week. Why take a chance when their is so much unknown. Don't get emotional, don't get greedy (not in week 1) and pick your spots. I have no problem giving back a bit hedging to ensure guaranteed profit. That 2nd half was very stress free.

I regret not putting more on the ML as I talked myself out of it twice. I was locked and loaded for $200 on the ML but cancelled the confirmation.

What book hung that moneyline?
Most books won't put out a ML whan the spread is large.

[LT Profits]

5 Dimes?

[Mac4Lyfe]

5 Dimes posted several large ML's today.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Have we ever seen a dog this big win by so much? I think the other games were all won by just a few points??

Only one close, that I can think of = Ariz St +25 beating Neb, 19-0

[rm18]

Stanford was +18000 in that game, but oddly they were not the biggest ML I have seen win, That very same year (2007), Syracuse won as a +38 underdog at Louisville, but even though the spread was three points less than Stanford, the Syracuse ML was +19000.

Well I saw lower for both those game saw USC ML -12500, though possibly at their peak those were the prices I don't know. I am pretty sure Syracuse ML closed at about +9500

[Balco10]

Glad i was on them....

[Dux90]

i had tex st with the pts though to scared to pull trigger on ML

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

I called it in this forum but got Texas State +13500* <small>vs</small> Houston U

Still plenty of time left but I hedged the bet for profit.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...rly-leans.html

AMAZING bro!!!! What a start to your football season. BOL!

[guy Fawkes]

Just woke up to this fun little surprise. Took them for $3 just on a lark at +12500 (along with UNT, Hawaii and Arkansas State).

Big - Huge - Amazingly large congratulations to anyone that had anything significant on them!

[Jrod124]

I had Houston -350000 on a open

**** life

[Mac4Lyfe]

Awesome...

Just woke up to this fun little surprise. Took them for $3 just on a lark at +12500 (along with UNT, Hawaii and Arkansas State).

Big - Huge - Amazingly large congratulations to anyone that had anything significant on them!

[guy Fawkes]

Awesome...

Today I went back and read your write up on Texas State and I gotta say, that is just downright impressive. It's lucky for someone like me to throw a couple bucks out and get such a nice return. It's real special to do your research and actually feel like they had a shot at winning and throwing a real bet at +12500 - +15000. It takes an incredibly confident and sharp capper to do their research and post about taking a +12500 on these forums and open yourself up to public ridicule should the score line up the way Vegas thought it would. Last year when I was posting write ups I remember receiving flak for just posting a +200 and after the fact tons of people come in saying how obvious it was the favorite would win.

I gotta tell you, I'm just crazy impressed you had the cajones and the insight to actually post a write up like that. Well done!

[KKoz9]

Nice call and congrats on making some scratch but you know this is the Houston Cougars right?

How can it be the biggest upset ever when we're talking about Houston?

Sure, they were 13-1 last year and had a great player in Keenum, but that only included 2 or 3 quality wins and was by far their most successful (only successful?) season in 20 years.

[LT Profits]

Nice call and congrats on making some scratch but you know this is the Houston Cougars right?

How can it be the biggest upset ever when we're talking about Houston?

Sure, they were 13-1 last year and had a great player in Keenum, but that only included 2 or 3 quality wins and was by far their most successful (only successful?) season in 20 years.

Still one of the biggest in odds (+15000), which is the very definition of upset.

[No coincidences]

5 Dimes posted several large ML's today.

Yep -- UNI was +12000 I believe at Wisconsin and I almost threw $10 just for the hell of it.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Still one of the biggest in odds (+15000), which is the very definition of upset.

Largest ML bet I've ever cashed. Buster Douglas +2200 was my previous biggest (it opened +4200). A day later I'm still kicking myself that I didn't bet more.