when do you fuuks learn you cant win betting baseball ?? it will kill you

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  • Roxxyfish
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-26-09
    • 12066

    #1
    when do you fuuks learn you cant win betting baseball ?? it will kill you
    yeah i know nothing from Baseball, all i know from monitoring the daily Players Talk is NO ONE will win long term betting baseball, plus id rather watch paint dry than a baseball game, but from a gambler perspective also , this shit is simply not predictable, the efforts from Brock Landers to beat this game are entertaining but thats it

    the odds that this game creates are a waste -188 -176 whats that ?? bullshit compared to most other sports you get nearly zero value betting baseball

    and dont tell me this or that guy hits 55 or 60%, even he does his profits are a joke unless he works with parlays,but if he works with parlays he cant hit 55 or 60 %

    those who like this boring shit should enjoy it for a few penny bets and that it

    you cant win long term betting baseball thats a fact
  • Avenger
    SBR MVP
    • 03-15-11
    • 2119

    #2
    This is the hardest year to gamble on MLB. I know I sound like I'm full of crap, but honestly, every other year MLB has been the biggest money maker.

    I think the Oddsmakers have caught on to our tricks. All the lines have been adjusted. They're probably telling the teams not to do certain things anymore that have always made MLB profitable. For example: it always worked in the gambler's favor that there was a game every day. Because you knew even the worst team had to win eventually. So, you just kept chasing till the home dog hit. But now, you've got star players, who are out for weeks, and teams have been sweeping series all year.

    Sad, because MLB is turning into a joke, just like NBA. There's like 1000 fans at the Astros games, but they don't give a fcuk. I'm guessing the books are supplementing the team's lost income.
    Comment
    • Avenger
      SBR MVP
      • 03-15-11
      • 2119

      #3
      And Landers is a public fav whore. The only reason he's even close to breaking even is because the books have caught on to all our tricks.
      Comment
      • hotelis
        SBR MVP
        • 05-31-12
        • 1995

        #4
        JJ's spreadsheet says it all
        Comment
        • dice
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-28-09
          • 669

          #5
          Originally posted by Roxxyfish
          yeah i know nothing from Baseball, all i know from monitoring the daily Players Talk is NO ONE will win long term betting baseball, plus id rather watch paint dry than a baseball game, but from a gambler perspective also , this shit is simply not predictable, the efforts from Brock Landers to beat this game are entertaining but thats it

          the odds that this game creates are a waste -188 -176 whats that ?? bullshit compared to most other sports you get nearly zero value betting baseball

          and dont tell me this or that guy hits 55 or 60%, even he does his profits are a joke unless he works with parlays,but if he works with parlays he cant hit 55 or 60 %

          those who like this boring shit should enjoy it for a few penny bets and that it

          you cant win long term betting baseball thats a fact
          Comment
          • jagaf22
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-08
            • 2932

            #6
            Ever heard of Lt Profits
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388208

              #7
              Roxy finally nails something

              It will bury you long term


              I won a few years in a row but now getting buried
              Comment
              • GunShard
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-05-10
                • 10033

                #8
                I always saw baseball and hockey as more luck than skill.

                While I see basketball, football, mma, boxing and tennis as more skill than luck.
                Comment
                • swordsandtequila
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-23-12
                  • 9763

                  #9
                  Read this (whole thread):



                  Started playing around with this on July 18th. After a few adjustments, only betting games with a return of 35% or more of initial bet (will go lower in some instances, hot teams, pitchers, etc.). As this is an experiment, initial wagers are small. Record to date is 65-13 (win rate 83%, been as high as 87%), ROI is slightly over 12%. Small sample size, but so far so good.
                  Comment
                  • milwaukee mike
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-22-07
                    • 27271

                    #10
                    baseball is actually the easiest sport to win money on over the long-term.

                    the spreads are narrow, making it great for bonus whoring!

                    and if you're actually going to bet it, you can follow trends like the umpire who is now on a 21-1 over streak. but i guess if you bet the over on his last 9 games that have each been 11 runs or more you are just throwing darts like brock landers
                    Comment
                    • face
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-31-11
                      • 14740

                      #11
                      baseball not so hard, NFL is the hard one. take last year for example, if Billy Cundiff kicks an easy 20 yd field goal for Ravens we have overtime and maybe pats lose, and if Kyle Williams for 49ers wasn't a complete retard twice on special teams muff and a fumble the 49ers go instead of Giants. hard to cap that type of stuff.
                      Comment
                      • Vegas_bond
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-09-09
                        • 624

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Roxxyfish
                        yeah i know nothing from Baseball, all i know from monitoring the daily Players Talk is NO ONE will win long term betting baseball, plus id rather watch paint dry than a baseball game, but from a gambler perspective also , this shit is simply not predictable, the efforts from Brock Landers to beat this game are entertaining but thats it

                        the odds that this game creates are a waste -188 -176 whats that ?? bullshit compared to most other sports you get nearly zero value betting baseball

                        and dont tell me this or that guy hits 55 or 60%, even he does his profits are a joke unless he works with parlays,but if he works with parlays he cant hit 55 or 60 %

                        those who like this boring shit should enjoy it for a few penny bets and that it

                        you cant win long term betting baseball thats a fact
                        I know nothing about Soccer either. This is what Ive heard on the streets:

                        Soccer participants actually fellate one another.

                        The "World" Cup is not the a World's Cup, but a competition among 32 countries, disproportionately allotted to European countries.

                        Soccer participants act like they've been shot .

                        Soccer is too simple an activity.

                        Penalty kicks. You are determining a winner by a random event that has no relevance to the rest of the game. It would be as stupid as replacing extra innings with batting practice.

                        Soccer fans justify the activity based entirely on its popularity. Not only are the reasons why soccer is popular an argument against soccer, but it really shows how pathetic said activity is when that is the only argument soccer fans come up with.

                        Soccer is not objective. There is no play clock. The game doesn't end after the clock has run down. This adds bias, subjectivism and appeals to lower intellects, and it destroys the drama from last second victories


                        Why not use your hands? Or your brain?

                        Soccer hilites concentrate on what almost happens. When ESPN has the poor sense to show soccer hilites, they show missed shots, missed passes, etc. Any real sport shows things that actually contribute to the result. Soccer participants do not care about the result.


                        Justo name a few ...
                        Comment
                        • imzdeals
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-02-11
                          • 735

                          #13
                          it's easy, just bet against the astros...when they lose, just chase that the next day
                          Comment
                          • PickWinnerAllDay
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-31-11
                            • 12722

                            #14
                            lol this german douche thinks he knows sports...
                            Comment
                            • mynameismud
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-13-12
                              • 5462

                              #15
                              roxxy seems to know chick basketball and obscure soccer leagues, but thats about it.
                              Comment
                              • PickWinnerAllDay
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-31-11
                                • 12722

                                #16
                                Originally posted by mynameismud
                                roxxy seems to know chick basketball and obscure soccer leagues, but thats about it.
                                Guy is an egomaniac...

                                'I don't know anything about baseball but I guarantee that it is impossible to win money at it because I can't!!!'
                                Comment
                                • Roxxyfish
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 06-26-09
                                  • 12066

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by GunShard
                                  I always saw baseball and hockey as more luck than skill.

                                  While I see basketball, football, mma, boxing and tennis as more skill than luck.
                                  Originally posted by Vegas_bond

                                  I know nothing about Soccer either. This is what Ive heard on the streets:

                                  Soccer participants actually fellate one another.

                                  The "World" Cup is not the a World's Cup, but a competition among 32 countries, disproportionately allotted to European countries.

                                  Soccer participants act like they've been shot .

                                  Soccer is too simple an activity.

                                  Penalty kicks. You are determining a winner by a random event that has no relevance to the rest of the game. It would be as stupid as replacing extra innings with batting practice.

                                  Soccer fans justify the activity based entirely on its popularity. Not only are the reasons why soccer is popular an argument against soccer, but it really shows how pathetic said activity is when that is the only argument soccer fans come up with.

                                  Soccer is not objective. There is no play clock. The game doesn't end after the clock has run down. This adds bias, subjectivism and appeals to lower intellects, and it destroys the drama from last second victories


                                  Why not use your hands? Or your brain?

                                  Soccer hilites concentrate on what almost happens. When ESPN has the poor sense to show soccer hilites, they show missed shots, missed passes, etc. Any real sport shows things that actually contribute to the result. Soccer participants do not care about the result.


                                  Justo name a few ...
                                  Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                  lol this german douche thinks he knows sports...
                                  Originally posted by mynameismud
                                  roxxy seems to know chick basketball and obscure soccer leagues, but thats about it.
                                  Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

                                  Guy is an egomaniac...

                                  'I don't know anything about baseball but I guarantee that it is impossible to win money at it because I can't!!!'
                                  of course PWAD comes and babbling , keep throwing your darts at unders with imaginary monopoly money

                                  and to the other bungholes, i dint said a word about soccer in this thread,this alone shows how easy it is to hurt your feelings you stupid american hicks


                                  and yes i am still the best NFL and College football capper, just prove me wrong in my thread and bury me all weekend, we speak when the season starts, i was the only one here who hit 3 +1000 moneylines in NCAA last year
                                  Comment
                                  • Ryeskernatorr
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 06-29-09
                                    • 432

                                    #18
                                    I'm personally up in baseball and think it's the easiest to cap.
                                    Comment
                                    • GamblerSpirit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-18-11
                                      • 4085

                                      #19
                                      best NFL capper...just like being at WSOP in Vegas. There is a running joke on SBRForum...and someone is too stupid to realize it.
                                      Comment
                                      • Snowball
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 11-15-09
                                        • 30076

                                        #20
                                        I have a posted 97% win rate on chases and fades,
                                        with 68% of won money on the first bet, on my thread.
                                        Comment
                                        • YorkHunt
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-11-10
                                          • 7496

                                          #21
                                          Roxxy did your wife bet baseball?
                                          Comment
                                          • Roxxyfish
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 06-26-09
                                            • 12066

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by GamblerSpirit
                                            best NFL capper...just like being at WSOP in Vegas. There is a running joke on SBRForum...and someone is too stupid to realize it.
                                            just follow my thread stiff and we speak at the end of the season , till then you can continue scamming and stiffing OK ? dude
                                            Comment
                                            • GamblerSpirit
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-18-11
                                              • 4085

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Roxxyfish

                                              just follow my thread stiff and we speak at the end of the season , till then you can continue scamming and stiffing OK ? dude
                                              You're just as stupid as as you're a liar.
                                              Comment
                                              • Seto
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-16-11
                                                • 12906

                                                #24


                                                guy is up almost 50 units after 450+ plays

                                                yeah, impossible to win long term

                                                Comment
                                                • EVPlus
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-07-12
                                                  • 1111

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Roxxyfish
                                                  yeah i know nothing from Baseball, all i know from monitoring the daily Players Talk is NO ONE will win long term betting baseball, plus id rather watch paint dry than a baseball game, but from a gambler perspective also , this shit is simply not predictable, the efforts from Brock Landers to beat this game are entertaining but thats it

                                                  the odds that this game creates are a waste -188 -176 whats that ?? bullshit compared to most other sports you get nearly zero value betting baseball

                                                  and dont tell me this or that guy hits 55 or 60%, even he does his profits are a joke unless he works with parlays,but if he works with parlays he cant hit 55 or 60 %

                                                  those who like this boring shit should enjoy it for a few penny bets and that it

                                                  you cant win long term betting baseball thats a fact

                                                  You're making a huge mistake extrapolating that everyone loses in MLB just because those who post frequently on this thread do not win.

                                                  Or it could be that YOU tried to cap MLB, lost repeatedly, and now foolishly believe that no one can win in MLB just because you can't either.

                                                  Like any other sport, well over 90 percent of people will lose over the season. Note that number is NOT 100 percent.

                                                  Those of us in the minority exist and we DO profit. We're just smart enough to know that under the radar is the safest place. So we'll post once in a blue moon with a play or an opinion; but we know the difference between being a forum hero and someone who actually earns a living at this.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HardCore
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-05-12
                                                    • 3615

                                                    #26
                                                    Well said
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JR007
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-21-10
                                                      • 5279

                                                      #27
                                                      gotta pick your spots, sometimes the game total, and ml are not the way to go, gotta watch first 5, team totals
                                                      and how they are juiced, brewers game for example tonight look at the first 5, over was juiced late 4.5 (winner)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Scuba Gooding Jr
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-18-11
                                                        • 173

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                                        lol this german douche thinks he knows sports...
                                                        He's the same guy who last year tried to bet a touchdown prop on Jason Hill a week after he'd been cut by Jacksonville, lol.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Monchito
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-20-11
                                                          • 1928

                                                          #29
                                                          All money wins in NHL spend in MLB !!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ThaTopMoron
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-30-10
                                                            • 27023

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Roxxyfish
                                                            yeah i know nothing from Baseball, all i know from monitoring the daily Players Talk is NO ONE will win long term betting baseball, plus id rather watch paint dry than a baseball game, but from a gambler perspective also , this shit is simply not predictable, the efforts from Brock Landers to beat this game are entertaining but thats it

                                                            the odds that this game creates are a waste -188 -176 whats that ?? bullshit compared to most other sports you get nearly zero value betting baseball

                                                            and dont tell me this or that guy hits 55 or 60%, even he does his profits are a joke unless he works with parlays,but if he works with parlays he cant hit 55 or 60 %

                                                            those who like this boring shit should enjoy it for a few penny bets and that it

                                                            you cant win long term betting baseball thats a fact
                                                            this is why after the NBA ends, i don't bet any MLB at all and usually nothing at all... for about 2 months, a litter shorter hiatus this year since the NBA went till later June. i wait till preseason NFL is about to start back up, MLB is also even more unpredictable before the All Star break and then after it too. Its a little better late August and in September.

                                                            Fukk MLB, if i would have made a big play today it would have probably been the Pirates or Tampa, and you see how one of those games is going haha
                                                            Comment
                                                            • HardCore
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-05-12
                                                              • 3615

                                                              #31
                                                              smh i might be done to its just not worth the money baseball is by far the easiest sport to cap but the amount of money u have to risk to see a profit just isnt worth it
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mantle7
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-05-12
                                                                • 3138

                                                                #32
                                                                Am i mistaken or did this guy just come into a MLB betting forum and lecture us on how nobody can win betting baseballl? I'm not gonna go on and on about how i win at betting baseball but i do want touch on something. Don't you think it's a little weird to start a thread amongst a bunch of guys that bet on baseball and why you shouldn't bet it? Are you actually concerned or are you just dying for attention. Hey. I got an idea!!! Why don't you go to a bar and stand up on a stool and preach to everybody in there why drinking isn't good for their health!!!

                                                                This place attracts some of the strangest people....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • wantitall4moi
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-17-10
                                                                  • 3063

                                                                  #33
                                                                  LOL I have just gotten back into it this year but it has been just like it used to be in terms of moves and volatility.

                                                                  Actually it might be better. Trick is to get both teams for odds that cant lose, once you figure that out and you want to try making opinionated plays feel free, but if youre betting games and the odds are moving a lot after you bet them then you shouldnt be betting the sport anyway.

                                                                  Guys realy need to track their MLB plays and then look at them after the season and see what happened.

                                                                  But if youre betting teams at like -120 or +110 and they get to -115 or +118 as a high AFTER you bet them youre doing it wrong. Even if the games close at or around the number you got them at, that doesnt mean you did it 'right'.

                                                                  baseball is the ultimate bargain hunting sports, if youre losing it probably has more to do with the prices your paying rather than your ability to pick the 'right' side.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HardCore
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-05-12
                                                                    • 3615

                                                                    #34
                                                                    amen mantle amen
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hugh_morris
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-17-09
                                                                      • 2039

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Hey Roxxy...First off, why would you even try to start a thread on a subject you know absolutely nothing about and then even try to give advice on it....Use that head for something other than a place to plop a hat onto...Your about as sharp as a bowling ball and thats an insult to the bowling ball....
                                                                      Comment
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