how likely is this poker scenario SBR?

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  • mikew
    SBR Hustler
    • 02-09-12
    • 74

    #36
    Originally posted by milwaukee mike
    dude that's been here for 5 minutes telling one of the most senior and valuable members of sbr what to do
    lol
    Comment
    • aceking
      SBR MVP
      • 09-07-05
      • 4782

      #37
      Originally posted by d2bets

      So how did the hand finish?
      i think it was 180 + 6X30 + 3X30 + 0 .

      wal66 missed a straight flush draw and didn't call my all-in .
      Comment
      • Art Vandeleigh
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-06
        • 1494

        #38
        Well I don't know the exact numbers, but

        The probability that 2 or more players are dealt pocket pairs (any) in a given hand (full table) - 1 in 3, 4, 5 hands (just guessing)?

        multiplied by the probabilty that these players will see the flop

        multiplied by the probabilty that the larger pocket pair will hit a set - this is 1 in 8

        multiplied by the probabilty the smaller pp doesn't hit a set - this is 7/8

        multiplied by the probabilty that the smaller pair continues in the hand after the flop

        multiplied by appx 1 in 1000 for runner runner.

        = not too high a probabilty, but not zero either, as you unfortunately experienced.
        Comment
        • icancount2one
          SBR MVP
          • 01-05-10
          • 1507

          #39
          Correct answer is 2.3%

          All the money got in with one card to come and one out.

          Unlucky, dude.
          Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
          Comment
          • fixxer
            SBR MVP
            • 09-13-05
            • 1877

            #40
            MMike: Not with kings, and not with sixes, but yes, just the same happened. Believe it or not.
            Comment
            • k13
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-16-10
              • 18104

              #41
              SBR is the most predictable poker ever. I call every hand before it comes.

              Today JJ vs A10

              100% Aces comes.

              I would bet a $1000 at even money.
              Comment
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