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Oregon St+1 at Oregon

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  • Dexter
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-24-08
    • 25829

    #36
    Originally posted by BigDofBA
    OK man. Just because Oregon was -1, that doesn't mean all things were equal. Oregon State was the better team here. I think you may have been fooled by seeing Oregon -1 and thought it was a good play.

    A lot of people liked Oregon. They were at home, had the better record, etc. I even saw that they were the best team in the Pac-12. LMAO. So if people thought that, didn't they find it strange Oregon was only -1? It was a sucker bet.

    As for my examples in the past 24 hours, there are tons more. These are just games that happened recently.

    Seton Hall -1 LOSS
    Oregon -1 LOSS
    NC State -1 LOSS
    Ga. Sstate - 1 LOSS (Just remembered that one)

    All home teams. All teams people on this site liked. All losers.

    I would be willing to bet that if you looked into other results you would find that teams that are -1 or -2 tend to lose straight up the majority of the time.
    this is interesting....i would love to know the ATS record of home teams -1/-2 in college hoops this year. But you would have to look at the closing line, and not the opening imo.
    Comment
    • ferndog
      SBR MVP
      • 02-22-07
      • 1386

      #37
      Originally posted by BigDofBA
      OK man. Just because Oregon was -1, that doesn't mean all things were equal. Oregon State was the better team here. I think you may have been fooled by seeing Oregon -1 and thought it was a good play.

      A lot of people liked Oregon. They were at home, had the better record, etc. I even saw that they were the best team in the Pac-12. LMAO. So if people thought that, didn't they find it strange Oregon was only -1? It was a sucker bet.

      As for my examples in the past 24 hours, there are tons more. These are just games that happened recently.

      Seton Hall -1 LOSS
      Oregon -1 LOSS
      NC State -1 LOSS
      Ga. Sstate - 1 LOSS (Just remembered that one)

      All home teams. All teams people on this site liked. All losers.

      I would be willing to bet that if you looked into other results you would find that teams that are -1 or -2 tend to lose straight up the majority of the time.
      Totally agree that it was a sucker bet. That line was off. And alot of people thought Oregon was an easy winner. Not!
      Comment
      • BigDofBA
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-30-09
        • 19313

        #38
        Originally posted by Dexter
        this is interesting....i would love to know the ATS record of home teams -1/-2 in college hoops this year. But you would have to look at the closing line, and not the opening imo.
        As of now, Austin Peay and Princeton are both +2 on the road tomorrow.

        Take them both on the ML and I bet you will profit. I think at worst it goes 1-1 which would still yield a profit

        Or you can take teams like Oregon and lose.
        Comment
        • jeffdane
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-20-09
          • 5165

          #39
          nobody listen to this stupid advice.

          bigD: you betting every road dog up to +3. your answer is no, so why tell others to

          any actual stats to back your claim? or is it around 50% ats like every other number?
          Comment
          • CWD
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-22-12
            • 7665

            #40
            Originally posted by ferndog
            Totally agree that it was a sucker bet. That line was off. And alot of people thought Oregon was an easy winner. Not!
            though i have no stats on it seems like home teams cover more often than not when they are +1 not -1 . hard for me to take any home team most sports when they are -1.
            Comment
            • ksnooksk
              SBR MVP
              • 11-18-11
              • 2890

              #41
              There used to be an old adage that said you will do well picking games where you bet on the road team getting less than a full bucket. This game applied.
              Comment
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