44% and Mitt at 40%. Yes it is before the R have decided but it still surprises me a little. A generic R beats Obama but Mitt cannot in these same polls. My theory has been and still is Mitt gets no love from many R and I think large numbers will not turn out to vote for this man. R hate and bigotry may just cost them this election. Amazing how a main belief of R can cost them. Ironic isn't it?
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10 months left... Anything can happen
Thursday Jan 12, 2012
Unemployment claims jumped to 400,000 in the first week of 2012, the highest in six weeks.
Retail sales rose at the weakest pace in seven months in December and first-time claims for jobless benefits moved higher last week, signs the economic recovery remains shaky despite a pick-up in growth.Comment -
Obama need to fix our economy and environment and he will win. Ironically creating more jobs in the green sector should help. kill two birds with one stone.Comment -
look for another 'Gulf of Tonkin' soonComment -
Obama will win the electoral vote. Huntsman is best choice to give him a real test but he hasn't caught fire with the hard core Republicans so they are going to throw the whitest guy alive out there to take the loss.Comment -
Generic candidates will always be more popular than real ones
Voter turnout is going to be very low this election[B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.
[/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]Comment -
It would seem the repubs will have more incentive (Obama hate) to turnout
The liberal (true liberals) base is disappointed in ObamaComment -
obamas gona win end of story, unless he has some sanduskyesque skeletons in his closet.Comment -
[B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.
[/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]Comment -
big0mar , make your mind up
will it be a "barely an increase" or "very low" turnout ?Comment -
Florida voters prefer Mitt Romney over President Obama
Florida voters disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance, say he doesn’t deserve to be reelected and narrowly prefer Republican Mitt Romney in a theoretical matchup, according to a new poll.
Romney would get 46 percent of the Florida vote to Obama’s 43 percent if the election were held today, Quinnipiac University’s latest poll of Florida finds. The poll also shows that incumbent Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson is essentially tied with U.S. Rep. Connie Mack in a theoretical matchup, with Nelson earning 41 percent of the vote and Mack 40 percent.
This isn’t the only bad news for Democrats in the poll. It also continues to show that Republicans are far more excited than Democrats about voting this year. More than half of Republicans describe themselves as enthusiastic about casting ballots. Only 29 percent of Democrats feel that way.
Obama’s problems are particularly striking. The economy is showing more signs of improvement. And Republicans are starting to savage each other in the GOP primary.
Voters seem unimpressed. Even the Republican polling in third place this primary season, Rick Santorum, is in a statistical tie with Obama, the poll shows. Chances are, Obama would face Romney, who’s the GOP frontrunner.
Obama’s greatest strengths: black voters — who favor him 92-4 over Romney — and young voters, who side with Obama over Romney by a 51-39 percent spread. Independent voters, who tend to call elections in Florida, also favor Obama over Romney, 47-39.
But Hispanic voters are almost evenly split between the two. White voters, who outnumber black voters in Florida, favor Romney by 21 percentage points. And those older than 49 are in Romney’s camp right now by relatively significant margins.
“The problem for Obama is that those over 50 make up 62 percent of the electorate, compared to the 35 percent who are under 50,” Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a written statement.
“But the election isn’t for 10 more months so he has plenty of time to turn things around," he said. "Nevertheless, President Obama needs to mend fences in the Sunshine State, especially among men, whites and those voters without college degrees. The difference among voters by age is especially striking.”
And where Obama wins women, he loses men 52-40 percent to Romney, “a yawning gender gap,” Brown said.
Late Wednesday afternoon, however, Democratic pollster Dave Beattie noted that the Quinnipiac poll under-sampled Democrats and over-sampled Republicans. So the poll results could skew too Republican, he noted.
Only 42 percent give Obama a positive job-approval rating, while 54 percent disapprove; 52 percent say he doesn’t deserve a second term. Only 44 percent say he should be reelected.
Despite all his problems, Obama isn’t clearly losing the election. And his numbers haven’t moved that much over the past few months. The poll’s overall error margin is 2.6 percentage points, making the presidential race close to a tie.
Obama’s campaign is actively trying to add new, young voters to the rolls and the president is trying to reach out more to independents at the same time that Romney and the other Republican candidates have to appeal to the right in the GOP primary. If the economy continues to improve, Obama could get a share of the credit — though voters right now seem more inclined to tie the state’s economy to Gov. Rick Scott, who’s not on the ballot and is about as unpopular as Obama.
Also, Obama doesn’t need Florida as much as a Republican challenger, who needs swing-state Florida to cancel out the likely Democratic wins in larger states such as California and New York.
Sen. Nelson is therefore in a tougher spot than Obama. The 12-year senator has been a fixture of Florida for more than three decades. But the son and namesake of his predecessor, Connie Mack, is running neck-and-neck with the Democrat.
Still, Nelson does far better than Obama among white, older and independent voters. Voters approve of his job performance by double digits. About a third of the electorate says it hasn’t heard enough about Nelson to form an opinion. More than half of the voters say that about Mack — an indication that Democrats and his fellow Republican opponents might try to define the Fort Myers congressman negatively as the election season rolls on.
Mack’s victory in the crowded Senate primary isn’t a sure thing. But his poll numbers are the envy of the other candidates.
Mack pulls in 39 percent of the Republican primary vote, compared to 6 percent for former Sen. George LeMieux and businessman Mike McCalister. Former Florida House Republican leader Adam Hasner is stuck at 2 percent and businessman Craig Miller pulls in just 1 percent of the vote.
The primary for that race is Aug. 14; the presidential primary is Jan. 31.Comment -
Barely an increase overall. Very low relative to the rumblings from the GOP of "taking our government back". A 3% increase is really taking the government back? That is what all the hoopla has been about? How much more money was spent in 2012 on the NH primary? Does the turnout equal that spending increase?
What type of increase do you believe the GOP needs in 2012 to win the election???[B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.
[/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]Comment -
This is the latest from PPP
PPP is the pollsters of choice by the democrats.
Check out the entire link
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If Obama wants to get elected he'll have to start a war.Comment -
Find it hard to believe Republicans dislike Romney more than they dislike Obama. They will turn out, and vote against their own self interests yet againComment
