Missouri only -6?? RUBBERBAND PLAY!!!

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  • homerbush
    SBR MVP
    • 11-17-08
    • 2317

    #36
    Liked it till it was a rubber dick play.
    Comment
    • revnecro1273
      SBR MVP
      • 10-25-09
      • 1698

      #37
      it is on a neutral court...line seems about right...
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #38
        kenpom has Mizzou -8, wouldn't be surprised if it closes at that
        Comment
        • szyy604
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-07-11
          • 107

          #39
          Originally posted by LT Profits

          But when they have played the better teams on their schedule, they have stepped up, especially beating Cal by 40. And Cal is a lot better than Illinois.
          cal is NOT better than ill. Illinois is shit, but no way cal is better. 1. they can't travel. 2. they can't play d.
          Comment
          • Jonah
            SBR MVP
            • 10-21-09
            • 4042

            #40
            Brock does not have the best record when dealing with local teams he is familiar with.
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #41
              Originally posted by szyy604
              cal is NOT better than ill. Illinois is shit, but no way cal is better. 1. they can't travel. 2. they can't play d.
              Kenpom has Cal 15th in the country, Illinois is 53rd. And that idiot LT Profits picked Cal to win the Pac-12 at 8/1 odds in his preseason preview.
              Comment
              • BigDan
                Restricted User
                • 04-28-11
                • 5104

                #42
                Originally posted by szyy604
                cal is NOT better than ill. Illinois is shit, but no way cal is better. 1. they can't travel. 2. they can't play d.

                that is crazy talk
                Comment
                • jerry
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 05-14-08
                  • 111

                  #43
                  -6 available at Caribsports
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #44
                    Originally posted by jerry
                    -6 available at Caribsports
                    Wow, that's a blast from the past. I haven't played at Carib in like 10-12 years.
                    Comment
                    • Night-Tripper
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-14-09
                      • 3205

                      #45
                      This is the first time Missouri has ventured outside their crib...

                      I have them figured to win by 21, but I'm going to leave this one alone.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                        This is the first time Missouri has ventured outside their crib...

                        I have them figured to win by 21, but I'm going to leave this one alone.
                        Not true, they beat Villanova in New York at MSG and the wins over Cal and Notre Dame were in Kansas City. Besides, they are closer to home here in St. Louis than Illinois is.
                        Comment
                        • Avenger
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-15-11
                          • 2119

                          #47
                          From ESPN:
                          Last year's game had a wild finish, with Missouri scoring eight points in a 9-second span of the final minute to break open a tie game in a 75-64 victory.

                          8 pts in 9 secs in a lucky fluke. sounds like these teams were grinding it out and Missouri got the lucky win.

                          Missouri averages 87.9 pts, Illy = 69. Miss allows 60.2, Illy allows 57.4.

                          Sounds like Missouri is an offense team and Illy is a defense team.

                          I think I'll pass on this one. BOL luck Brock! Hope you get this one!
                          <table style="width: 14px; height: 27px;" class="mod-data mod-pbp"><tbody><tr class="even"><td style="text-align:left;" nowrap="nowrap">
                          </td><td style="text-align:right;">
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                          </td></tr></tbody></table>
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #48
                            Brock I told not tail all your plays but I am pounding the fuk out of this game
                            Comment
                            • BIGDAY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 02-17-10
                              • 48245

                              #49
                              Pound Pound Pound!

                              Let's cash this fukkkkkker!!!!!!!!!
                              Comment
                              • LVHerbie
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-15-05
                                • 6344

                                #50
                                Got -6.5 at W SEX... What better way to use my minuscule balance of semi-monopoly money then a Rubberband play?
                                Comment
                                • delfam
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-24-11
                                  • 37

                                  #51
                                  I live the Over 139 better
                                  Comment
                                  • chisox35
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 07-16-11
                                    • 88

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                    Not true, they beat Villanova in New York at MSG and the wins over Cal and Notre Dame were in Kansas City. Besides, they are closer to home here in St. Louis than Illinois is.
                                    This crowd is 50/50 every year!
                                    Comment
                                    • tokio
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-30-10
                                      • 2150

                                      #53
                                      damn missed the -6 train, its at -8 for me.
                                      Comment
                                      • jagmaster
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-30-07
                                        • 146

                                        #54
                                        Will be at the game tonight I'm a Huge Illini fan and figured line would be around 8, told myself was gonna bet big on mizzou. I've been really hot. This year and this will be my biggest bet yet.
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by chisox35
                                          This crowd is 50/50 every year!
                                          That's fine though because I'd still take the much better team on a neutral court at a fair number.
                                          Comment
                                          • HoulihansTX
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-12-09
                                            • 30566

                                            #56
                                            Handicap the handicapper
                                            Comment
                                            • rcjiii
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-02-11
                                              • 244

                                              #57
                                              My book is currently showing -7

                                              What is the most points you would give in this one?
                                              Comment
                                              • Brock Landers
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 06-30-08
                                                • 45359

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by rcjiii
                                                What is the most points you would give in this one?
                                                i would easily go up to -9
                                                Comment
                                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                  • 81450

                                                  #59
                                                  How much are you beting on this game Brock?

                                                  Good luck.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ralphie1412
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-29-08
                                                    • 13963

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                                    i would easily go up to -9
                                                    Cool....nice capping. Brock can't name one player on mizzou. Brock you don't have one dollar on this.

                                                    Keep posting guns n roses videos trying to be cool you 45 year old loser.

                                                    Shouldn't you be asking guys to post videos you stupid Sandusky.
                                                    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                                    Goat Milk
                                                    Comment
                                                    • xyzky
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-23-07
                                                      • 1577

                                                      #61
                                                      This is laughable...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Trident
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-07-09
                                                        • 2362

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Brock Landers

                                                        We all witnessed Illinois shit on themselves vs UNLV, now Missouri is only -6!?

                                                        Boys, this is a RUBBERBAND FUKKIN PLAY on Missouri!

                                                        LOCK N LOAD!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Brock Landers
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 06-30-08
                                                          • 45359

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                                          Cool....nice capping. Brock can't name one player on mizzou. Brock you don't have one dollar on this. Keep posting guns n roses videos trying to be cool you 45 year old loser. Shouldn't you be asking guys to post videos you stupid Sandusky.
                                                          pressey, english, denmon to name a few fukko
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ralphie1412
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-08
                                                            • 13963

                                                            #64
                                                            Nice google job Sandusky
                                                            "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                                            Goat Milk
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LT
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 10-26-11
                                                              • 7

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by d2bets
                                                              Mizzou -7 is fair. -6 was a good bet. If it goes to 8+ Illinois a good bet.
                                                              A 2 pt change doesn't make it a good bet for both sides
                                                              Comment
                                                              • d2bets
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 08-10-05
                                                                • 39995

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by LT
                                                                A 2 pt change doesn't make it a good bet for both sides
                                                                Yes it does my friend (or at least it can). As I said let's assume that -7 is the perfect fair 50/50 line. Alright. And then let's also say there's a 4% chance each that they win by 6, 7,and 8 (SBR calculator says they're all around 4%). With those assumptions, at both -6 and +8 you have a 52% chance to win (48% plus 4% chance of winning by 7), a 44% chance to lose and a 4% chance to push. 52/96 is 54.1666%. That is very profitable at -110 (need to beat 52.381%).

                                                                Again, if we assume -7 is a PERFECT breakeven line, then either (or both) -6 and +8 are profitable plays.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #67
                                                                  I actually think -7.5/-8 is fair line, so if you didn't bet Missouri last night, game is no longer bettable IMO
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #68
                                                                    You sure did abandon ship on Illinois in a hurry -- weren't you just telling everyone to pound them a few days ago vs. UNLV?

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jabber811
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-26-11
                                                                      • 131

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Ha. I thought the -2 in my morning paper was a typo. Hope it's closer than all you guys think it will be.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • tblues2005
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 07-30-06
                                                                        • 9235

                                                                        #70
                                                                        I can see Missouri being a good play tonight. Brock I agree with you on this one.
                                                                        Comment
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