Bama +1 vs. LSU (Early Nat Champ Line)

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  • thebestthereis
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-01-09
    • 11459

    #36
    Saban losing twice in the same season to Les Nessman is what you need to be looking at

    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #37
      Originally posted by CBASS
      Agreed. I will say this, Lee is going to have to play a considerable amount of time for LSU to win. He doesn't have to play mistake free necessarily, but he cannot turn the ball over in the red zone. LSU will need his passing game to be effective for them to win. Tigers cannot afford to put the game squarely on Jefferson's shoulders by running the option with a play action pass mixed in. Bama will be more than ready for the option game this time around.
      You overlooked the fact that Alabama still won't score.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #38
        Originally posted by thebestthereis
        Saban losing twice in the same season to Les Nessman is what you need to be looking at

        The players have covered up Les's deficiencies many times.
        Comment
        • thebestthereis
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-01-09
          • 11459

          #39
          i look beyond the players and all the numbers in situations like this. i trust saban more than i do less nessman. i just feel he will be more prepared, team more focused, and will be seeking revenge in this spot. i am also assuming lsu wins vs georgia, bama gets a second chance even though maybe they shouldn't if okie state wins big. trust me, i don't like the bama qb vs lsu defense but i just feel bama wins. it is my gut feeling and i don't love the game, it is tough for sure.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #40
            Originally posted by thebestthereis
            i look beyond the players and all the numbers in situations like this. i trust saban more than i do less nessman. i just feel he will be more prepared, team more focused, and will be seeking revenge in this spot. i am also assuming lsu wins vs georgia, bama gets a second chance even though maybe they shouldn't if okie state wins big. trust me, i don't like the bama qb vs lsu defense but i just feel bama wins. it is my gut feeling and i don't love the game, it is tough for sure.
            Problem is, Saban's about the tightest guy in the world and his players are tight accordingly. He's at his best, and so is his team, when he has talented kids around him who overcome his white-knuckle coaching with sheer talent and experience.

            I'm not sure if they have enough of either this year.
            Comment
            • lyon804
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-02-09
              • 6526

              #41
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              Problem is, Saban's about the tightest guy in the world and his players are tight accordingly. He's at his best, and so is his team, when he has talented kids around him who overcome his white-knuckle coaching with sheer talent and experience.

              I'm not sure if they have enough of either this year.


              Boy, you said a mouthful. So right.


              Saban is not close to the best coach in college. He does an exellent job of recruting (maybe the best) He also does a great job of practicing and preparing his teams to play. They are very well coached and rarely blow an assignment. But, when it comes to playing against a team with equal talent he usually doesn't fare well because he is way to conservative. Saban gets ahead and tries to "manage" the game or "manage" a win by running the ball up the middle and punting.


              Did you watch the ALA vs AUB game... Bama is so much better but Saban's conservative style kept Auburn around until Alabama wore them down. Auburn had no answers for the passing game an AJ Mccarren had a big 1H and did really nothing in the 2H because he elected to run,run,run the football.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #42
                Originally posted by lyon804
                Boy, you said a mouthful. So right.


                Saban is not close to the best coach in college. He does an exellent job of recruting (maybe the best) He also does a great job of practicing and preparing his teams to play. They are very well coached and rarely blow an assignment. But, when it comes to playing against a team with equal talent he usually doesn't fare well because he is way to conservative. Saban gets ahead and tries to "manage" the game or "manage" a win by running the ball up the middle and punting.


                Did you watch the ALA vs AUB game... Bama is so much better but Saban's conservative style kept Auburn around until Alabama wore them down. Auburn had no answers for the passing game an AJ Mccarren had a big 1H and did really nothing in the 2H because he elected to run,run,run the football.
                Exactly.

                Look at Saban's track record at Michigan State. He NEVER coached them up or had them as consistent as they could have been. They were constantly blowing late leads and not finishing up games they supposedly had in the bag.

                For instance, I look at Saban and Gene Chizik in one light and Mark Dantonio and Paul Rhoads in another. The former are considered "great" coaches as long as they have great players around them. The latter does a much better job of coaching up the kids they have and overachieving.

                Why is the better coach? I guess that depends on your perspective. I think it's Dantonio and Rhoads, even if Saban and Chizik are the ones getting the headlines. But to each his own.
                Comment
                • CBASS
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-22-10
                  • 2613

                  #43
                  Originally posted by dontazeme1
                  lol thatd be funny as hell if u lost, thinkin all year u had it in the bank

                  It'd be funny as hell if Sandusky let you spend the night in his basement again.
                  Comment
                  • CBASS
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-10
                    • 2613

                    #44
                    Originally posted by thebestthereis
                    i look beyond the players and all the numbers in situations like this. i trust saban more than i do less nessman. i just feel he will be more prepared, team more focused, and will be seeking revenge in this spot. i am also assuming lsu wins vs georgia, bama gets a second chance even though maybe they shouldn't if okie state wins big. trust me, i don't like the bama qb vs lsu defense but i just feel bama wins. it is my gut feeling and i don't love the game, it is tough for sure.

                    The funny thing about your reasoning is that all those points you made actually describe Miles moreso than Saban. And as far as the 'revenge' thing, we all know how that turned out. That will be the logic of the betting masses and it will lead them straight to the slaughter.

                    Miles' teams in big games are always more focused and play at a much higher level when people doubt them (ie..LSU can't beat Bama twice..). Trusting Saban here is fine, because it is your opinion. The problem is, the media plays Saban up like he is a coaching God, but he has several flaws as well that go unmentioned. There is no way one can feel comfortable 'fading' LSU in the Superdome. Beyond risky IMO. You also seem to realize that it will be a tall order for McCarron to play well under the given circumstances this time around. I think you know what your gut is really telling you. Don't fall for the okie doke. GL to you.
                    Comment
                    • lyon804
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-02-09
                      • 6526

                      #45
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      Exactly.

                      Look at Saban's track record at Michigan State. He NEVER coached them up or had them as consistent as they could have been. They were constantly blowing late leads and not finishing up games they supposedly had in the bag.

                      For instance, I look at Saban and Gene Chizik in one light and Mark Dantonio and Paul Rhoads in another. The former are considered "great" coaches as long as they have great players around them. The latter does a much better job of coaching up the kids they have and overachieving.

                      Why is the better coach? I guess that depends on your perspective. I think it's Dantonio and Rhoads, even if Saban and Chizik are the ones getting the headlines. But to each his own.


                      Don't get me wrong I would take Saban any day of the week over most because he does run an awesome program and he gets results but it has been proven that other coaches that can recruit at his level and resemble the same amount of talent Alabama puts out they beat him. He restricts his athletes best performances by holding them back. He also tries to take there "blackness" away and does not allow them to be themselves. He takes the fun out of the game and teaches those players to act like robots and that is the difference between LSU (Miles) Alabama (Saban) Miles lets his players WIN the game and let's them be who they are. Alabama has a team full of "football" players and LSU has "playmakers" with just as much if not more talent and depth.
                      Comment
                      • dfberger23
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 5069

                        #46
                        LSU all in, they are way too good.
                        Comment
                        • Sunde91
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-26-09
                          • 8325

                          #47
                          major disrespect for Saban here

                          last big game no one gave Saban a chance was in 09 SEC title game vs. Florida (Bama +4.5)

                          Untouchable Florida got cleaned out 32-13. Tebow cried like a baby in his last SEC game, Meyer ran his fingers through his hair as he stood in disbelief





                          Saban got his revenge that game for the year prior when Florida ruined #1 Bama's 12-0 season

                          Couldn't draw up a more pefect parallel
                          Comment
                          • CBASS
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-10
                            • 2613

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Sunde91
                            major disrespect for Saban here

                            last big game no one gave Saban a chance was in 09 SEC title game vs. Florida (Bama +4.5)

                            Untouchable Florida got cleaned out 32-13. Tebow cried like a baby in his last SEC game, Meyer ran his fingers through his hair as he stood in disbelief





                            Saban got his revenge that game for the year prior when Florida ruined #1 Bama's 12-0 season

                            Couldn't draw up a more pefect parallel

                            The parallel you make is actually more fitting for Miles. They are giving Saban the trophy already. It is Miles that they are doubting.
                            Comment
                            • mngambler
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-01-11
                              • 2890

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Sunde91
                              LSU would be the play against anyone other than Saban
                              x2....gun to my head I'm on LSU though, small action play for me depending on final line mov't, should be a hell of a game though
                              Comment
                              • edawg
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-09-11
                                • 2820

                                #50
                                BAMA ML ROll TIDE!!!!!!!!
                                Comment
                                • lyon804
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-02-09
                                  • 6526

                                  #51
                                  Sunde,


                                  You are a sharp fella. I happend to be at the Georgia Dome Dec 5 2009 and did not even bother to take the points. I knew who the better team was that year. Actually Alabama was better the previous year but Tebow "tebowed" Alabama in the 4Q by doing what he does. In all honesty the 2011 LSU Tigers is a good bit better than Florida was in 2009. The only way Bama beats LSU is if Saban gets outside himself and allows the offense to be very agressive and take some chances. LSU is to good to play straight up and rely on defense because LSU will ultimately win the field posistion battle and execute on special teams... FFS Alabama's PK not only can't make a field goal but he can't even kick the ball in the endzone on kickoffs, which will allow LSU to start at minumum 30 yrd line every time. Not to mention Alabama kick coverage is weak at best. LSU's punter happens to be a good bit better than Alabama's as well. LSU also gets more turnover's than Alabama. The one advantage Alabama has is if they are allowed to be agressive than can score on LSU, but they will have to take some chances and throw the ball.
                                  Comment
                                  • Sunde91
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 8325

                                    #52
                                    +3 5D now. down at pinn

                                    Easy to be enamoured with LSU's trickery and playmaking, but the only team it didn't work against was Bama

                                    LSU might have the best special teams of all time, will need to be huge. Bama has the better chance to move the ball on O than LSU
                                    Comment
                                    • iifold
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-25-10
                                      • 11111

                                      #53
                                      There really is no edge in this game...

                                      Two great teams, gonna come down to a big play, turnover, penalty, or missed kick...

                                      When you learn how to predict this, let me know...
                                      Comment
                                      • testertips
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-06-09
                                        • 1468

                                        #54
                                        like the last time they played i will most likely take the points as these 2 teams are equal in my eyes... hopefully bama will get 3.5 by game time
                                        Comment
                                        • FourLengthsClear
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-29-10
                                          • 3808

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by testertips
                                          like the last time they played i will most likely take the points as these 2 teams are equal in my eyes... hopefully bama will get 3.5 by game time

                                          +1
                                          Comment
                                          • aggieshawn
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-24-07
                                            • 4377

                                            #56
                                            Just watch and enjoy this game. Don't let a wager ruin it for you.
                                            Comment
                                            • CBASS
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-10
                                              • 2613

                                              #57
                                              It might sound square, but I would still bet the Under. Both teams will still have great trouble moving the ball and we already know Alabama can't kick fg's.
                                              Comment
                                              • CBASS
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-22-10
                                                • 2613

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                +3 5D now. down at pinn

                                                Easy to be enamoured with LSU's trickery and playmaking, but the only team it didn't work against was Bama

                                                LSU might have the best special teams of all time, will need to be huge. Bama has the better chance to move the ball on O than LSU

                                                LSU didn't use any trickery against Bama. However, the Tide used some against LSU and you're correct..it didn't work. As for the playmaking, LSU made several big plays in that game. A blocked fg comes to mind and a badass goal line int.

                                                I agree with LSU having great special teams. Their kickers are phenomenal. Not to mention, their return game with Claiborne, Beckham, and Mathieu (Honey Badger).
                                                I would also agree about Bama having the better chance to move the ball on O, except for one thing:
                                                McCarron is still inexperienced and will be starting in essentially an SEC road game. The Superdome will be very loud and LSU's D will cause him to make the same mistakes as the last game, if not more.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by aggieshawn
                                                  Just watch and enjoy this game. Don't let a wager ruin it for you.
                                                  That is oxymoronic for me. (translation: I rarely watch games UNLESS I have a reason to). If I have no action on this game but there is some CBB game going on at the same time that i do have action on, I'll be watching my money.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #60
                                                    That said, I do like LSU so I will be watching.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sunde91
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                      • 8325

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                      major disrespect for Saban here last big game no one gave Saban a chance was in 09 SEC title game vs. Florida (Bama +4.5) Untouchable Florida got cleaned out 32-13. Tebow cried like a baby in his last SEC game, Meyer ran his fingers through his hair as he stood in disbelief Saban got his revenge that game for the year prior when Florida ruined #1 Bama's 12-0 season Couldn't draw up a more pefect parallel
                                                      13-0 2nd half that game. 12-0 here. really wish I checked the 2h score of that game before doubting Saban's revenge over a clown like Miles

                                                      Saban is a top 3 coach of all time and all doubters are hereby buried forever
                                                      Comment
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