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Time to dumpster dive in the stock market

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  • lemart5
    SBR MVP
    • 01-12-11
    • 2818

    #71
    Added about 3400 shares of COP to my personal portfolio today .I like the buyback news and all the new capacity coming online with the shale and oilsands coming online.
    Comment
    • SBR_John
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-12-05
      • 16471

      #72
      JPM now $34 on the way to book value of $50.
      Comment
      • sideloaded
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-21-10
        • 7561

        #73
        I advise an aggressive short-term strategy
        Comment
        • MonkeyF0cker
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-12-07
          • 12144

          #74
          Originally posted by SBR_John
          JPM now $34 on the way to book value of $50.
          Oops.
          Comment
          • MonkeyF0cker
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 06-12-07
            • 12144

            #75
            No idea why you're obsessed with JPM, John. Just a matter of time before their books start reflecting more horrific investments in Euro debt (hopefully not at the cost of the taxpayer this time).
            Comment
            • sideloaded
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-21-10
              • 7561

              #76
              Comment
              • guitarjosh
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-25-07
                • 5458

                #77
                Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
                No idea why you're obsessed with JPM, John. Just a matter of time before their books start reflecting more horrific investments in Euro debt (hopefully not at the cost of the taxpayer this time).
                I completely agree. JPM has been a mess for years, but the government will bail them out as long as they handle Medicare.
                Comment
                • sideloaded
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-21-10
                  • 7561

                  #78
                  My citigroup trades bit me in the ass today
                  Comment
                  • sideloaded
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-21-10
                    • 7561

                    #79
                    Is the price target still 50 on JPM?
                    Comment
                    • jarvol
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-13-10
                      • 6074

                      #80
                      Originally posted by lemart5
                      Added about 3400 shares of COP to my personal portfolio today .I like the buyback news and all the new capacity coming online with the shale and oilsands coming online.
                      Nothing like you recommending another air investment at its short term top.
                      Closed at 72.82 at the 5th and 68.29 today.

                      All you boys gotta do is respect the technicals. Once the S&P failed to break above its 200 day MA last week it has been an easy 45 point short. Or you could try to catch falling knives on these shitty banks like John and keep averaging down until you are broke.
                      Comment
                      • sideloaded
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-21-10
                        • 7561

                        #81
                        lemart missed that trade but he has hit a few also.
                        Comment
                        • Deep_Rest
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-29-10
                          • 841

                          #82
                          It's a day-traders market right now and I wouldn't recommend inexperienced investors jump in at this point. The market is too volatile for short-term investors (few months to a couple years). Until Europe and the U.S. make some concrete solutions to their debt issues (for better or worse), stay away short-term investors!

                          Technicals aside, I think the only cheap companies right now are the ones that have virtual monopolies (or mkt cap of over 100B) over their given sector and have been pushed down because of the broader market. Put your money in a nice dividend-growth stock with a huge market share for 20 years and you'll be happy. Guys like Petro Brasileiro (Petrobras, PBR) which has a virtual monopoly in Brazil, Waste Management (WM), a dividend growth stock which has a duopoly with Republic Services in waste disposal and energy, and even McDonald's (MCD), which is trading near all-time highs, all look pretty cheap.

                          That is real Buffett-esque investing.

                          Now if you want to day-trade, (scalping or swing trading are the most common methods without high-tech equipment) which is very attractive during a volatile market such as now, it gets a little more tricky, but a good place to start is looking at the beta, or market correlation. Of course, there are tons of factors that influence a stock price, but as a rule of thumb, never day-trade a stock that has a beta of 1 or below! A low beta indicates a companies stock price moves independently from the broader market which is what we don't want. Therefore, a high beta more or less correlates with the market and the direction of its stock price is easier to predict.

                          Next you need to identify what drives the market–which is pretty easy these days: Europe. So, a good place to start would be a high-beta company in Europe.

                          Then you need to draw up the technicals. The most popular metric for day-traders are the moving averages. I would try and draw up as many as you can between 100 day and 1 minute. Now I don't want to give too much away, but let's just say that if the current price is "too far below" the MA's you buy (or cover if you're shorting) and if the price is "too far above", you sell (or short).

                          Hope this helps!
                          Comment
                          • Balco10
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-11-10
                            • 5478

                            #83
                            Wait for CAT to drop to 85 then unload!
                            Comment
                            • SBR_John
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-12-05
                              • 16471

                              #84
                              Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
                              No idea why you're obsessed with JPM, John. Just a matter of time before their books start reflecting more horrific investments in Euro debt (hopefully not at the cost of the taxpayer this time).
                              Closing in on $38 + the $1 dividend.
                              Comment
                              • SBR_John
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-12-05
                                • 16471

                                #85
                                JP Morgan Chase & Co. Common St (JPM)
                                -NYSE

                                44.70

                                Just sold half my position in JPM. Was a great run.
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388208

                                  #86
                                  Walker your a sharp fuk
                                  Comment
                                  • LostBankroll
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-10-10
                                    • 4538

                                    #87
                                    sell gold now!!!!!
                                    Comment
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