Can betting just moneylines be profitable?

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  • ebbearsfb1
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-07-08
    • 18815

    #1
    Can betting just moneylines be profitable?
    does any one do it?
  • MartinBlank
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-20-08
    • 8382

    #2
    Ebb....that is a great question, and I have attempted it but with no success. I would hit maybe, 4-6 in a row---and then I would get one/two that just would beat me back down.

    I have also attempted playing ML parlays, but again----long term, the success was minimal.

    Next year, I am going to try and track college football moneylines more closely and attempt something with them. I need to figure out what numbers I want, and just how much risk I want to assume.

    What sports were you looking at specifically? And what numbers did you have in mind?
    Comment
    • ebbearsfb1
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-07-08
      • 18815

      #3
      Originally posted by MartinBlank
      Ebb....that is a great question, and I have attempted it but with no success. I would hit maybe, 4-6 in a row---and then I would get one/two that just would beat me back down. I have also attempted playing ML parlays, but again----long term, the success was minimal. Next year, I am going to try and track college football moneylines more closely and attempt something with them. I need to figure out what numbers I want, and just how much risk I want to assume. What sports were you looking at specifically? And what numbers did you have in mind?

      was thinking college sports in general.


      wa thinking about trying it for either first half or first 10 minutes first quarter etc..

      taking a big spread and getting it down or maybe some dogs that come out ready to go


      martin maybe will start a thread in the hoops thread?
      Comment
      • k13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-16-10
        • 18104

        #4
        Yes if you have a decent BR and BRM skills.

        Just have to pick your spots.

        What is the avg. ML fave this year in the nfl?
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #5
          Yes ofcourse it can be profitable.


          My advice is never ever take a ML more than -500 even if it's in a parlay.

          If you are sure about about a game yeah lay -300 for $1000 why not right? the juice only matters when you lose.

          Now if you can hit some + money underdog ML it will pay great. I recommend this especially in baseball and with home dogs in football of 7 or less
          Comment
          • ebbearsfb1
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-07-08
            • 18815

            #6
            will do 1st quarter, 1st half, game, 1st 10 minutes, whatever just money lines



            BAll state 1st quarter + 220 vs. toledo 10 wins 22

            its senior day ... 6-5 record... could come out fired up

            home dogs probably can be profitable in picking spots..


            tulsa would of been good earlier also
            Comment
            • PAULYPOKER
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-06-08
              • 36581

              #7
              2 to 6.5 point dogs using ML are the most profitable with the least risk in the right spots.......
              Comment
              • ebbearsfb1
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-07-08
                • 18815

                #8
                good point pauly


                i was thinking home dogs for the first quarter also because usually over the course of 40, 60 minutes whatever the better team will win,, but if a team gets down 7-0 early there not gonna shyt themselves right away
                Comment
                • k13
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-16-10
                  • 18104

                  #9
                  Tried doing that in that Best Bet 2010 thing. Started doing the usual spread/even lines for a few games then I said **** it, I'll just go with the "best" on the board regardless of the ML. 39-7 after that.... +20 units if not more
                  Comment
                  • k13
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-16-10
                    • 18104

                    #10
                    If you played the Packers ML in every game, would you be profitable?
                    Comment
                    • ebbearsfb1
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-07-08
                      • 18815

                      #11
                      a few games though you would be laying over 10-1 i believe...
                      Comment
                      • k13
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-16-10
                        • 18104

                        #12
                        Faves win 67% in the nfl su, anyone know what the average fave ml is?
                        Comment
                        • P.F.Kasooff
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-10
                          • 1903

                          #13
                          See PAULYPOKER's post and...

                          3team ML DOG parlays <---- takes guts and patience
                          Comment
                          • ebbearsfb1
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-07-08
                            • 18815

                            #14
                            Rider ML +135 1st half vs. James Madison Risk 10 to Win 13.5

                            hoops
                            Comment
                            • MartinBlank
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-20-08
                              • 8382

                              #15
                              This is a good thread, and for shits'n'giggles....

                              3 money lines I like...

                              ND +235
                              Virginia +165
                              Arkansas +425
                              Comment
                              • k13
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-16-10
                                • 18104

                                #16
                                Originally posted by P.F.Kasooff
                                See PAULYPOKER's post and...

                                3team ML DOG parlays <---- takes guts and patience
                                I do these all the time. Love doing the 1pm 4pm then snf/mnf.

                                Then I dissect it for profit.
                                Comment
                                • Optional
                                  Administrator
                                  • 06-10-10
                                  • 61679

                                  #17
                                  50 out of 120 people in + units in Nov ML comp

                                  .
                                  Comment
                                  • MUHerd37
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-23-09
                                    • 12816

                                    #18
                                    I mostly do ML parlays and it's good for me. I do bet spreads when I see some good ones.
                                    Comment
                                    • k13
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-16-10
                                      • 18104

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Optional
                                      50 out of 120 people in + units in Nov ML comp

                                      http://contests.sbrforum.com/sbr-mon...975/standings/


                                      All the people who started taking big ml's. Killed it, obviously DQ'ed.

                                      I think I went on a 39-7 run after just taking ml's and not spread/pick'em games.
                                      Comment
                                      • ebbearsfb1
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-07-08
                                        • 18815

                                        #20
                                        Ball state blows... fail can't stop a nose bleed
                                        Comment
                                        • ebbearsfb1
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-07-08
                                          • 18815

                                          #21
                                          Looks like 0 and 2... lol no surprise
                                          Comment
                                          • ebbearsfb1
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-07-08
                                            • 18815

                                            #22
                                            lost by last 7 in a row... probably be a good fade idea
                                            Comment
                                            • ebbearsfb1
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-07-08
                                              • 18815

                                              #23
                                              Took lsu ml first half 30 wins 9.38... I'm sure arkansas will up at the half
                                              Comment
                                              • Dutch
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-21-10
                                                • 4339

                                                #24
                                                I hit a big parlay when I first started betting, it ruined me for awhile cuz I thought I was hot shit, then I lost all the money back plus a bunch.

                                                You really have to choose your spots. I like early season college football ML faves. Conf. play will mess you up.

                                                College basketball burns me everytime.
                                                Comment
                                                • ebbearsfb1
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-07-08
                                                  • 18815

                                                  #25
                                                  Rider wasn't halftime.. silly espn. Push 0 1 1 down 10
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SoCalFisher
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-22-09
                                                    • 769

                                                    #26
                                                    Poster Curious, does this. I dont know if hes legit, nuttier than hell though.

                                                    Dutch seems to have it right. Choosing your spots and screw college bball.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dutch
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-21-10
                                                      • 4339

                                                      #27
                                                      Is Curious back around here? That crazy crackhead was a solid poster.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ebbearsfb1
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-07-08
                                                        • 18815

                                                        #28
                                                        yeah seems like as long as you keep the mls low it can be okay to do...


                                                        curious what a guy he was ... i do remember when he had zaga vs portland a few years back think he was gonna go off the deep end
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ebbearsfb1
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-07-08
                                                          • 18815

                                                          #29
                                                          come on lsu... your offense is poop
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TheCentaur
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-28-11
                                                            • 8108

                                                            #30
                                                            I think moneyline home dogs used to be profitable but it has dried up in the last several years with everyone getting on it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ebbearsfb1
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-07-08
                                                              • 18815

                                                              #31
                                                              <TABLE class=Grid cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR class="NonAlt "><TD class="MiddleRight Currency">$10.00</TD><TD class="MiddleRight Currency">$18.11</TD><TD class="MiddleRight Currency GradedOnly AmountPaidColumn Hidden" $included="null"></TD><TD>Pending</TD><TD>5 Team Parlay</TD></TR><TR class="NonAlt "><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD class="GradedOnly AmountPaidColumn Hidden" $included="null"></TD><TD>Pending</TD><TD>11/25/11 3:30pm College Football 134 Miami Florida 1st Half -340* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Boston College </TD></TR><TR class="NonAlt "><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD class="GradedOnly AmountPaidColumn Hidden" $included="null"></TD><TD>Pending</TD><TD>11/25/11 3:30pm College Football 132 Utah 1st Quarter -400* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Colorado </TD></TR><TR class="NonAlt "><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD class="GradedOnly AmountPaidColumn Hidden" $included="null"></TD><TD>Pending</TD><TD>11/25/11 7:00pm College Basketball 548 Louisville 1st Half -675* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Ohio </TD></TR><TR class="NonAlt "><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD class="GradedOnly AmountPaidColumn Hidden" $included="null"></TD><TD>Pending</TD><TD>11/25/11 9:30pm College Basketball 585 Massachusetts 1st Half -420* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Utah U </TD></TR><TR class="NonAlt "><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD class="GradedOnly AmountPaidColumn Hidden" $included="null"></TD><TD>Pending</TD><TD>11/25/11 7:30pm College Basketball 604 UNLV 1st Half -450* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> USC </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ebbearsfb1
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-07-08
                                                                • 18815

                                                                #32
                                                                Well done lsu let em walk down the ******* field... might wanna play some fking defense
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ebbearsfb1
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-07-08
                                                                  • 18815

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                                                  Took lsu ml first half 30 wins 9.38... I'm sure arkansas will up at the half
                                                                  Like clock work.... not even surrpsied I'm the best fade here
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ebbearsfb1
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-07-08
                                                                    • 18815

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Can they get a dang stop before the half
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • UntilTheNDofTimE
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-29-08
                                                                      • 9285

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Not saying this will make money but ive been wanting to research how NBA underdawg ML's turn out that are 3 points or less.*

                                                                      Not many Games end in a decision less than 3 points unless the shot is a game winner. >5% id say. Given this fact in hoops taking anything less than +3.5 is pointless vs taking the ML. I want to see how these ML's have faired over the past 3 seasons.*
                                                                      Comment
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