Playing Both Sides In Baseball

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Mr KLC
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-19-07
    • 31100

    #1
    Playing Both Sides In Baseball
    Last week on July 26th, I posted in the THINK TANK section that I found a trend in playing both sides:

    Using this system for the last 15 days, with games that started with point lines of 9 and 9.5, I came up with the following stats:

    (59 games total)

    Underdog won 30 times
    Favorite -1 1/2 won 25 times
    Favorite won by 1 run 4 times

    That's 55 out of 59 contests that a profit was made.


    It was suggested that I provide the lines of each game to show the real profit, if any, using this system. Well I went ahead and started using the system on 7/25. I only bet games that would yield at least +110 on both sides just for the fact that I didn't want to risk 2 units to win something like .03 units. Here are the results (Winners are in italics with daily totals in bold type):

    July 25th:

    Brewers (1.5) +120
    Astros +150 +.50

    Total For 25th = +.50 units

    July 26th:

    Mets (-1.5) +150
    Cardinals +122 +.22

    Tigers (-1.5) +125
    White Sox +153 +.53

    Mariners +130
    Blue Jays (-1.5) +135 +.35

    Total For 26th = +1.10 units

    July 27th:

    Rays (-1.5) +115
    Royals +124 +.24

    Athletics (-1.5) +165
    Rangers +110 - 2 units

    Blue Jays (-1.5) +125
    Mariners +157 +.57

    Brewers (-1.5) +125
    Astros +148 +.48

    Angels (-1.5) +110
    Orioles +135 +.35

    Reds +118
    Rockies (-1.5) +120 +.20

    Braves +131
    Phillies (-1.5) +145 +.45


    Total For 27th = +.19 units

    July 28th:

    Yankees (-1.5) +125
    Orioles +148 +.48

    Red Sox (-1.5) +125
    Angels +153 +.53

    Total For 28th = +1.01 units

    July 29th:

    White Sox +113
    Twins (-1.5) +155 -2 units

    Marlins +124
    Mets (-1.5) +115 +.15

    Rockies (-1.5) +115
    Pirates +118 +.18

    Braves (-1.5) +160
    Cardinals +114 +.14

    Red Sox (-1.5) +165
    Angels +112 +.12

    Total For 29th = -1.41 units

    July 30th:

    Nationals +121
    Phillies (-1.5) +120 +.20

    Indians (-1.5) +130
    Tigers +144 +.44

    Total For 30th = +.64 units

    July 31st:

    Cardinals (-1.5) +120
    Braves +117 +.17

    Yankees (-1.5) +120
    Angels +157 +.57

    Rockies +115
    Marlins (-1.5) +165 +.65

    Total For 31st = +1.39 units

    August 1st:

    Royals +126
    White Sox (-1.5) +115 +.15

    Mariners (-1.5) +170
    Orioles +111 +.11

    Indians +144
    Twins (-1.5) +120 +.20

    Braves +110
    Brewers (-1.5) +125 +.25

    Total For 1st = +.71 units

    August 2nd at 7:00pm EST

    Angels +123
    Yankees (-1.5) +140 +.40

    White Sox (-1.5) +110
    Royals +134 +.34

    Total so far for the 2nd = .74 units

    In this time span I have a winner in 25 of the 27 games with an addition of +4.87 units to the bankroll this week. I'm going to run this as long as possible.
  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82667

    #2
    I did the same today but with a different strategy. I bet the Braves FF for +180 and Brewers RL for +100 for a cool +2.8 profit.
    Comment
    • Mr KLC
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-19-07
      • 31100

      #3
      Other plays for tonight:

      Rockies +154
      Marlins (-1.5) +115

      Reds +110
      Nationals (-1.5) +170

      Indians +158
      Twins (-1.5) +115
      Comment
      • TheGambler
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-16-06
        • 972

        #4
        I like the strategy but why only the games with point lines of 9 or 9.5. I'm assuming b/c the higher the point line, they are expecting more variance within the score. It would be nice to have Ganchrow weigh in on this with a statistical analysis.
        Comment
        • Mr KLC
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-19-07
          • 31100

          #5
          Originally posted by TheGambler
          I like the strategy but why only the games with point lines of 9 or 9.5. I'm assuming b/c the higher the point line, they are expecting more variance within the score. It would be nice to have Ganchrow weigh in on this with a statistical analysis.
          Honestly, I thought the same thing. The higher the run line, the more variance, but there was actually a higher percentage of 1 run wins by favorites with run lines of 10 or more.
          Comment
          • Mr KLC
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-19-07
            • 31100

            #6
            Rockies +154
            Marlins (-1.5) +115 +.15

            Reds +110
            Nationals (-1.5) +170 +.70

            Indians +158 +.58
            Twins (-1.5) +115

            Total For Tonight : +1.43

            Total Since 7/25 : +6.30 units

            Another great day!
            Comment
            • AgainstAllOdds
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-24-08
              • 6053

              #7
              But if you lose 1 of those games how many you are down quite a few units...
              Originally posted by SBR_John
              AAO = good dude. Buying you a drink in Vegas buddy.
              Comment
              • Mr KLC
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-19-07
                • 31100

                #8
                Originally posted by AgainstAllOdds
                But if you lose 1 of those games how many you are down quite a few units...
                I'm going to lose some games sometime down the line, but the favorite not winning a one run game in 9-9.5 run lines has been pretty consistent for the last month. I'm going to ride this horse until it falls over (if it does).
                Comment
                Search
                Collapse
                SBR Contests
                Collapse
                Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                Collapse
                Working...