Teasing across Zero and other myths

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  • Raven66
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-21-09
    • 824

    #1
    Teasing across Zero and other myths
    http://*********************.blogspo...ser-myths.html


    Now that was a good read.....here are some blurbs.............

    If negative, you're looking at a poor tease possibility. For instance, look at teasing from -11.5 or -12 down to -5.5 or -6. That teaser won only 47% of the time, which is 26% less than you need to actually earn money as a leg of a 6 point teaser.

    The best 6 point teaser is teasing RIGHT ACROSS ZERO with a -3.5 or -4 point favorite and making that team a +2 or +2.5 point dog. It's hit 10% more than taking a -2.5 or -3 point favorite and making them a +3 or +3.5 point dog. Typically, you would think "why would I want to tease to +2.5? Wouldn't I want to make sure it was at +3? And you would think so, but based on historical lines, you would be wrong.
  • Raven66
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-21-09
    • 824

    #2
    xxxxxxx.XXXXXXX.cxm/xxxxxxx/xxxxxxx/xxxxxxxs.xxxxxxxl
    Comment
    • RudyRuetigger
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 08-24-10
      • 65084

      #3


      horrible
      Comment
      • rfr3sh
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-07-09
        • 10229

        #4
        lmao youre so wrong , see wong teaser
        Comment
        • yisman
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-01-08
          • 75682

          #5
          teasing across zero is not "a myth"

          it's also a terrible idea every time, and the reasoning is obvious. You're wasting the points around zero.
          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
          [/quote]

          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
          Comment
          • d2bets
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-10-05
            • 39995

            #6
            Teasing -3.5 to +2.5 has to be one of the dumbest gambling ideas of all time. If you don't understand why, then you are hopeless.
            Comment
            • Raven66
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-21-09
              • 824

              #7
              I read that whole fricken article. I am going to read wong teasers.
              Comment
              • B1GER1C828
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-31-07
                • 10244

                #8
                unreal...
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82839

                  #9
                  Only time I tease across zero is if the home team is -1.5 and tease it to +4.5.
                  Comment
                  • d2bets
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 39995

                    #10
                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                    Only time I tease across zero is if the home team is -1.5 and tease it to +4.5.
                    You sure you want to admit to that abomination?
                    Comment
                    • HoulihansTX
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-12-09
                      • 30566

                      #11
                      Teasing across zero is a no no.
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 65639

                        #12
                        Originally posted by d2bets
                        Teasing -3.5 to +2.5 has to be one of the dumbest gambling ideas of all time. If you don't understand why, then you are hopeless.
                        Exactly.
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 65639

                          #13
                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                          Only time I tease across zero is if the home team is -1.5 and tease it to +4.5.
                          You are giving away points dude.
                          Game can't end on a tie in college, there's like 2 ties every 5 years in pros.
                          So you by teasing across zero from 1.5 to 4.5 your only numbers are a 1 point win, or a 1, 2, 3, or 4 point loss.
                          Comment
                          • pavyracer
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-12-07
                            • 82839

                            #14
                            Originally posted by d2bets
                            You sure you want to admit to that abomination?
                            Yes I do. Road teams rarely win by more than 4 points if they are a small dog.
                            Comment
                            • yisman
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-01-08
                              • 75682

                              #15
                              Originally posted by stevenash
                              You are giving away points dude.
                              Game can't end on a tie in college, there's like 2 ties every 5 years in pros.
                              A lot less than that. Since 1997, there have only been two ties. Two ties in 13 seasons (1998-2010).

                              I'd say 1 tie every 5 years would be a more reasonable estimate.

                              Teasers are simple. You need to get the maximum value you can for your points. If you tease across zero, or even down to zero, you're hurting yourself. +.5 and -.5 and 0 are worthless.
                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                              [/quote]

                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                              Comment
                              • Raven66
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-21-09
                                • 824

                                #16
                                Yesterday I never teased through zero....but I teased SD and Jets down.
                                Comment
                                • d2bets
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 39995

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                  Yes I do. Road teams rarely win by more than 4 points if they are a small dog.
                                  You mean like Tampa -1.5, losing the game by 7?

                                  Don't tease -1.5 across 0. Do consider teasing +1.5 to +2.5 up to +7.5 to +8.5. There is very little difference between 1 or 2 point favorites or dogs. But there is a very big difference getting your teased leg at +8.5 instead of +4.5.

                                  The numbers simply don't pan out teasing -1.5 to +4.5. Ever!
                                  Comment
                                  • d2bets
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 39995

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Raven66
                                    Yesterday I never teased through zero....but I teased SD and Jets down.
                                    I teased SD down too. That line was prime for a teaser.
                                    Comment
                                    • JayLA
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-11-12
                                      • 7806

                                      #19
                                      duly noted, makes complete sense but i'm a newb with potential
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388179

                                        #20
                                        Teasers all math

                                        Only high level math guys beat them
                                        Comment
                                        • yisman
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-01-08
                                          • 75682

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                                          Yes I do. Road teams rarely win by more than 4 points if they are a small dog.
                                          One of pavy's dumber posts, and that's saying something.
                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                          [/quote]

                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Only +EV teaser that crosses 0 is 5 Dimes 6-point ties WIN at -105 for +3 to -3.
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                              Only +EV teaser that crosses 0 is 5 Dimes 6-point ties WIN at -105 for +3 to -3.
                                              Should read from -3 to +3
                                              Comment
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