What to make of these games. Louisville at home vs FIU -3? Trap?
Not sure about ASU Mizz
neverstoppers23
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
6302
#2
Yeah, not to sure what to do about Louisville.
Maybe do a 7 point teaser with Asu and Lousiville.
+4.5 Lousivvle -3 Asu?
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scarp
SBR Wise Guy
01-12-10
697
#3
Mizzou's offense is bad this year. Liking ASU, but not sure on spread
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Cougar Bait
SBR Posting Legend
10-04-07
18282
#4
Originally posted by neverstoppers23
Yeah, not to sure what to do about Louisville.
Maybe do a 7 point teaser with Asu and Lousiville.
+4.5 Lousivvle -3 Asu?
Teasing through zero is -EV
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dfberger23
SBR Hall of Famer
11-08-10
5069
#5
Not touching Louisville game, on Mizzou +9.5 but it is now at +10, really like that play.
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Cougar Bait
SBR Posting Legend
10-04-07
18282
#6
If you tease anything tonight I suggest Florida International and the over
FIU will put up some points, and give them up
I think they could win outright, tough environment though
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lesterdymond
SBR MVP
07-25-11
2360
#7
Taking Mizzou with that jump to +10.
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DrStale
SBR Hall of Famer
12-07-08
9692
#8
Under in the ASU game for me. Small play on FIU as well.
Originally posted by Dark Horse
If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
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neverstoppers23
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
6302
#9
Originally posted by Cougar Bait
Teasing through zero is -EV
whys that?
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neverstoppers23
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
6302
#10
So called I did not have any action on Louisville tonight. Woot Woot.
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Cougar Bait
SBR Posting Legend
10-04-07
18282
#11
Originally posted by neverstoppers23
whys that?
It's just a common belief is all. I don't know what the numbers say as to if it is more or less profitable. However for me, that strategy has been -EV so I stopped doing it altogether. I have had a lot more success teasing +1.5 to +2.5 underdogs and -7.5 to -8.5 favorites. It's profitable when given the right teaser odds. In both of these teaser options when moving the spread six points, you’re capturing a win on what would have been a loss. And in the same case tonight you can see the real value on teasing the dog up to +10 as opposed to making Louisville the small dog.