Friday Night College Foots 9/9

neverstoppers23 · 09-09-11, 05:16 PM

Yeah, not to sure what to do about Louisville.
Maybe do a 7 point teaser with Asu and Lousiville.
+4.5 Lousivvle -3 Asu?

scarp · 09-09-11, 05:24 PM

Mizzou's offense is bad this year. Liking ASU, but not sure on spread

Cougar Bait · 09-09-11, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

Yeah, not to sure what to do about Louisville.
Maybe do a 7 point teaser with Asu and Lousiville.
+4.5 Lousivvle -3 Asu?

Teasing through zero is -EV

dfberger23 · 09-09-11, 05:47 PM

Not touching Louisville game, on Mizzou +9.5 but it is now at +10, really like that play.

Cougar Bait · 09-09-11, 05:52 PM

If you tease anything tonight I suggest Florida International and the over

FIU will put up some points, and give them up

I think they could win outright, tough environment though

lesterdymond · 09-09-11, 05:53 PM

Taking Mizzou with that jump to +10.

09-09-11, 05:54 PM

Under in the ASU game for me. Small play on FIU as well.

neverstoppers23 · 09-09-11, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Teasing through zero is -EV

whys that?

neverstoppers23 · 09-09-11, 06:59 PM

So called I did not have any action on Louisville tonight. Woot Woot.

Cougar Bait · 09-09-11, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

whys that?

It's just a common belief is all. I don't know what the numbers say as to if it is more or less profitable. However for me, that strategy has been -EV so I stopped doing it altogether. I have had a lot more success teasing +1.5 to +2.5 underdogs and -7.5 to -8.5 favorites. It's profitable when given the right teaser odds. In both of these teaser options when moving the spread six points, you’re capturing a win on what would have been a loss. And in the same case tonight you can see the real value on teasing the dog up to +10 as opposed to making Louisville the small dog.