Anybody who thinks the Heat will lose the series v the bulls should stop gambling.

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #211
    DJ Primer you want to put your points on it. I'll give you the Bulls +1.5 games for the series at Even money. Meaning they either lose in 7 or win the series and you win the bet.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
    Comment
    • diondublin
      SBR High Roller
      • 04-16-10
      • 160

      #212
      Originally posted by Love The Action
      Can you please provide some reasons other than "you ran some numbers?" I see no value in a play on the heat in this series where its a 50/50 proposition and the bulls have home court. I still have yet to hear a coherent explanation of how taking the heat at -190 is a good bet. Thanks.

      It's probability, bay-bee.

      When I said I ran my numbers (not 'some' numbers), I simply meant the only thing it is possible to mean by those words; i.e. I plugged my personal estimations of probability into a calculation which produced this estimation.

      I subjectively took into account my non-technical opinion that the Heat are more personally suitable for and attuned to the championship atmosphere than the Bulls and this, together with my notion of Heat technical superiority, makes them about 4 or 5 point favourites over the Bulls in a single game at this level.

      Thusly the probabilities. It is a subjective judgement, of course, but I am delighted to be on the Heat at -180.

      Comment
      • Albert Pujols
        SBR MVP
        • 06-01-10
        • 1670

        #213
        Is Lakerboy themanej? The one that hooped with Laurent Robinson? LMAO.
        Comment
        • Albert Pujols
          SBR MVP
          • 06-01-10
          • 1670

          #214
          Sorry, but the Bulls take this.
          Comment
          • BettingWizard
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-28-09
            • 6522

            #215
            ill take it a step further


            anybody who thinks it wont be Miami/OKC should really quit this
            Comment
            • diondublin
              SBR High Roller
              • 04-16-10
              • 160

              #216
              Originally posted by I am Happy
              Read that this morning. I do somewhat agree with LB's prognosis. However, I've seen this time and time again with Lebron. This is a situation where I strongly feel the Bulls will take game #1. What does that matter for the series? A big fat NOTHING. I don't like saying this but there is NO CHANCE the Bulls can win 4 games against this team first.

              Tonight tho....
              Bulls -2 (5u)

              I've heard many respectable pundits make claims along these lines; i.e. Bulls to win Gm1, Heat to win series.

              What is it that makes you think this - is it specific to these teams or general patterns?
              Comment
              • t-wizzle
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-18-09
                • 38099

                #217
                Originally posted by Goat Milk
                Its not even a write up. We're having a discussion. Other people's threads? This a public forum boss. You don't own any threads.

                You and LakerBoy both said Miami would not be getting to the Finals this year and now are suddenly flip-flopping. What a surprise.
                When did i say miami wouldn't get to the finals. Bump the thread.
                Comment
                • Wiscsportsfan92
                  Restricted User
                  • 03-01-11
                  • 108

                  #218
                  Wont be easy but I agree to Heat will pull through
                  Comment
                  • diondublin
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 04-16-10
                    • 160

                    #219
                    Originally posted by BettingWizard
                    ill take it a step further


                    anybody who thinks it wont be Miami/OKC should really quit this

                    I agree with Miami but by what crazed logic do you favour OKC over Dallas?
                    Comment
                    • d2bets
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 39995

                      #220
                      Originally posted by diondublin
                      I've heard many respectable pundits make claims along these lines; i.e. Bulls to win Gm1, Heat to win series.

                      What is it that makes you think this - is it specific to these teams or general patterns?
                      Because they want to pick the Heat series but still have an excuse for the next 3 days after they lose.
                      Comment
                      • demens
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-22-10
                        • 2785

                        #221
                        Originally posted by jizay
                        Do tell - what are the matchup problems that Ashit causes? They don't have to guard the guy - he scored 4 points total in 3 games against Miami this year and in general averages under 3 a game. Is he going to guard Bosh? Miami would love that. He will most of the time (and by "time" I mean his 10-14 mins/game) be guarding one of those awful Miami centers who Miami doesn't depend on to score. The biggest contribution of Ashit is that he will haul down some D rebounds, which is all he did vs. Miami this year. That's a good thing, but it's just stupid to think that he's a difference maker in this series, and the only people I see posting that are Bulls homers and blind Miami haters.
                        What the hell is your problem guy? You've been a member since 2009 have only 80 posts and a good portion of those have been accumulated bashing a role player who gets 10 minutes a game in this thread. Are you Turkish and he comes from some part of Turkey you're suppose to hate or something, cause none of your ramblings make any sense. What is your obsession with the guy? He doesn't play much, but he is very good in the role that he plays, he is a big body that provides good defense 1on1 on from the weak side blocking shots, he is a good rebounder and finishes strong around the rim with defenders around him. Fits very well into the Bulls defensive schemes and provides energy and rest for the starters. What on earth can you have against him to spend so much time bashing the guy? Has to be something personal. He's not Dwight Howard, i think we get that, but he's hardly some worthless scrub. And stop trying to be cute saying "Ashit" all the time, clearly its not catching on.
                        Comment
                        • demens
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-22-10
                          • 2785

                          #222
                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                          Pitiful. Just copying everything I said before the season started.

                          attention to all, lakerboy said the Heat would get knocked out in the first round by Philly
                          He was being sarcastic responding to one of the countless idiotic posts of yours you twat.
                          Comment
                          • Goat Milk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 03-24-10
                            • 25850

                            #223
                            Originally posted by t-wizzle

                            When did i say miami wouldn't get to the finals. Bump the thread.
                            Bro enough. In MULTIPLE Threads you said


                            Originally posted by t-wizzle
                            Lol can't wait until miami falls flat on their face against Boston.
                            and

                            Originally posted by t-wizzle
                            Miami won't beat Boston
                            Stop trying to think you called Miami getting to the finals.
                            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                            Comment
                            • The fiddler
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-27-10
                              • 554

                              #224
                              Bulls will win this series. All those miracle 3's will disappear from Jones and the other punk. LaBron and Wade will have a happy case of puckered asshole.

                              Mark Cuban's team takes down the trophy this year. Book it.
                              Comment
                              • juuso
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-04-05
                                • 2896

                                #225
                                Haha, good post, but disagree disagree with Lakerboy. This kind of thinking and the Heat hype is why we get +170 or more for a team holding the home court advantage. Bulls matches up very well at key positions. +170 is a steal!
                                Comment
                                • Tallcash21
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 05-06-11
                                  • 200

                                  #226
                                  Is anyone listening to the SMART announcers on TNT sayin the exact things Ive been typing the last 3 days....whoever all haters were comin at me sayin my shit is unreasonable and Im a homer keep this thread up. They talkin about eddie house like he'll get on the floor get the hell out of here.
                                  Comment
                                  • lifemagnetic
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 04-01-11
                                    • 155

                                    #227
                                    Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
                                    doubly agree. I hear alot of analysts who think the bulls have a chance.
                                    The analysts are dudes like many of us on the boards here, some couldn't cap a game or series if their life depended on it. Go look at some of their records for picking winners...one of my fave's are the "experts" pcisk during football season from ESPN...it's embarrassing. You could almost make easy cash just picking the team they call to win, no fuss no muss. haha. The pressure is on the heat here...I say bulls in 6 if they win tonight and 7 if they don't. This series will define D-Rose as an elite player
                                    Comment
                                    • frostno98
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-11-07
                                      • 9769

                                      #228
                                      Nothing in life is a sure thing, and this is one of them. Just like the Lakers getting sweep by DallasI guarantee you Lakerkid probably said the same thing in that series, too! Of course he might get one right once in awhile.
                                      Comment
                                      • t-wizzle
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-18-09
                                        • 38099

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                        Bro enough. In MULTIPLE Threads you said




                                        and



                                        Stop trying to think you called Miami getting to the finals.
                                        I never called it. I didn't call anything. I'm not a self-proclaimed profit like you.

                                        I made a lot of comments about Miami and Boston. I also tried to tell people who jumped all over Boston series price against Miami that it was a bad move. Truth is, I wanted the Celts to beat the Heat so that's where those comments came from. I bet on Miami more than I bet on Boston in that series so as much as i wanted Boston to win it was clear that they just didn't have it. In fact we even inboxed each other and I told you I thought Boston was having trouble getting good shots even in the one Game they won.
                                        Comment
                                        • phillybadboy
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-11-09
                                          • 9383

                                          #230
                                          lots of sharps in this thread on heats
                                          Comment
                                          • djpremier36
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-11-08
                                            • 3479

                                            #231
                                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                            DJ Primer you want to put your points on it. I'll give you the Bulls +1.5 games for the series at Even money. Meaning they either lose in 7 or win the series and you win the bet.
                                            If you're so confident in Heat winning 4-1 then let's do +2.5 for CHI?
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94379

                                              #232
                                              Bulls win game 1 just like I thought
                                              Comment
                                              • d2bets
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-10-05
                                                • 39995

                                                #233
                                                Anybody who agreed with this thread should stop gambling.
                                                Comment
                                                • Kindred
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-09-08
                                                  • 2901

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                  Bulls win game 1 just like I thought
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Kindred
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-09-08
                                                    • 2901

                                                    #235
                                                    seriously anyone who creates threads like this should quit gambling
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Tallcash21
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 05-06-11
                                                      • 200

                                                      #236
                                                      Any Heat backers gonna own up...go back and read what I was sayin on page 1 and 2 I dont even have to go back to know my shit was word for word....call me a homer that dont know the game good luck fake bettin clowns.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388179

                                                        #237
                                                        lakerboy looks like he is wrong again
                                                        Comment
                                                        • $Burm$
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 12-03-09
                                                          • 3019

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                                          lakerboy looks like he is wrong again
                                                          He ain't wrong yet...he said heat would win the series and bulls would win game one though, seems more like he's right so far to me, but then again, i dont have JJ Gold mental health issues
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Smoke
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-09-09
                                                            • 48111

                                                            #239
                                                            Fakerboy is a pussyy..

                                                            How you like that butt rape

                                                            Bend over and pick up your soap
                                                            Comment
                                                            • paco
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-07-09
                                                              • 62873

                                                              #240
                                                              Omar Ashik played a good game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • demens
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-22-10
                                                                • 2785

                                                                #241
                                                                That defense is unreal right now. Amazing to watch such great players like Wade and Lebron look absolutely hopeless. Asik even did a great job when he was switched over on Lebron forcing him to take 2 jumpers rather then drive past him.

                                                                Bulls just playing their game, offensive boards and defense. Not fouling and not allowing the Heat to fast break, the Heat cant make a run without fast breaking. They didn't even shoot that great today. Well, they shot the 3 ball really great which might not carry over but all the other stuff should which will always keep them in the game and with home court they have a nice advantage.

                                                                Bulls finally looked like the team at the end of the season. But they will have a very hard time winning in Miami imo, they will probably have to win all 4 at home to win the series, and i doubt there will be any more blow outs like this.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tallcash21
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 05-06-11
                                                                  • 200

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Someone looks like they play to their competition....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JOHON8
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-28-10
                                                                    • 7712

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Chicago is simply a better team than Miami, they are 4-0 against them this year after this game... there isn't 1 reason why anyone should expect Miami to win the series unless Chicago plays like garbage which they won't.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pronk
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-22-08
                                                                      • 6887

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Congratts bulls backers
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jizay
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 08-07-09
                                                                        • 975

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by paco
                                                                        Omar Ashik played a good game.
                                                                        Yeah, OK. Because the Bulls won, everyone is gonna pile on with the I told you so's about Ashit. 9 mins. 2 rebounds. If it wasn't for Omer's heroics, Miami would have won. The guy is absolutely nothing special and will never be a good NBA player. I have no idea what you guys are watching/smoking.
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