Anybody who thinks the Heat will lose the series v the bulls should stop gambling.

Goat Milk · 05-15-11, 04:18 PM

DJ Primer you want to put your points on it. I'll give you the Bulls +1.5 games for the series at Even money. Meaning they either lose in 7 or win the series and you win the bet.

diondublin · 05-15-11, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Can you please provide some reasons other than "you ran some numbers?" I see no value in a play on the heat in this series where its a 50/50 proposition and the bulls have home court. I still have yet to hear a coherent explanation of how taking the heat at -190 is a good bet. Thanks.

It's probability, bay-bee.

When I said I ran my numbers (not 'some' numbers), I simply meant the only thing it is possible to mean by those words; i.e. I plugged my personal estimations of probability into a calculation which produced this estimation.

I subjectively took into account my non-technical opinion that the Heat are more personally suitable for and attuned to the championship atmosphere than the Bulls and this, together with my notion of Heat technical superiority, makes them about 4 or 5 point favourites over the Bulls in a single game at this level.

Thusly the probabilities. It is a subjective judgement, of course, but I am delighted to be on the Heat at -180.

Albert Pujols · 05-15-11, 04:24 PM

Is Lakerboy themanej? The one that hooped with Laurent Robinson? LMAO.

Albert Pujols · 05-15-11, 04:24 PM

Sorry, but the Bulls take this.

BettingWizard · 05-15-11, 04:26 PM

ill take it a step further

anybody who thinks it wont be Miami/OKC should really quit this

diondublin · 05-15-11, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by I am Happy

Read that this morning. I do somewhat agree with LB's prognosis. However, I've seen this time and time again with Lebron. This is a situation where I strongly feel the Bulls will take game #1. What does that matter for the series? A big fat NOTHING. I don't like saying this but there is NO CHANCE the Bulls can win 4 games against this team first.

Tonight tho....
Bulls -2 (5u)

I've heard many respectable pundits make claims along these lines; i.e. Bulls to win Gm1, Heat to win series.

What is it that makes you think this - is it specific to these teams or general patterns?

t-wizzle · 05-15-11, 04:31 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Its not even a write up. We're having a discussion. Other people's threads? This a public forum boss. You don't own any threads.

You and LakerBoy both said Miami would not be getting to the Finals this year and now are suddenly flip-flopping. What a surprise.

When did i say miami wouldn't get to the finals. Bump the thread.

Wiscsportsfan92 · 05-15-11, 04:37 PM

Wont be easy but I agree to Heat will pull through

diondublin · 05-15-11, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by BettingWizard

ill take it a step further

anybody who thinks it wont be Miami/OKC should really quit this

I agree with Miami but by what crazed logic do you favour OKC over Dallas?

d2bets · 05-15-11, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by diondublin

I've heard many respectable pundits make claims along these lines; i.e. Bulls to win Gm1, Heat to win series.

What is it that makes you think this - is it specific to these teams or general patterns?

Because they want to pick the Heat series but still have an excuse for the next 3 days after they lose.

demens · 05-15-11, 05:04 PM

Originally posted by jizay

Do tell - what are the matchup problems that Ashit causes? They don't have to guard the guy - he scored 4 points total in 3 games against Miami this year and in general averages under 3 a game. Is he going to guard Bosh? Miami would love that. He will most of the time (and by "time" I mean his 10-14 mins/game) be guarding one of those awful Miami centers who Miami doesn't depend on to score. The biggest contribution of Ashit is that he will haul down some D rebounds, which is all he did vs. Miami this year. That's a good thing, but it's just stupid to think that he's a difference maker in this series, and the only people I see posting that are Bulls homers and blind Miami haters.

What the hell is your problem guy? You've been a member since 2009 have only 80 posts and a good portion of those have been accumulated bashing a role player who gets 10 minutes a game in this thread. Are you Turkish and he comes from some part of Turkey you're suppose to hate or something, cause none of your ramblings make any sense. What is your obsession with the guy? He doesn't play much, but he is very good in the role that he plays, he is a big body that provides good defense 1on1 on from the weak side blocking shots, he is a good rebounder and finishes strong around the rim with defenders around him. Fits very well into the Bulls defensive schemes and provides energy and rest for the starters. What on earth can you have against him to spend so much time bashing the guy? Has to be something personal. He's not Dwight Howard, i think we get that, but he's hardly some worthless scrub. And stop trying to be cute saying "Ashit" all the time, clearly its not catching on.

demens · 05-15-11, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Pitiful. Just copying everything I said before the season started.

attention to all, lakerboy said the Heat would get knocked out in the first round by Philly

He was being sarcastic responding to one of the countless idiotic posts of yours you twat.

Goat Milk · 05-15-11, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

When did i say miami wouldn't get to the finals. Bump the thread.

Bro enough. In MULTIPLE Threads you said

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Lol can't wait until miami falls flat on their face against Boston.

and

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Miami won't beat Boston

Stop trying to think you called Miami getting to the finals.

The fiddler · 05-15-11, 05:18 PM

Bulls will win this series. All those miracle 3's will disappear from Jones and the other punk. LaBron and Wade will have a happy case of puckered asshole.

Mark Cuban's team takes down the trophy this year. Book it.

juuso · 05-15-11, 05:23 PM

Haha, good post, but disagree disagree with Lakerboy. This kind of thinking and the Heat hype is why we get +170 or more for a team holding the home court advantage. Bulls matches up very well at key positions. +170 is a steal!

Tallcash21 · 05-15-11, 06:40 PM

Is anyone listening to the SMART announcers on TNT sayin the exact things Ive been typing the last 3 days....whoever all haters were comin at me sayin my shit is unreasonable and Im a homer keep this thread up. They talkin about eddie house like he'll get on the floor get the hell out of here.

lifemagnetic · 05-15-11, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans

doubly agree. I hear alot of analysts who think the bulls have a chance.

The analysts are dudes like many of us on the boards here, some couldn't cap a game or series if their life depended on it. Go look at some of their records for picking winners...one of my fave's are the "experts" pcisk during football season from ESPN...it's embarrassing. You could almost make easy cash just picking the team they call to win, no fuss no muss. haha. The pressure is on the heat here...I say bulls in 6 if they win tonight and 7 if they don't. This series will define D-Rose as an elite player

frostno98 · 05-15-11, 07:08 PM

Nothing in life is a sure thing, and this is one of them. Just like the Lakers getting sweep by Dallas

I guarantee you Lakerkid probably said the same thing in that series, too! Of course he might get one right once in awhile.

t-wizzle · 05-15-11, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Bro enough. In MULTIPLE Threads you said

and

Stop trying to think you called Miami getting to the finals.

I never called it. I didn't call anything. I'm not a self-proclaimed profit like you.

I made a lot of comments about Miami and Boston. I also tried to tell people who jumped all over Boston series price against Miami that it was a bad move. Truth is, I wanted the Celts to beat the Heat so that's where those comments came from. I bet on Miami more than I bet on Boston in that series so as much as i wanted Boston to win it was clear that they just didn't have it. In fact we even inboxed each other and I told you I thought Boston was having trouble getting good shots even in the one Game they won.

phillybadboy · 05-15-11, 07:45 PM

lots of sharps in this thread on heats

djpremier36 · 05-15-11, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

DJ Primer you want to put your points on it. I'll give you the Bulls +1.5 games for the series at Even money. Meaning they either lose in 7 or win the series and you win the bet.

If you're so confident in Heat winning 4-1 then let's do +2.5 for CHI?

lakerboy · 05-15-11, 09:05 PM

Bulls win game 1 just like I thought

d2bets · 05-15-11, 09:09 PM

Anybody who agreed with this thread should stop gambling.

Kindred · 05-15-11, 09:10 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Bulls win game 1 just like I thought

Kindred · 05-15-11, 09:11 PM

seriously anyone who creates threads like this should quit gambling

Tallcash21 · 05-15-11, 09:12 PM

Any Heat backers gonna own up...go back and read what I was sayin on page 1 and 2 I dont even have to go back to know my shit was word for word....call me a homer that dont know the game good luck fake bettin clowns.

jjgold · 05-15-11, 09:12 PM

lakerboy looks like he is wrong again

$Burm$ · 05-15-11, 09:15 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

lakerboy looks like he is wrong again

He ain't wrong yet...he said heat would win the series and bulls would win game one though, seems more like he's right so far to me, but then again, i dont have JJ Gold mental health issues

Smoke · 05-15-11, 09:15 PM

Fakerboy is a pussyy..

How you like that butt rape

Bend over and pick up your soap

paco · 05-15-11, 09:17 PM

Omar Ashik played a good game.

demens · 05-15-11, 09:26 PM

That defense is unreal right now. Amazing to watch such great players like Wade and Lebron look absolutely hopeless. Asik even did a great job when he was switched over on Lebron forcing him to take 2 jumpers rather then drive past him.

Bulls just playing their game, offensive boards and defense. Not fouling and not allowing the Heat to fast break, the Heat cant make a run without fast breaking. They didn't even shoot that great today. Well, they shot the 3 ball really great which might not carry over but all the other stuff should which will always keep them in the game and with home court they have a nice advantage.

Bulls finally looked like the team at the end of the season. But they will have a very hard time winning in Miami imo, they will probably have to win all 4 at home to win the series, and i doubt there will be any more blow outs like this.

Tallcash21 · 05-15-11, 09:31 PM

Someone looks like they play to their competition....

JOHON8 · 05-15-11, 09:33 PM

Chicago is simply a better team than Miami, they are 4-0 against them this year after this game... there isn't 1 reason why anyone should expect Miami to win the series unless Chicago plays like garbage which they won't.

pronk · 05-15-11, 09:33 PM

Congratts bulls backers

jizay · 05-15-11, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by paco

Omar Ashik played a good game.

Yeah, OK. Because the Bulls won, everyone is gonna pile on with the I told you so's about Ashit. 9 mins. 2 rebounds. If it wasn't for Omer's heroics, Miami would have won. The guy is absolutely nothing special and will never be a good NBA player. I have no idea what you guys are watching/smoking.