good job man . its hard to tail with that many plays tho!
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Comment -
its all about value... just look at the risk and return. 1x doesn't necessarily have to be 100. usually around 40x risked in a day. whatever fits ur situation. its a system for a reason....
-vai
i could try and setup more filters.... but i think results are starting to show...Comment -
5* KC +160
5* SF -1.5 +135
3* FF Orioles -.5
3* Boston -1.5 +154
3* White Sox -1.5 +151
3* Under 8 Rangers/Orioles
-vaiComment -
Thanks Vai!Comment -
Looks good, hopefully it runs well over 100 plays.Comment -
Really good job !Comment -
Full Card...
5* KC +160
5* SF -1.5 +135
4* Sand Diego -1.5 +190
3* FF Orioles -.5 +130
3* Boston -1.5 +154
3* White Sox -1.5 +151
3* Under 8 Rangers/Oriles +100
2* FF Marlins -.5 +115
2* FF San Diego -.5 +130
-vai
System "0210" record: 19-16 + 52.24xComment -
Great job so far!!Comment -
hey vai, great record, i was just wondering if this is your first season capping mlb on here and if not how many units did you make last year? lol i only ask because im still unsure on who to bet this season on mlbComment -
something just came in, adding 5* to Giants -1.5 +125, price dropped 10cents,
but for record keeping purposes, this game will remain @ 5* as listed. just wanted to document System's "MUST PLAY"
which is 1-0 (Houston ML +128 yesterday)
my stats from last year? 280 - 227, +100.78
-vaiComment -
This is very interesting vai where u get ur stats and stuff from to decide on games? rL mL FF o/u?Comment -
alll good things come to an end, got my ass handed to me today. Thought we were good up 2 in SF, their pen is usually solid. And the White sox, well i was playing with fire, fading the Rays till they showed me they could hit. And now that they have no more auto-fade. Sorry to those that just came on today. Will make up for it tomorrow, gonna wait for SD final before doing results. but it hurts to sit, if ya know what i mean LOL
-vaiComment -
4/9 Red Sox RL +135
was lucky enough to hit this puppy yesteday, gonna ride it again. Don't really know how to put it, its a Red Sox play or pass. Yankees +142 after a loss? thats like free money... not. Just can't go against these #'s and trends....
Yankees are 8-14 on the road when total is 10 to 10.5
Girardi
on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5
11-26 as Yankees MNGR
17-35 Career
on the road when the total is 10 or higher
17-29 as Yankees MNGR
24-39 Career
FRANCONA is 123-46 (+47.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse as the manager of BOSTON.
The average score was BOSTON 6.1, OPPONENT 4.2
FRANCONA is 64-24 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse as the manager of BOSTON.
The average score was BOSTON 6.0, OPPONENT 3.
FRANCONA is 85-38 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game as the manager of BOSTON.
The average score was BOSTON 5.8, OPPONENT 4.2
Boston 32-10 @ home when total is 10 or higher
Buchholz is 6-2 as a home favorite of -125 to -150
Buchholz is 8-3 as a home favorite of -135 to -170
-vaiComment -
2-4-2 -7.78x SD was canceled
-vai
System "0210" record: 21-20-2 +44.46Comment -
Go redsox!!!Comment -
Full card...
only 5 plays today...
5* 970 Boston Red Sox -1½ +135
5* 979 Cleveland Indians -1½ +175
3* 963 St. Louis Cardinals -1½ +230
3* 955 Colorado Rockies -1½ +158
2* 955 Colorado Rockies/Pittsburgh Pirates Over 9 +115
-vaiComment -
No plays today??Comment -
its getting close maybe some later games???Comment -
3* Texas -1.5 +125
6-0 vs right-handed starters
Team avg. 7.2 - opp avg. 2.0
4-1 Day Games Team Avg. 4.8 - opp avg. 2.8
Tigers
0-2 vs left-handed starters
Team Avg. 2.0 - Opp avg. 4.5
2-5 day games Team avg. 4.4 - Opp. Avg 6.0
WILSON is 17-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 4.8, OPPONENT 2.2
at home Detroit's BP has given up 6 ER in 9.3 IP
-vaiComment -
3* Baltimore +165
Fade Yankees and Red Sox in their first game after concluding a series vs each other
8-4 since 2006
Yankees are 2-8 in L10 in their first game after concluding a series vs Boston
avg ML was Yankees -140
Since '06 Yankees are 6-9 in New York after completing a series vs the Red Sox
Yankees are 11-16 with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games over the last 3 seasons, 0-1 this year
Burnett is 9-8 as a home fav. of -150 to -200 -5.4x over the last 3 seasons,
1-0 this yearComment -
Well this way of handicapping is better than any other or just as good
Its system capping which is much better than actually trying to cape who is better
Best of luck with itComment -
GL Today Vai!
TEX is my best bet of the day..Comment -
3* Toronto -1.5 +160
19-4 vs AL teams scoring 3.7 or less runs/game on the season
(Romero is 4-1 in same situation)
Seatle is 28-44 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
Play On - Road teams against a 1.5 run line (TORONTO) - first 12 games of the season, non-playoff team from last season who won 6+ of their last 8 games, marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 54% of their games.
(42-12 since 1997.) (77.8%, +30.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (38-16)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.1, money line price: +102
The average score in these games was: Team 6.1, Opponent 3.9 (Average run differential = +2.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 33 (61.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2, +1.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3, +11.8 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-6, +15.5 units).Comment -
3* Pittsburg ML +109
CORREIA is 13-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CORREIA 4.4, OPPONENT 3.4
CORREIA is 14-4 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons, 1-0 this year
CORREIA is 11-5 after 2 or more consecutive losses
CORREIA is 13-4 after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - poor fielding team - turning 0.8 or less DP's/game on the season. against opponent stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season.
(92-63 over the last 5 seasons.) (59.4%, +49.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2, +3.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (62-40, +35.5 units).
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games against opponent with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games.
(36-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.6%, +29.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4, +11 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (109-118, +21.8 units).Comment -
Going for the big one
Wager type : Round Robin with 2's, 3's, 4's
Select #1 : MLB Baseball
Pittsburgh Pirates 4/12/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line +107 for Game
S MARCUM-R must Start K CORREIA-R must Start
Select #2 : MLB Baseball
Texas Rangers 4/12/2011 1:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +125 for Game
C WILSON-L must Start B PENNY-R must Start
Select #3 : MLB Baseball
Baltimore Orioles 4/12/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line +165 for Game
C TILLMAN-R must Start A BURNETT-R must Start
Select #4 : MLB Baseball
Toronto Blue Jays 4/12/2011 10:10 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +155 for Game
R ROMERO-L must Start M PINEDA-R must Start
Amount : Risking 110.00 To Win 1077.63 pecos
-vaiComment -
Dogs with bite
Cleveland +165
LEVELAND is 7-0 (+9.2 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 5.1, OPPONENT 1.9 - (Rating = 3*)
LA ANGELS are 14-33 (-24.4 Units) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 4.0, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 3*)
CLEVELAND is 6-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 5.5, OPPONENT 2.0
CLEVELAND is 8-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 5.6, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)
CARMONA is 24-9 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CARMONA 5.5, OPPONENT 4
HAREN is 13-22 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 3.8, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 1*)
HAREN is 10-17 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 3.7, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 0*)
LA ANGELS are 32-14 UNDER (+16.2 Units) as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 3.5, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*)
-vaiComment -
TB Rays +160
BOSTON is 16-2 OVER (+14.1 Units) in home games vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 6.3, OPPONENT 7.0 - (Rating = 4*)
BOSTON is 13-19 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 4.6, OPPONENT 5.6
BOSTON is 4-12 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 4.6, OPPONENT 6.9
TAMPA BAY is 23-7 OVER (+15.7 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 6.8, OPPONENT 4.7
Umpire Jeff Nelson
home faves -180+ is 0-1
Boston is 4-6 vs the ml
Lester is 1-2 when Nelson is behind home plate
Home Favs of -140 to -200 are 2-5 in Nelson's L10Comment -
will be posting plays in following thread.
-vaiComment
