True or False

[mofome]

I'll just point out that this is not necessarilly logically inconsistent.

It's entirely possible for the Fave -1½ RL to still be a good bet even while the single most likely score might be Fave 4 - Dog 3. Ultimately, it's a function of the RL odds offered.

For example, given a total of 9 and a ML of Road +120/Home -140, my models have the single most likely outcome at Home 4 - Road 3 (just barely edging out Home 5 - Road 4), but yet I'd jump on a RL of Fave -1½ +170 in a heartbeat.

What if his reasoning was simply, "i wanted to try and win some more"? i guess each line of thinking eventually gets you to point B. His odds were +160 i believe.

[Bill Dozer]

I've seen stock market guys, a few who are on this board, jump in and make money from the start. It can take years of losing for a guy to switch his mentality from a gambler to an investor. And of course, most never do and many know it is always going to be a form of entertainment only.

[Ganchrow]

What if his reasoning was simply, "i wanted to try and win some more"? i guess each line of thinking eventually gets you to point B. His odds were +160 i believe.

The point I'm making is that just because a final score of F 4 - D 3 might be most likely, it does not necessarily imply that in general F -1½ a bad bet.

Of course, it very well may have been a bad bet in that particular case.

[mofome]

The point I'm making is that just because a final score of F 4 - D 3 might be most likely, it does not necessarily imply that in general F -1½ a bad bet.

I was able to crack that code kind sir.

[pokernut9999]

I'll just point out that this is not necessarily logically inconsistent.

It's entirely possible for the Fave -1½ RL to still be a good bet even while the single most likely score might be Fave 4 - Dog 3. Ultimately, it's a function of the RL odds offered.

For example, given a total of 9 and a ML of Road +120/Home -140, my models have the single most likely outcome at Home 4 - Road 3 (just barely edging out Home 5 - Road 4), but yet I'd jump on a RL of Fave -1½ +170 in a heartbeat.

Gee , I thought I said it was the funniest post

Funny how people only quote part of quotes.

I find it funny how when you predict a 4-3 score on a favorite in a game with a total of 9 to 9.5 that your best bet would be a -1.5 RL.

Lets see

1. We predict the winner.
2. We predict the exact margin of win,
3. And we predict a score under the posted total.

Yes I can see where this is not necessarially logically inconsistent.

[flyingillini]

I am going on 18 years. Who knows I can't really answer that. I am sure there are brighter people than others. Money management has a lot to do with it. Some might get that real fast and others never. I would say True in my opinion.