Iwinyourmoney.com........NBA PLAYS of the Day! (Friday)

[babaoriley]

Thinking about sharing picks with my select group of people (you all know who you are) in the future.

Taking a minium of 3 days off from betting and doing "fake bets". Meaning I will cap the game and put down a pick as if I was betting it, but not betting it (wont post so that MJF can come in a say HAH THIS CLOWN CANT EVEN WIN FAKE BETS FADE THIS CLOWN. Just to try and figure where Im dropping off.

It's not your capping, Iwin. It's the fickle nature of NBA basketball and the magnifying effects of the pressure situations in the playoffs. You're not going to find a magic filter or predictor that manages to right the ship. I'm assuming that you've been capping games for a few years. If so, you should have firsthand knowledge that numbers can and will lie, just not to the degree that instinct does. Stats aren't infallible and even though you might be on the right side, you can lose. My advice is to either:

A) Keep doing what you were doing before. If there was a statistical panacea in the world of sports capping (or even a system of filters and predictors that could be used to give us a 70% edge on every bet), we'd all be millionaires. The simple fact is that capping a game correctly is most likely going to give you a slight edge on what would normally be a 50/50 play. Playoff basketball is fickle. I had my worst night (NET) of 2008 last night, going 3-7 (and losing 9+ units). But that doesn't mean I lost all self-confidence. I've been through enough streaks, good and bad... Today's a new day. I'm not playing shorter units, nor am I abstaining. I'm not getting defensive, nor chasing. That's your first option.

B) Quit while you're ahead. If each loss or losing day gets to you this much, then possibly sports betting is too cruel a mistress for you. You're at 14-5 and, if we're to believe everything you've posted, are up at least $14k on your wins (at $1k apiece) and somewhere between $2,700-$5,000 on your losses (not sure if you found a book that would take anything less than $400/game yesterday). So, you're up at least $9k. Quitting altogether isn't a bad option if you're going to get trigger-shy after a small losing streak (and 4 games is a small losing streak). This is option 2.

C) Take a few days off, but don't do it because you think you're missing an angle. It's the playoffs. Sh!t happens. Even the sharpest of guys probably didn't have the Suns dropping 3 in a row (their first 3 game losing streak of the season) to the Spurs to start off the series. It's tough to predict 60% shooting nights. So, take a break and clear your head. That's your 3rd option.

[NBABettingGuy]

Thinking about sharing picks with my select group of people (you all know who you are) in the future.

Taking a minium of 3 days off from betting and doing "fake bets". Meaning I will cap the game and put down a pick as if I was betting it, but not betting it (wont post so that MJF can come in a say HAH THIS CLOWN CANT EVEN WIN FAKE BETS FADE THIS CLOWN. Just to try and figure where Im dropping off.

Hey man. Don't let that guy get to ya. You can't pick perfect. I hope you will continue to POST your picks. If not, I'd appreciate it if you'd send picks to me. I won off your first four, but have lost more from your last three. However, I want to stick with your picks, because I think in the long wrong your percentage will be profitable. I'm down still, so I'd greatly appreciate it.

[remmy358]

Hey man. Don't let that guy get to ya. You can't pick perfect. I hope you will continue to POST your picks. If not, I'd appreciate it if you'd send picks to me. I won off your first four, but have lost more from your last three. However, I want to stick with your picks, because I think in the long wrong your percentage will be profitable. I'm down still, so I'd greatly appreciate it.

bet your own plays...don't count on someone else to win your $ back...we've all hit huge winning streaks, he is no different from the rest of us. he's back on level ground and there's no reason to follow him

[ritehook]

Dear IWYM:

If you change your hideous avatar you may change your recent run of bad luck.

[ritehook]

A touch of humility may also be beneficial. Like trying to refrain from busting into other unrelated threads with your record in huge boldface.

The "Computer Group" who in the late 80s - early 90s took Vegas for millions had a win percentage of about 57%. That's all one needs, long-term,to become awfully rich.

No one can sustain anything over 60% for any extended period.

Shout your name loudly from the rooftops at the Gods of Percentages and they will strike you down as you would brush a fly off your face.

[BuddyBear]

IWYM: you have to be nice to people on the way up because you are going to see them on the way back down.....

[NBABettingGuy]

bet your own plays...don't count on someone else to win your $ back...we've all hit huge winning streaks, he is no different from the rest of us. he's back on level ground and there's no reason to follow him

I'm not really experienced with capping. All I do is look at the past two few games against the same team and go on that. I am sure he knows what he's doing more than I do. I believe he focuses on more detail than I do.

[FreeFall]

Good luck to you iwin if your on your way out. But don't let the haters get to you. It's part of life man.

As Dave Mathews Band once said

"Some might tell you there's no hope in hand
just because they feel hopeless too"

hes just jealous.

Either way you gave me +10 units and Im here to thank you for it. Thank you.