How much should one bet on the Moneyline compared to the spread?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • dynamite140
    SBR MVP
    • 07-05-08
    • 4958

    #1
    How much should one bet on the Moneyline compared to the spread?
    In sports like basketball and football, most bets are placed on spread where the line is -110. I know many people like to bet moneylines as well. The thing i wanted to know is if someone is taking an underdog on the ML, how much should they bet on it compared to the spread?

    For example, lets make it simple and say a person's average bet is $100. That is how much he bets on a normal game on the spread and lays 110 to win 100. Say this guy likes Pistons +6 on the spread but likes the Moneyline as well. Pistons ML is +210 lets assume.

    My questions are

    1. How much should one bet on the ML compared to the spread? I heard someone mention 1/4 on the ML and 3/4 on the spread was ideal. Is this a pretty good number? What about enough on the ML where if you hit the ML but lose the spread, you break even?

    2. Would it be bad to only take the Pistons only on the ML? Thus for this player $100 to win $210 and then risk the Pistons losing between 1-6 points where they would win or at worst push if it lands on 6?

    3. What if the ML was much lower or much higher? Such as the ML for the Pistons was +140 and the spread was +3.. Or if it was Pistons ML +500 and the spread was them +10. That would make a much bigger difference right?


    So for Pistons +6 and +210 on the ML, would you say just using $100 as the base amount to make it simple, taking pistons for $75 on the +6 and $25 on the ML seem to be good? What if it was like in the situation below it where spread is much lower or much higher? I would assume that if spread was lower, you should put more on the ML and if spread was much higher, put less on ML?
  • FourLengthsClear
    SBR MVP
    • 12-29-10
    • 3808

    #2
    Which bet gives the biggest edge?

    If this person bets the pistons with the rationale being "he likes it" then it doesn't really matter whether he bets the spread or the moneyline, in the long rung he is going to sink.

    If on the other hand he handicaps or models the game with say +4 being fair value he can use historical push probabilities (or another proven method) to claculate which bet offers the highest EV. That is the one he should play.
    Comment
    • suicidekings
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-23-09
      • 9962

      #3
      Originally posted by dynamite140
      In sports like basketball and football, most bets are placed on spread where the line is -110. I know many people like to bet moneylines as well. The thing i wanted to know is if someone is taking an underdog on the ML, how much should they bet on it compared to the spread?

      For example, lets make it simple and say a person's average bet is $100. That is how much he bets on a normal game on the spread and lays 110 to win 100. Say this guy likes Pistons +6 on the spread but likes the Moneyline as well. Pistons ML is +210 lets assume.

      My questions are

      1. How much should one bet on the ML compared to the spread? I heard someone mention 1/4 on the ML and 3/4 on the spread was ideal. Is this a pretty good number? What about enough on the ML where if you hit the ML but lose the spread, you break even?

      2. Would it be bad to only take the Pistons only on the ML? Thus for this player $100 to win $210 and then risk the Pistons losing between 1-6 points where they would win or at worst push if it lands on 6?

      3. What if the ML was much lower or much higher? Such as the ML for the Pistons was +140 and the spread was +3.. Or if it was Pistons ML +500 and the spread was them +10. That would make a much bigger difference right?


      So for Pistons +6 and +210 on the ML, would you say just using $100 as the base amount to make it simple, taking pistons for $75 on the +6 and $25 on the ML seem to be good? What if it was like in the situation below it where spread is much lower or much higher? I would assume that if spread was lower, you should put more on the ML and if spread was much higher, put less on ML?
      The answer to this question depends on the particular details of the game. You need to have an opinion on where you think the spread should be and compare it to what's being offered by the books. That gap between the two will define your confidence in the play and the amount that's worth risking on the ML.
      Comment
      • tomcowley
        SBR MVP
        • 10-01-07
        • 1129

        #4
        Your optimal bet size is 0 on all wagers. Your optimal post count is 0 on all forums. You've posted retarded questions to multiple forums for years and you clearly haven't learned the first thing. You're worse than Donk Horse. Please just go away.
        Comment
        • JOHON8
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-28-10
          • 7712

          #5
          There is no written rule for any amount. When I started off I grasped this instantly.

          Don't over think things and get stuck with systems, if you can't figure out amounts for yourself then you shouldn't be gambling.
          Comment
          • necro
            SBR MVP
            • 06-07-09
            • 1633

            #6
            you should always bet an amount you can afford to lose
            Comment
            • magynuck
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-17-09
              • 891

              #7
              I echo Mr. Cowley's sentiments.
              Comment
              • trixtrix
                Restricted User
                • 04-13-06
                • 1897

                #8
                why is thread in the think tank?
                Comment
                • cloudagh
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 04-08-07
                  • 486

                  #9
                  Originally posted by trixtrix
                  why is thread in the think tank?
                  I appreciate this thought so I didn't have to write it.
                  Comment
                  • Peregrine Stoop
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-23-09
                    • 869

                    #10
                    Originally posted by tomcowley
                    Your optimal bet size is 0 on all wagers. Your optimal post count is 0 on all forums. You've posted retarded questions to multiple forums for years and you clearly haven't learned the first thing. You're worse than Donk Horse. Please just go away.
                    Plus one
                    Comment
                    • cant call it
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-29-10
                      • 8817

                      #11
                      Dont bet the same team twice in one day
                      Comment
                      • LostBankroll
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-10-10
                        • 4538

                        #12
                        Bet Atlanta +100 tomorrow on the ML bet as much as you want.
                        Comment
                        • ringemup
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-24-08
                          • 2112

                          #13
                          dont bet it if u dont believe they cant win.
                          Comment
                          Search
                          Collapse
                          SBR Contests
                          Collapse
                          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                          Collapse
                          Working...