Convince me I can't make 100k/year off sports betting

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  • ssk13809
    SBR MVP
    • 08-25-10
    • 2595

    #1
    Convince me I can't make 100k/year off sports betting
    You might remember me from threads last year


    I basically was asking, "given a 70% ATS rate and 90% Lock Rate", how much can one expect to make per year in sports betting. The responses given were not really what I asked. They concentrated more on the hit rate rather than the question of making money given that hit rate. Nonetheless, I was still able to get good feedback amongst all the garbage replies on how to actually make money.


    Now the more informed know that making money long-term isn't as easy as winning and hitting 70%. Now the plan is like this,

    a) Spread your money off between sportsbooks. 1 or 2 might cut off action because you win so much. The most legit ones are Bookmaker and Greek and 5Dimes. Besides for these, use matchbook, a betting exchange. They don't care how much you win, they will not cut off your action.

    b) Obviously bankroll is big if you want to make 100k. The plan here is 50k will be needed to bring a steady income of at least 100k per year. Where will that 50k come from? Well, 1 you can deposit it from your income from other places. But 2, you can get to 50k by continuously hitting 70% and winning. Eventually you will get to 50k.


    Now the question is what is the limit? 100k should be easy with these 2 and hitting at high rates. That is a question that even I don't know the answer too. We'll see.








    Anyways, for those wondering, I did make my own NFL thread this year. I made one after Week 4 after getting a good sense of the season. In my thread(s), I posted an average of about 5-10 plays per week, and hit 70% straight ATS overall for the season. My Locks went 6-1 for the season, the only loss being that miraculous Titans Thursday Night Football last second of the game cover. 2 years ago I went 7-0 in LOCK NFL picks (also documented). And remember, this is all in my SSK NFL Thread(s), which I started Post Week 4 and on. Overall, the bankroll had well over a 100+% increase playing smart money management. It was "given 100k" type thread, ending with well over 200k. And its not like I just hit 70% this year, I have been dong this for years.



    So there you have it. Given 70% long-term rate, and my plans, how can you not make 100+k per year off sports betting?
  • ssk13809
    SBR MVP
    • 08-25-10
    • 2595

    #2
    But I can't take all the credit for myself. At Week 4, when I made started posting my plays in my thread, I was also joined by my teams. I had a


    A Money Management Team
    - telling me how much to bet per game. They helped me out throughout the season maximizing my profits. Without them, I would not have increased my bankroll so much. Almost every week they distributed the money so I was able to get a winning weekend.

    A Team of Analysts- that accurately projected my weekly results with a great degree of accuracy. Everytime they predicted a strong week, I did have a strong week. Everytime they predicted a weak week, I had a weak week. You can check the results, week after week the analysts were spot on how I will do.

    A Chase Team- for when I was down. Many weeks they saved from a losing week. They did good on their chase plays when I called them up. I just tell them how much I am down and how much I want to make
    up. They tell me the play. The rest is history. I think they hit 66% themselves on their chase plays. Sometimes I'm panicked and I don't even need to call them for a play because I think I'm going to lose, but they still do their thing.

    A Teaser team- that was exceptionally strong. These guys say they can get a long-term rate of 70% on teasers with avg. odds of +100. Yes they are that good. I never had 1 week where I lost money because of teasers. So they are extra profit every week on top of the high ATS and Lock Rates.

    A Parlay team- that sucked. I fired most of them.


    and of course, the strongest of them all,

    LOCK Team- Not easy to hit 90+% NFL Locks long-term. My LOCK team enables me to do this. Basically I just tell them my lean for a lock, and they either approve deny the LOCK itself. Without my LOCK Team I could never hit 90% on NFL Locks.






    And guys lets not act like I don't do anything. I make the picks here. I make the ATS and ML straight picks. My teams do the rest.
    Comment
    • Rich Boy
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-01-09
      • 9713

      #3
      It is impossible to hit 70% on NFL sides, the lines dont have that amount of error in them, opening to close.
      Comment
      • BatemanPatrickl
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 06-21-07
        • 18772

        #4
        Comment
        • BatemanPatrickl
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-21-07
          • 18772

          #5
          Originally posted by Rich Boy
          It is impossible to hit 70% on NFL sides, the lines dont have that amount of error in them, opening to close.
          He had the A-Team working for him
          Comment
          • RudyRuetigger
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-24-10
            • 65086

            #6
            noone here cares.

            obviously you are going to either:
            a. do it no matter what anyone says
            b. are trying to scam people wanting your picks
            c. want attention only again


            bobby lock thread.
            Comment
            • Duff85
              SBR MVP
              • 06-15-10
              • 2920

              #7
              cool story bro.
              Comment
              • YorkHunt
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-11-10
                • 7496

                #8
                Are you a service. Go somewhere else lang
                Comment
                • ssk13809
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-25-10
                  • 2595

                  #9
                  I'm basically asking, is there anything wrong with my "plan" given my high rates of winning?

                  This is not really a thread (once again) about "can he hit 70 or not?"?


                  This is about GIVEN 70%, my plan works right?
                  Comment
                  • dfberger23
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-08-10
                    • 5069

                    #10
                    Comment
                    • ssk13809
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-25-10
                      • 2595

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Rich Boy
                      It is impossible to hit 70% on NFL sides, the lines dont have that amount of error in them, opening to close.
                      Heard that last year on SBR too. Went into the NFL season with a thread on SBR. Guess how I finished ATS? 70%? Yeah thats right.
                      Comment
                      • rem sleep
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-04-10
                        • 1238

                        #12
                        so who wins today?
                        Comment
                        • RonPaul2008
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-08-07
                          • 6741

                          #13
                          If you have a nice bankroll you can.
                          Comment
                          • ssk13809
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-25-10
                            • 2595

                            #14
                            Originally posted by YorkHunt
                            Are you a service. Go somewhere else lang
                            Whats with this negativity that I'm offering some kind of service or telling people to follow me? Where in my post do you see it discussing anybody else besides ME. How I can make money. Not how I can help you make money.

                            I don't have time to offer these so called "services". I spend 15min/day on this stuff. That's all I need. I'll post my plays. You can follow the ride or watch from the side. I could careless either way.
                            Comment
                            • onetrickpony
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-23-10
                              • 9434

                              #15
                              yea u can

                              example billy walters

                              thread closed
                              Comment
                              • ssk13809
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-25-10
                                • 2595

                                #16
                                Originally posted by rem sleep
                                so who wins today?
                                Today? You from Europe?
                                Comment
                                • Rich Boy
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-01-09
                                  • 9713

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ssk13809

                                  Heard that last year on SBR too. Went into the NFL season with a thread on SBR. Guess how I finished ATS? 70%? Yeah thats right.
                                  Hitting 70% over one season doesn't prove anything.

                                  It doesnt matter how much you know, or how good your system is. The books know everything you do, plus a lot more. In the end, you dont know shit.
                                  Comment
                                  • Cicima6709
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-12-10
                                    • 1023

                                    #18
                                    Technically, if you think you can hit 70% long term, you could make a hell of a lot more then 100k a year...
                                    Comment
                                    • wtf
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-22-08
                                      • 12983

                                      #19
                                      he CLAIMS to have a team of humans working on this

                                      but he doesnt have a lousy 50k

                                      teenager
                                      Comment
                                      • ssk13809
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-25-10
                                        • 2595

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                        Hitting 70% over one season doesn't prove anything.

                                        It doesnt matter how much you know, or how good your system is. The books know everything you do, plus a lot more. In the end, you dont know shit.
                                        But the books aren't after me. They are after you guys. The public. Their goal is to beat the public, not me. I can win along with the books. So what's your point?
                                        Comment
                                        • ssk13809
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-25-10
                                          • 2595

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Cicima6709
                                          Technically, if you think you can hit 70% long term, you could make a hell of a lot more then 100k a year...
                                          I said "at least"

                                          But what's the limit? Consider books will try to blacklist you and also the liquidity issues
                                          Comment
                                          • Full Time Hobo
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-16-10
                                            • 2778

                                            #22
                                            As stated many times... go to an exchange
                                            Comment
                                            • raydog
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-07-07
                                              • 6984

                                              #23
                                              son, if you are given 70% every year (which really is fukking stupid to even use as a rational % because it cant be done on a yearly basis and no son, you didnt do it this year or any other year betting so many games) but say you are given 70% before the season starts and you only clear 100k, you would be considered a failed gambler...70% should mean millions to any educated gambler making as many plays as you suggest
                                              Comment
                                              • ssk13809
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-25-10
                                                • 2595

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by raydog
                                                son, if you are given 70% every year (which really is fukking stupid to even use as a rational % because it cant be done on a yearly basis and no son, you didnt do it this year or any other year betting so many games) but say you are given 70% before the season starts and you only clear 100k, you would be considered a failed gambler...70% should mean millions to any educated gambler making as many plays as you suggest
                                                ^^^
                                                Fail Post??

                                                1. 1st of all, I did hit 70% ATS this year all documented. And have done previous years. And will do so again and again.

                                                2. But the real part, I said at least 100k. Obviously a lot more. Miss that part? Re-Read.


                                                But how do you actually suggest getting actually PAID millions within a years amount of time. From who? Notice, I'm not living in Vegas.
                                                Comment
                                                • ssk13809
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                  • 2595

                                                  #25
                                                  And btw, I bet NFL and NBA.


                                                  Haven't done any NBA yet. Only have 15min/day on this stuff so spend it all on NFL. But now with NFL slowing down, will start posting my NBA Plays. Watch another "magical" run.

                                                  I hit about 65% long-term ATS on NBA Plays. Less than the 70% on NFL, but the volume is much higher in the NBA. The Locks are also a little lower at 80% long-term. But once again volume of games is higher. On NFL I average about 1-2 ATS Plays, 8-12 overall plays, and 0-1 Locks per week. While NBA, you will see about 10-15 ATS Plays, 15-25 overall plays, and 3-5 Locks per week.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ssk13809
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-25-10
                                                    • 2595

                                                    #26
                                                    Double post
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GOIRISH
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-25-10
                                                      • 2072

                                                      #27
                                                      whats the play for bears green bay?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ssk13809
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-25-10
                                                        • 2595

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by GOIRISH
                                                        whats the play for bears green bay?
                                                        Tease Green Bay +4


                                                        After that, hedge it, or if you have a strong feel on something else, add that. Do whatever. And make some easy money.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Flexin
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-09-10
                                                          • 969

                                                          #29
                                                          Why take 70% if your hitting much higher with your locks? Just stick with your locks.

                                                          How much does the each team make?

                                                          James
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dwaechte
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-27-07
                                                            • 5481

                                                            #30
                                                            Dude, get a fukking life. Anyone smart enough to hit 70% can figure out his expected growth. You don't need a board to tell you.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ssk13809
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-25-10
                                                              • 2595

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by dwaechte
                                                              Dude, get a fukking life. Anyone smart enough to hit 70% can figure out his expected growth. You don't need a board to tell you.
                                                              If only it was as easy as winning.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dwaechte
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-27-07
                                                                • 5481

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                                If only it was as easy as winning.
                                                                It's fukking 4th grade math.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ssk13809
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                                  • 2595

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by dwaechte
                                                                  It's fukking 4th grade math.


                                                                  You got a long way to go. It's not as easy as winning and seeing your money increase like you put it in the bank or something.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • floridagolfer
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-19-08
                                                                    • 2757

                                                                    #34
                                                                    If you can afford to lose what you put into your bankroll, go for it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • raydog
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-07-07
                                                                      • 6984

                                                                      #35
                                                                      if you have any money at all to put up next year, i will put up very nice odds that you cant hit 70% nfl sides/totals at a book...you act as if nobody here gambles...if you were able to hit 65% nba and almost 70% nfl, 60minutes would be doing a segment on you instead of Billy Walters or any other gambler... you are making a fool of yourself with your ignorant statements... but by all means, continue...its quite humorous.
                                                                      Comment
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