Convince me I can't make 100k/year off sports betting

[Nathan Bug Tyler]

i would like to know the secret of just winning parlays

[BeatTheJerk]

if you have any money at all to put up next year, i will put up very nice odds that you cant hit 70% nfl sides/totals at a book...you act as if nobody here gambles...if you were able to hit 65% nba and almost 70% nfl, 60minutes would be doing a segment on you instead of Billy Walters or any other gambler... you are making a fool of yourself with your ignorant statements... but by all means, continue...its quite humorous.

Exactly.

[FourLengthsClear]

Even by the standards of this forum, this takes the biscuit in terms of BS.
You have teams of people working for you, travel extensively and don't know how to make 100k a year on a 70% hit rate?
LOL.

[Swinging Johnson]

If the best you can do is 70%, you shouldn't be gambling. Find something else in life you do well and pursue your dreams.

[Iwinyourmoney]

I was documented on SBR in NBA and NCAA hitting 70% of around 150-200 picks. I got a big head like this guy, then my avg went down to the 50% range quick.
Raydog had to bail me out 3x. Once with my bookie, and twice with rent on trailer girls mobile home

[ssk13809]

if you have any money at all to put up next year, i will put up very nice odds that you cant hit 70% nfl sides/totals at a book...you act as if nobody here gambles...if you were able to hit 65% nba and almost 70% nfl, 60minutes would be doing a segment on you instead of Billy Walters or any other gambler... you are making a fool of yourself with your ignorant statements... but by all means, continue...its quite humorous.

NFL season is over. I already posted my plays for a season on SBR NFL, and it was 70% ATS. And this doesn't count all the other profits I make out of Parlays/Teasers/MLs.

I will start posting plays on NBA next. 65% is not very difficult, it's about my average long-term rate

[ssk13809]

If the best you can do is 70%, you shouldn't be gambling. Find something else in life you do well and pursue your dreams.

Of course I have other goals. I spend 15min/day on gambling, and don't plan to spend anymore.

[Powderguy]

This guy is funny

[tomagos]

you can try, good luck

[MinnesotaFats]

The only way to do it is to have a bankroll that can overcome the inevitable streak of consecutive losses that fly in the face of your assumed lock rate. Eventually your money management is what will determine whether or not you make money, not your hit rate.

[OmgUrMom]

i'll pass cause i know you can do it pal

[ssk13809]

i would like to know the secret of just winning parlays

Well based on even my experience....don't play them.


These days, here is what my parlay team does

a) Use parlays to hedge other bets
b) Low probability low risk high reward parlays
c) Round robins


Those are the only 3 types/reasons you should be playing parlays

[ssk13809]

The only way to do it is to have a bankroll that can overcome the inevitable streak of consecutive losses that fly in the face of your assumed lock rate. Eventually your money management is what will determine whether or not you make money, not your hit rate.

Well thankfully I don't have to worry about "my money management skills". I have a team who does all that for me, and they have done a brilliant job at making the most money out of my winnings in the past.

[Kindred]

70% long term is impossible, period.

Even if it weren't you'd be losing money by winning at that high of a rate, even 60% you are leaving money on the table. Any bet at -110 with an expected win rate of 53% and up is +EV. You only bet 60% you are missing out on +EV bets.

[ssk13809]

70% long term is impossible, period.

Even if it weren't you'd be losing money by winning at that high of a rate, even 60% you are leaving money on the table. Any bet at -110 with an expected win rate of 53% and up is +EV. You only bet 60% you are missing out on +EV bets.

Wait did you just say I'm losing money if I'm hitting 70%?

[ssk13809]

Even by the standards of this forum, this takes the biscuit in terms of BS.
You have teams of people working for you, travel extensively and don't know how to make 100k a year on a 70% hit rate?
LOL.

lol I'm not really talking about making 100+k in a year or 2 years in a row. But long-term. You don't think getting blacklisted off every sportsbook when you hit 70% long-term is a serious issue?

[ssk13809]

i'll pass cause i know you can do it pal

This guy has probably seen my NFL thread.



And let's not just focus on 65% or 70% here. Even the weeks when I lose money straight ATS and so on, I still make it positive. How? MLs are also a consistent gainer for me. And then I have my "Teaser Team" which also helps out A LOT. In fact, that might be my biggest strength, yes even more so than 70% ATS Plays. And then even some weeks I lose ATS overall, my LOCK ATS picks still hit, and I put most on those. So they help out as well. And when I'm just still down a little by any chance, my Chase Team closes it out with a strong finishing week. I think I only had 1 losing week all year in the NFL. Maybe a couple I broke even (thanks to my Chase team making a comeback to help break even).

But yeah, let's look beyond hitting high 70% ATS rates here. I have a lot more in me that still helps me out even when those aren't hitting. Making it very difficult for me to have losing week.

[antifoil]

link to plays thread please

[ssk13809]

link to plays thread please

3 threads. Only because the 1st 2 were closed. 3rd one is still open. But a lot of pages. So good luck.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/709715-ssks-nfl-ml-thread.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/777461-ssks-nfl-thread.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/709715-ssks-nfl-ml-thread.html

[ssk13809]

And as posted in my NFL Thread

My man play today is

2 Team Teaser
Packers +4
Jets +11

And after that, many small hedge bets, on Packers +4. So basically, if Packers cover +4, I win big. If they don't, I lose big. This was suggested by my Playoffs Team.


I've talked to Rodgers already. He said they will cover and win. Besides, they haven't lost by more than 3 ALL YEAR WITH Aaron Rodgers. And now they are playing their BEST. And are giving their best too (NFC Championship game). So its a great play suggested by my Playoffs Team.

[Grits n' Gravy]

And as posted in my NFL Thread

My man play today is

2 Team Teaser
Packers +4
Jets +11

And after that, many small hedge bets, on Packers +4. So basically, if Packers cover +4, I win big. If they don't, I lose big. This was suggested by my Playoffs Team.


I've talked to Rodgers already. He said they will cover and win. Besides, they haven't lost by more than 3 ALL YEAR WITH Aaron Rodgers. And now they are playing their BEST. And are giving their best too (NFC Championship game). So its a great play suggested by my Playoffs Team.

Good luck ssk. Maybe if Pack wins, Rogers will give you a shout on tv.

[ssk13809]

Good luck ssk. Maybe if Pack wins, Rogers will give you a shout on tv.

I don't need good luck. I just need to avoid bad luck.

[timmyboy34243]

Tease Green Bay +4


After that, hedge it, or if you have a strong feel on something else, add that. Do whatever. And make some easy money.

tease it with ___________ genius???

[MartinBlank]

Here's his team hard at work.

[MartinBlank]

Anyone else notice how often this guy has edited his threads?

Maybe he meant 70% losers, and not winners.

[MartinBlank]

I just happened to look at one of his "threads", and read this gem....

"Romo got injured. I didn't bet on no injured Romo-less Cowboy team. F*uck that. I didn't deserve that loss. If Romo hadn't got injured, and I lost that bet face-up, I would take that loss and never even consider betting NYG 2nd half. So really I didn't deserve that loss. "

To translate. Tony Romo got injured against the Giants. So he isn't counting that Cowboy selection because well, Romo got hurt.

Jeezus. Honest to god, these f'in people are lunatics.

[ssk13809]

Anyone else notice how often this guy has edited his threads?

Maybe he meant 70% losers, and not winners.

What do you mean? All my plays are unedited. But that would be editing posts. What do you mean editing threads? I didn't open new threads because I wanted to. The others got closed, so I was forced to.

[ssk13809]

I just happened to look at one of his "threads", and read this gem....

"Romo got injured. I didn't bet on no injured Romo-less Cowboy team. F*uck that. I didn't deserve that loss. If Romo hadn't got injured, and I lost that bet face-up, I would take that loss and never even consider betting NYG 2nd half. So really I didn't deserve that loss. "

To translate. Tony Romo got injured against the Giants. So he isn't counting that Cowboy selection because well, Romo got hurt.

Jeezus. Honest to god, these f'in people are lunatics.

And I ended up counting that one too in my record. I realized that was not "legit" to not count it (though I still believe it shouldn't have been counted). Keep reading and you will see this. Everything is 100% legit.

[ssk13809]

tease it with ___________ genius???

Well I already posted the Teaser I'm playing Packers +4 with. The other is a HEDGE Packer +4 bet. Do you know what that means? If you did, you would know you have several options on what to tease it with. I'm doing a lot of them.

[MartinBlank]

What do you mean? All my plays are unedited. But that would be editing posts. What do you mean editing threads? I didn't open new threads because I wanted to. The others got closed, so I was forced to.

Why would you edit any post where you had a selection in it?

And why were your threads closed?

Hmmmm. SBR is pretty reasonable, they only close threads that are bullshit threads.

[BeatTheJerk]

And I ended up counting that one too in my record. I realized that was not "legit" to not count it (though I still believe it shouldn't have been counted). Keep reading and you will see this. Everything is 100% legit.

You're an idiot. You sound like your 17. A lot of the things that come out of your mouth seem green in my opinion and you have no business even bringing such a pipe dream topic up to this board.

[BeatTheJerk]

You have embarrassed yourself beyond belief. Most of the posters here think you're a joke, regardless if your small sample size record states otherwise.

[BeatTheJerk]

You can take your locks and shove them up your ass. Have I convinced you yet ?

[ssk13809]

Why would you edit any post where you had a selection in it?

And why were your threads closed?

Hmmmm. SBR is pretty reasonable, they only close threads that are bullshit threads.

It was probably after I counted it or someone quoted it so I couldn't change or after it was already decided upon, or I had made another post of the same play or something else reasonable. You aren't going to find very many.


Why are my threads closed? Well because they go off-topic. Does that have anything to do with betting? No.



Once again, starting an NBA thread tomorrow in the Players Talk forum this time (so my threads don't get closed and Mods have forbidden me from starting threads in the respective sport forums). You can join another fun ride or watch again from the side.

[ssk13809]

You're an idiot. You sound like your 17. A lot of the things that come out of your mouth seem green in my opinion and you have no business even bringing such a pipe dream topic up to this board.

Wrong again, I'm in my late 30s, no matter what I said earlier. I like to throw people off.