Tournament thoughts and sneak peak for tomorrow

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • BigOrangeTitans
    SBR MVP
    • 11-23-07
    • 4504

    #1
    Tournament thoughts and sneak peak for tomorrow
    LONG WRITEUP

    Has been a good tourney thus far, but lets face it, Fave's have dominated. Hitting at over 65% this tourney which is a nice trend to follow.

    For dog and dog ML bettors the pickings have not ripe. But tomorrow is a new day. With the fact that 4 of the last 5 times all four one seeds were in the elite eight, 2 have lost straight up, tomorrow looks promising. With that a given and the fact the whole world is going to be looking for KU to blow the doors off tomorrow, I see them struggling.

    Defensively you hear angles that they will contain Curry by throwing bodies of all sorts at him(athletic, tall, quick, etc). But he isnt the motor, Richards is the key to unlock shots for Curry. Offensively, you hear KU will dominate inside.

    But does KU have a defender equal to Flowers? I dont think so. Secondly, wasnt Wisconsin supposed to have superior post play, but as we saw lacked that?

    Davidson is no slouch, winning 26 straight games after a brutal Out of conference schedule. They played NC and somewhat contained their frontcourt early in the year, so much so that they almost won that game SU.

    Official Pick: Davidson +9.5

    As for Texas, they are playing in Texas as we all know. Memphis is horrific from FT, which we all know. On a neutral floor I have this capped at Memphis -4, but with Texas playing in Texas, I have Texas -2.5.

    The guard play from Texas will be able to keep pace with a very high scoring opponent. Texas is superior at the line as well. We all witnessed NC put away louisville tonight with oustanding FT shooting to close. Memphis cannot do this, and will be better off having a physical game. Also, a 9 point game with Augestin in the game quickly becomes a 6 or 3 point game, whether he is shooting or Abrams. ONE speed bump is in the way for Texas here, and that is foul trouble. Rose will push the issue on Texas' backcourt and could potentially leave them in early foul trouble. That is the only reason I take the cushion here...

    Official play: Texas +3.5
  • turnip
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-03-06
    • 940

    #2
    Nice writeups. I'm not taking a side in the early game, but I am with you on Davidson +9.5
    Comment
    • BigOrangeTitans
      SBR MVP
      • 11-23-07
      • 4504

      #3
      Originally posted by turnip
      Nice writeups. I'm not taking a side in the early game, but I am with you on Davidson +9.5
      Thanks bud

      Davidson's been the only bright spot in a boring tourney, and I cant see them going down easily. Davidson CAN compete with these guys, their record doesnt lie. They dominated a weak conference sure, but their early OOC and tourney resume is outstanding.
      Comment
      • BigOrangeTitans
        SBR MVP
        • 11-23-07
        • 4504

        #4
        Some statistics to follow my play for the data guys...

        ATS Kansas this season
        1-6 versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game
        10-8 when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games

        ATS Davidson this season
        8-0 versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points/game
        6-0 as an underdog
        10-3 when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games 10-3

        Strength of Schedule:
        46. Kansas (33-3) 0.5615 Notables: Texas/USC
        90. Davidson (28-6) 0.5307 Notables: Duke/NC
        SOS isnt relative here, as the big 12 is no powerhouse and Kansas didnt play a team like NC.
        Comment
        • 5 star bomb
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-12-07
          • 5370

          #5
          I like both plays bro... GL
          Comment
          • BigOrangeTitans
            SBR MVP
            • 11-23-07
            • 4504

            #6
            Originally posted by 5 star bomb
            I like both plays bro... GL
            Thanks 5*b

            Decided to split davidson play into +9.5 with a small ML play +425. Just to big of a value here imo. Watch the davidson/nc game or the wisky game, you see these guys are definitely NOT a ten seed. Thats the ONLY reason the number is this high.
            Comment
            • BigOrangeTitans
              SBR MVP
              • 11-23-07
              • 4504

              #7
              Looks like the line is 9 almost across the board now, so if your gonna jump, get the hook while you can.
              Comment
              • BigOrangeTitans
                SBR MVP
                • 11-23-07
                • 4504

                #8
                GAMEDAY Bitches!
                LEts tip some shit off!
                Comment
                • rake922
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-23-07
                  • 11692

                  #9
                  Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
                  ATS Davidson this season
                  8-0 versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points/game
                  6-0 as an underdog
                  10-3 when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games 10-3
                  looks solid
                  Comment
                  • BigOrangeTitans
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-23-07
                    • 4504

                    #10
                    Right on the money.
                    This is my game of the year.

                    Too easy, and all the uneducated folks bumped the line to 10 so I could put MORE money down.

                    Time for Curry to show these boys how to play.
                    Comment
                    Search
                    Collapse
                    SBR Contests
                    Collapse
                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                    Collapse
                    Working...