Tar Heels and Bruins to advance with ease

[pavyracer]

Parlay ML is at -115 in my book. I have unloaded on this outstanding value of having my strongest Final Four candinates to advance.

I have run on my computer model every possible scenario that this parlay can be broken and the probability is less than 0.0001% which gave me the strength to unload relentessly on my book. The line has already moved lower after I placed my bet and the news amongst panicked books are spreading quickly.

[babaoriley]

Good stuff, pavy. KICK THE BOOKIES ASSES! STICK IT TO THEM! THIS PLAY IS A STONE COLD LOCK! LOCK OF THE CENTURY! I'M ON THIS PLAY LIKE PAPA SMURF ON SMURFETTE! ALL IN! etc. etc.

[DrunkenLullaby]

I have run on my computer model every possible scenario that this parlay can be broken and the probability is less than 0.0001%

OK, I'll bite off a little piece on the "Yes, either Xavier or L'ville will win" at 999,999-1 odds.

[pavyracer]

OK, I'll bite off a little piece on the "Yes, either Xavier or L'ville will win" at 999,999-1 odds.

Hey, it's your money so do what you please with them.

[junkman773]

Bol
Junk

[imgv94]

GL Pavy.. Unless bad luck happens you gotta a winner here

[INVEGA MAN]

I have UNC and UCLA to reach final 4 at +250. But I did bet it before March Madness begun.

[LT Profits]

Should I tear up my ticket on Xavier +6.5 now? Or are you talking strictly ML?

[pavyracer]

Should I tear up my ticket on Xavier +6.5 now? Or are you talking strictly ML?

I have parlayed both ML's. One was -265 and the other one was -280. LT, your Xavier ticket of +6.5 is good as well as mofome's ticket of +6 for Louisville.

It will be a heck of party at SBR if NC and UCLA win by no more than 5 points each. The books will raise the white flag and surrender their money to us.

[pavyracer]

My inside sources told me that if North Carolina wins this game the books are about to lose close to 50 million dollars tonight. This particular ML parlay was in at least 90% of sharp plays and close to 88% square plays accounts. Several books are bailing out of business in the next 45 minutes. I suggest you request your payouts as soon as the game is over.

My post was forwarded through spam service to thousands of sportsbook players and the losses for the books will be monumental.

[mofome]

pavy was on this one. blow outs.

[5 star bomb]

nice call pavy

[pavyracer]

I am 6-0 in the last 3 days in college basketball. I have quadrubled my balance today with this play and have just requested a big payout.

I said it before that the championship games is where the winners can be found. Championship games seperate contenders from pretenders.

[imgv94]

Solid. You not betting tomorrow?

[BuddyBear]

I have parlayed both ML's. One was -265 and the other one was -280. LT, your Xavier ticket of +6.5 is good as well as mofome's ticket of +6 for Louisville.

It will be a heck of party at SBR if NC and UCLA win by no more than 5 points each. The books will raise the white flag and surrender their money to us.

Hmm...UCLA and UNC to win with ease, yet "your Xavier ticket of +6.5 is good as well as mofome's ticket of +6 for Louisville."

[pavyracer]

Hmm...UCLA and UNC to win with ease, yet "your Xavier ticket of +6.5 is good as well as mofome's ticket of +6 for Louisville."

Just because I liked LT's and mofome's plays doesn't mean that I bet them. Only a fool will play tens of games every night, no disrespect here diogee.

I have not forgotten your famous ML Patriots bet of -400 to win the Superbowl which you defended ever after they lost to Giants. It doesn't surprise me you are a hater.

[pavyracer]

Solid. You not betting tomorrow?

I will have bets for tomorrow. I always cash out and leave my original balance in my account when I double or quadrouble like today.

With a first look tomorrow may be a good day for the Kansas over. I expect a similar score and game to the UCLA - WK game of Thursday.

[BuddyBear]

Anyone halfway sharp sees that you are an idiot. You say UCLA and UNC to win with ease, yet you say Xavier +6.5 and UL +6 are good bets too, but say that you don't bet many games each night???? Well yeah, it's probably not a good idea to bet a huge ML and then bet the side for the other team. Give me a break. Are you that stupid or you just trying to be polite to Mofome and LT?

**** it and be a man, tell them their opinions suck. I went in and said Xavier was a horrible bet and is overrated. What do I care what they think of me. Nobody is going to respect you if you take the opposite opinion and tell them their opinion is also really really good too. It would be like me saying, yeah I think Roger Feder is going to win tonight in straight sets with ease, but Gail Monfils is a really good bet too.

And please do tell me what was wrong with betting a -13.5 favorite at -400 ML odds? I've made tons of bets I regret, but that is one bet that I would make every time if I had the chance.....

[diogee]

No offense taken Pavy...still in training mode and getting the sample size up. Congrats on the wins and best of luck tomorrow.

[imgv94]

Still can't believe this catch..

[pavyracer]

Buddy, I don't bash other people's picks. You can diplomaticly disagree without being an ass. Mofome and LT spend hours to cap their games and present very nice write-ups and do not need us to trash their threads.

I have asked you many times to post your own picks so we can have the chance to bash yours but you rarely ever do. What's the point of not posting any picks and then come back and make the wiseguy because you analyzed every single line of our posts?

[imgv94]

Buddy, I don't bash other people's picks. You can diplomaticly disagree without being an ass. Mofome and LT spend hours to cap their games and present very nice write-ups and do not need us to trash their threads.

I have asked you many times to post your own picks so we can have the chance to bash yours but you rarely ever do. What's the point of not posting any picks and then come back and make the wiseguy because you analyzed every single line of our posts?

I have mofome on ignore so don't know what he says, but does LT really have long writeups? All I remember him saying about the UCLA game was the fact they haven't looked impressive lately.. I asked him for a reason as to why he liked Michigan St as well and he never gave me one.

Where are his long writeups at?

[pavyracer]

LT posts on front page, not on forums. I frequently do not agree with his picks but there is no reason of critisizing his picks. You learn more by reading and listening than arguing in sports betting.

[BuddyBear]

I am not here to post picks. Some guys do that, but I don't. I provide inights and opinions on games and that's about it. Plus a lot of my bets are right before tip off or kick off and several halftime bets.

Spend hours capping??? LOL. Who spends hours capping games...why even waste that much time. You just look to see where lines are inefficient and bet on weak lines.

For example, I bet Pittsburgh +9 in WNCAA this evening. Why? You think I know anything about women's college basketball...no? But I do know that the market opened Stanford -8 and some books were hanging +9 and +8.5 because the chasers needed their fix and steamed it up. I know that Stanford -8.5 and -9 is a bad bet and that Pittsburgh +9 is a very strong bet. It might cash, it might not...but I know that I beat the market and that's all that is important in the long run.

Dude, I don't even watch these games to be honest with you. I bet the game and check the scores later on or when i get a chance. There is no point in handicapping games...just about everyone will go 50/50 long run doing that. The only way to win is to beat the market on a consistent basis.

Congrats on your win......

[imgv94]

I am not here to post picks. Some guys do that, but I don't. I provide inights and opinions on games and that's about it. Plus a lot of my bets are right before tip off or kick off and several halftime bets.

Spend hours capping??? LOL. Who spends hours capping games...why even waste that much time. You just look to see where lines are inefficient and bet on weak lines.

For example, I bet Pittsburgh +9 in WNCAA this evening. Why? You think I know anything about women's college basketball...no? But I do know that the market opened Stanford -8 and some books were hanging +9 and +8.5 because the chasers needed their fix and steamed it up. I know that Stanford -8.5 and -9 is a bad bet and that Pittsburgh +9 is a very strong bet. It might cash, it might not...but I know that I beat the market and that's all that is important in the long run.

Dude, I don't even watch these games to be honest with you. I bet the game and check the scores later on or when i get a chance. There is no point in handicapping games...just about everyone will go 50/50 long run doing that. The only way to win is to beat the market on a consistent basis.

Congrats on your win......

I've always wondered about that myself.. I don't know anyone who spends hours capping games? does anyone else?

[diogee]

I spend quite a bit of time capping the average NBA card...a large card I usually spend a couple of hours on.

[tony73]

good call bro

[imgv94]

I spend quite a bit of time capping the average NBA card...a large card I usually spend a couple of hours on.

what do you look for?

[mofome]

interesting.

1) imgv has replied to 30 things ive said today, hes a clown, not a capper.
2) my front page picks were not good today, it happens.
3) buddybear, there a problem?
4) pavy, congrats on a great night. i hope it carries into tomorrow.

[5 star bomb]

I spend about an hour each night during MLB season capping

[SBR Lou]

Good stuff Pavy, I stayed away from UCLA but did cash in with UNC..

[imgv94]

I spend about an hour each night during MLB season capping

baseball is pretty complex. thats understandable.

[BuddyBear]

interesting.

1) imgv has replied to 30 things ive said today, hes a clown, not a capper.

He's a good guy. You just have to understand his style. But all in all you have to give him credit for posting his picks, keeping an honest record, and sharing his insights on games. Most guys don't do that.... I am slightly surprised you and him don't get along. I would have thought for sure you two would get along easy.

3) buddybear, there a problem?
tomorrow.

Well, a guy says that UCLA and UNC are going to win with ease and then says Xavier +6.5 and UL +6 are real good bets too. You tell me if there is a problem?

[imgv94]

ive replied 30 times? only times i read mofomes posts are when other people quote them like what buddybear did.

mofome keeps sending me emails and PMs but I don't even read them. can careless what bad handicappers say about me.

[diogee]

what do you look for?

I look over all the stats, trends, recent games, recent match-ups, injuries, and other news and notes.